Originally posted by: NXIL
Same with Phenom: if it were the only quad core on the market? Cool. But, you have the Q6600 from Intel sitting there at about $280....and it is about 10% faster, or more. So, even if each Phenom is costing them $500 to make right now, due to low yields, or other inefficiencies, it's hard for them to sell it except for less than the price the Q6600 sets.
Originally posted by: eRacer
Pardon me. I didn't realize you had already graced the Anandtech forum with your presence. Perhaps you can keep your personal insults and paranoia at Futuremark to avoid burdening the forum members here. And feel free to send me an apology if AMD posts Q4 graphics revenue far less than $552 million (a $300 million gain over Q3).Originally posted by: ZstreamI just want to know how much Intel is paying you for all the Viral Marketing you do. Can you please just flood futuremark with your crap. It is getting really old now...
I can't speak for Rollo, but I am not a viral marketer and have no vendetta against AMD so please stop with the viral marketer lies and delusional accusations. Thanks.Originally posted by: ZstreamI will not apologize to a Viral Marketer. You are on the lines of Rollo and eventually it will come out that you are being paid by Intel as well or you are on some sort of Vendetta against AMD as it shows in your post in futuremark.
if the phenom costs 500$ to make then they would be halting production! Why would the WANT To sell more when they loose [sic]over 200$ a piece?
Originally posted by: v8envy
Originally posted by: Viditor
The stock price quoting troll hits again...:roll:
When are you going to learn that it just doesn't matter...
Only to a point -- if a stock price gets low enough and stays there long enough it may not qualify for institutional ownership. Conservative mainstream mutual funds will be forced to liquidate their positions. You may know if AMD is widely held by institutionals -- I'm not interested in enough to find out.
But $10 is a very important stock price level for another reason. A completely different class of 'investors' trade companies with stock prices under $10. That's why companies do reverse stock splits (which as a rule are never a good thing from a long position standpoint).
A corporation's stock is its currency. Costs very little to issue more stock, yet that stock can be used to buy market share and assets and grow the company through acquisition as well as compensate employees and management without dipping into cash. We all agree growth and keeping cash are good goals, yes?
So it does matter.
AMD's 6 month chart looks like roadkill -- from a technicals standpoint there's no short term bottom in sight. AMD is nowhere near a penny stock yet, but it is now a remote possibility.
Originally posted by: trajan2050
The stock price quoting troll hits again...
When are you going to learn that it just doesn't matter
It doesn't matter a bit unless one happens to have invested in this disaster. Most people invest so that at some reasonable length of time they can make a profit and enjoy spending it. In this case lack of performance coupled with very high risk financials are driving the stock towards the basement. AMD now owes more than it's market value. People on this forum are interested in how AMD is doing and that includes the stock price.
It's certainly nothing personal unless you're an AMD employee.
Originally posted by: Acanthus
Originally posted by: Viditor
Originally posted by: eRacer
I'd say the $300 million figure is off by at least a factor of ten for Q4. If we assume AMD ships 300,000 38xx GPUs this quarter (which is a large number for a launch), and we assume a healthy ASP of $100 then HD 38xx revenue will only be $30 million.Originally posted by: Viditor
My estimate is that HD38xx should give AMD an additional $300 million in revenue while cutting costs on GPUs by at least 40%...
Actually, 300,000 is a very small number...
Remember that purchases from foundaries are made by the wafer, not the chip. Even at say 2000 wafers/week (to give you an idea of proportions, TSMC is currently ramping their 300mm to 100,000 wafers/month), that's 2.8 Million candidate dice per month.
If it's as low as a 50% yield (doubtful), then that's still 1.4 Million chips a month or 4.2 Million for the quarter.
TSMC also owns more fabs than AMD, and has hundreds of customers...
And produces both ATis and Nvidias chips...
Why the hell do you try to spin AMD postively all the time?
Originally posted by: NXIL
I am pretty sure that Intel's R&D budget is bigger than AMD is entirely, as in entire company. Intel made their quad core with 2 dual core CPUs in one package; it could be that there was an Intel team trying to make a unified quad core like AMD did that would have been released about now if it worked. Their unified quad core comes out in 2009 I think. And, it could be that AMD did not have enough R & D money to crank out a 2 dual core Quad--I think there are limitations with the on die memory controller, which was an advantage for them in the dual core competition.
HTH
NXIL
AMD Losses in 2001, 2002, 2003, 2006
Originally posted by: Viditor
[
Again, this isn't always (or even usually) the case. The most common reason for reverse stock splits is to avoid delisting. Companies with share prices below $1 for 20 consecutive days are delisted from the NYSE...
Except that AMD has just topped up with enough cash to last them at least through 2012.
Obviously, this has been one of AMD's worst years ever...but even so, they only have a net cash loss of $284 Million for the year, and they greatly reduced their debt commitments.
Currently, AMD has ~$2.2 Billion in cash and short term investments.
[/quote]Anything is possible...there could be a lightning strike, flooding, terrorist attack, etc...
But then the reverse is true as well. AMD currently has a very high SIR (Short Interest Ratio), and a high Beta (how quickly and to what degree a stock price changes).
The possibility of a Short Squeeze hasn't been this high in a very long time!
Only because they have greatly increased their debt load. They are losing on the order of several hundred million in cash on the business side every quarter. Their debt load has increased from $600 million to over $5 billion in one year.Originally posted by: Viditor
Except that AMD has just topped up with enough cash to last them at least through 2012.
