America In 2042: New Projections

jpeyton

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Aug 23, 2003
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Looks like the melting pot is melting A LOT faster than previously expected. Minority populations will surge, especially Hispanics who will account for 30% of our 439 million population by 2050. The black population will go up to about 15%, Asians to 9%. Reproduction rates among minorities are far outpacing that of white Americans.

Text

By STEPHEN OHLEMACHER, Associated Press Writer

White people will no longer make up a majority of Americans by 2042, according to new government projections. That's eight years sooner than previous estimates, made in 2004.

The nation has been growing more diverse for decades, but the process has sped up through immigration and higher birth rates among minority residents, especially Hispanics.

It is also growing older.

"The white population is older and very much centered around the aging baby boomers who are well past their high fertility years," said William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution, a Washington think tank. "The future of America is epitomized by the young people today. They are basically the melting pot we are going to see in the future."

The Census Bureau Thursday released population projections through 2050, based on rates for births, deaths and immigration. They are subject to big revisions, depending on immigration policy, cultural changes and natural or manmade disasters.

The U.S. has nearly 305 million people today. The population is projected to hit 400 million in 2039 and 439 million in 2050.

That's like adding all the people from France and Britain, said Steve A. Camarota, director of research at the Center for Immigration Studies, a Washington group that advocates tighter immigration policies.

White non-Hispanics make up about two-thirds of the population, but only 55 percent of those younger than 5.

By 2050, whites will make up 46 percent of the population and blacks will make up 15 percent, a relatively small increase from today. Hispanics, who make up about 15 percent of the population today, will account for 30 percent in 2050, according to the new projections.

Asians, which make up about 5 percent of the population, are projected to increase to 9 percent by 2050.

The population 85 and older is projected to more than triple by 2050, to 19 million.
 

Red Dawn

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Jun 4, 2001
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Originally posted by: jpeyton
Looks like the melting pot is melting A LOT faster than previously expected. Minority populations will surge, especially Hispanics who will account for 30% of our 439 million population by 2050. The black population will go up to about 15%, Asians to 9%. Reproduction rates among minorities are far outpacing that of white Americans.

Text

By STEPHEN OHLEMACHER, Associated Press Writer

White people will no longer make up a majority of Americans by 2042, according to new government projections. That's eight years sooner than previous estimates, made in 2004.

The nation has been growing more diverse for decades, but the process has sped up through immigration and higher birth rates among minority residents, especially Hispanics.

It is also growing older.

"The white population is older and very much centered around the aging baby boomers who are well past their high fertility years," said William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution, a Washington think tank. "The future of America is epitomized by the young people today. They are basically the melting pot we are going to see in the future."

The Census Bureau Thursday released population projections through 2050, based on rates for births, deaths and immigration. They are subject to big revisions, depending on immigration policy, cultural changes and natural or manmade disasters.

The U.S. has nearly 305 million people today. The population is projected to hit 400 million in 2039 and 439 million in 2050.

That's like adding all the people from France and Britain, said Steve A. Camarota, director of research at the Center for Immigration Studies, a Washington group that advocates tighter immigration policies.

White non-Hispanics make up about two-thirds of the population, but only 55 percent of those younger than 5.

By 2050, whites will make up 46 percent of the population and blacks will make up 15 percent, a relatively small increase from today. Hispanics, who make up about 15 percent of the population today, will account for 30 percent in 2050, according to the new projections.

Asians, which make up about 5 percent of the population, are projected to increase to 9 percent by 2050.

The population 85 and older is projected to more than triple by 2050, to 19 million.
LOL, that ought to make Socio and Butterbeans day:thumbsup:
 

jpeyton

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Aug 23, 2003
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Originally posted by: dphantom
Old news. What's your point?
Actually the older projections were off by nearly a decade. And the old projections were only taken 4 years ago.

Maybe by 2012, they'll have to revise them again.
 

sandorski

No Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
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Canada is on a similar trajectory, except that Far-East Asians and Indians will be dominant Minorities. It will be interesting, though we'll not see much of it, to see if the Principles that are at the heart of our 2 Nations survive virtually intact or are merely Idealistic White fantasies. I suspect they will, but only if White Racism doesn't spike and sour Race Relations so much as to undermine everything.
 

dphantom

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Jan 14, 2005
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Originally posted by: jpeyton
Originally posted by: dphantom
Old news. What's your point?
Actually the older projections were off by nearly a decade. And the old projections were only taken 4 years ago.

Maybe by 2012, they'll have to revise them again.

Possibly. I still see no problem. Demographics change all the time.
 

jpeyton

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Aug 23, 2003
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Originally posted by: dphantom
Originally posted by: jpeyton
Originally posted by: dphantom
Old news. What's your point?
Actually the older projections were off by nearly a decade. And the old projections were only taken 4 years ago.

Maybe by 2012, they'll have to revise them again.

Possibly. I still see no problem. Demographics change all the time.
I don't see a problem either.

Kthxbye
 

techs

Lifer
Sep 26, 2000
28,559
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Same old, same old.
The new immigrants will assimilate the same as the old ones did.
In 30 years they will be voting to stop illegal immigrantion, enact massive tax cuts and make English the official language.
Don't underestimat the power of the melting pot (or FoxNews)
 

Rainsford

Lifer
Apr 25, 2001
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I like Latina girls, so I'm all for it! ;) Of course in 2042 I'll be 59 years old...but still.

Also, am I the only person who's amused by 34 year population growth projections being treated seriously when the projections from just 4 years ago have proven to be less than accurate already? For that matter, in 1974, who would have predicted the demographic makeup of today? This kind of thing seems mostly like a good way for statisticians to continue to be employed, and to give the local Kluckers something to discuss at the next meeting, and not much else.
 
Oct 30, 2004
11,442
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It's a SALAD, not a melting pot. Because the amount of immigration is so high, many of the immigrants don't assimilate and many don't even bother to learn English nor American culture, resulting in a cultural balkanization.

For those of you who are interested in learning more about the population explosion and immigration, note that no discussion of this subject should ever occur before people have watched this video:

Immigration by the Numbers (aka Immigration Gumballs)
 

RichardE

Banned
Dec 31, 2005
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Originally posted by: TastesLikeChicken
Crap. I'll be 83 before I can apply for a minority business status.

All this means to me is my grandchildren will get minority scholarships so I won't have to pay as much for school :)
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
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www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: jpeyton
Topic Title: America In 2042: New Projections

Topic Summary: Population: 439 Million; Hispanic Population Boom

Looks like the melting pot is melting A LOT faster than previously expected.

Minority populations will surge, especially Hispanics who will account for 30% of our 439 million population by 2050.

The black population will go up to about 15%,

Asians to 9%.

Reproduction rates among minorities are far outpacing that of white Americans.

One word

HOT
 
Oct 30, 2004
11,442
32
91

It's kind of sad to see that some of the folks posting in this thread haven't recognized the relationship between overpopulation and quality of life. It's as though some folks had never heard of Malthus.