Obviously, this has been one of AMD's worst years ever...but even so, they only have a net cash loss of $284 Million for the year, and they greatly reduced their debt commitments.
Which should be gone in 4-5 quarters, barring AMD being able to sucker in more loans or stock deals.Currently, AMD has ~$2.2 Billion in cash and short term investments.
Originally posted by: Accord99
Only because they have greatly increased their debt load. They are losing on the order of several hundred million in cash on the business side every quarter. Their debt load has increased from $600 million to over $5 billion in one year.Originally posted by: Viditor
Except that AMD has just topped up with enough cash to last them at least through 2012.
Obviously, this has been one of AMD's worst years ever...but even so, they only have a net cash loss of $284 Million for the year, and they greatly reduced their debt commitments.
Which should be gone in 4-5 quarters, barring AMD being able to sucker in more loans or stock deals.Currently, AMD has ~$2.2 Billion in cash and short term investments.
Originally posted by: Accord99
Only because they have greatly increased their debt load. They are losing on the order of several hundred million in cash on the business side every quarter. Their debt load has increased from $600 million to over $5 billion in one year.Originally posted by: Viditor
Except that AMD has just topped up with enough cash to last them at least through 2012.
Obviously, this has been one of AMD's worst years ever...but even so, they only have a net cash loss of $284 Million for the year, and they greatly reduced their debt commitments.
Which should be gone in 4-5 quarters, barring AMD being able to sucker in more loans or stock deals.Currently, AMD has ~$2.2 Billion in cash and short term investments.
Interest expense has been steadily increasing, up to $133 million in the last quarter.Originally posted by: Viditor
The restructure in Q2 has eliminated that loan and has pushed out repayment far enough to allow them to use their cash for operations (while at the same time dropping the cost of the loan by a HUGE amount).
Combined that with Net cash used in investing activities and you have a net cash loss of $1.7B for the year from the business.4-5 quarters??
AMD's 10-Q for Q3 2007
Page 6 at the bottom...
Net cash used in operations for the 9 months ending 9/29/07 = $371 Million
Originally posted by: heyheybooboo
Originally posted by: Accord99
Only because they have greatly increased their debt load. They are losing on the order of several hundred million in cash on the business side every quarter. Their debt load has increased from $600 million to over $5 billion in one year.Originally posted by: Viditor
Except that AMD has just topped up with enough cash to last them at least through 2012.
Obviously, this has been one of AMD's worst years ever...but even so, they only have a net cash loss of $284 Million for the year, and they greatly reduced their debt commitments.
Which should be gone in 4-5 quarters, barring AMD being able to sucker in more loans or stock deals.Currently, AMD has ~$2.2 Billion in cash and short term investments.
I think operating loss on CPUs was around $120m last quarter. The point made on year 2012 (if I remember correctly from their financials) concerns arangements made on all that debt for ""5 years out"" - and I was actually quite surprised that it was at 5.75%.
AMD has always been boom/bust/boom and has never really made a great deal of money. In 2 or 3 years we will know where they stand. If they have gone boom/bust/boom/bust/bust/bust then we are all screwed.
Originally posted by: Viditor
4-5 quarters??
AMD's 10-Q for Q3 2007
Page 6 at the bottom...
Net cash used in operations for the 9 months ending 9/29/07 = $371 Million
Originally posted by: Viditor
Originally posted by: Accord99
Only because they have greatly increased their debt load. They are losing on the order of several hundred million in cash on the business side every quarter. Their debt load has increased from $600 million to over $5 billion in one year.Originally posted by: Viditor
Except that AMD has just topped up with enough cash to last them at least through 2012.
Obviously, this has been one of AMD's worst years ever...but even so, they only have a net cash loss of $284 Million for the year, and they greatly reduced their debt commitments.
Obviously so...they bought a $5 billion company in that time. But they have also restructured their debt load enourmously. The terms of the short-term loan from Morgan-Stanley were that all available cash AMD had was to be spent first on repaying that loan (whcih left them with no operational cash to speak of).
The restructure in Q2 has eliminated that loan and has pushed out repayment far enough to allow them to use their cash for operations (while at the same time dropping the cost of the loan by a HUGE amount).
Which should be gone in 4-5 quarters, barring AMD being able to sucker in more loans or stock deals.Currently, AMD has ~$2.2 Billion in cash and short term investments.
4-5 quarters??
AMD's 10-Q for Q3 2007
Page 6 at the bottom...
Net cash used in operations for the 9 months ending 9/29/07 = $371 Million
Originally posted by: krazykilluh
Originally posted by: Viditor
4-5 quarters??
AMD's 10-Q for Q3 2007
Page 6 at the bottom...
Net cash used in operations for the 9 months ending 9/29/07 = $371 Million
You can't point to that $371 million figure and say that AMD can survive for years and years. Net income for those nine months was negative 1.6 billion including a $464 million hit to AR and $974 million D&A. AR can't go down forever, eventually those losses will come from cash. What is paid out in capex comes back in D&A so that's a very real expense too. So AMD is a lot worse off than you are leading on.
For grammar:
Originally posted by: Phynaz
Hmmm, but yet the conference call transcripts have a much larger number. And AMD keeps going to the markets to fund operations.
According to Robert Rivert, operating loss excluding ARC charges and stock-based compensation expense was $363M in Q1 and Q2, and $148M in Q3. That looks like $874M to me. And then I go and look at the 10Q and find the operating loss of $1.187B And look at that a little farther down, cash flow of negative $1.6B.
Originally posted by: Acanthus
Sig updated :laugh: