I wonder if the possible 4 stack Epyc devices will still be at 2TB/s or even faster
While I do think there is a danger of AMD becoming complacent (the last time in 2005ish they wanted to make hay rather than invest in their fabs, and then Conroe happened), there might be logic with having both an AM4 and an AM5 release next year.
Unlike Alder Lake, we have had no indication that AM5 can use both DDR4 and DDR5, and DDR5 prices are a huge risk factor.
Zen3D AM4 Q1 2022
Zen4 AM5 Q2 2022
What's the issue?
I think you need to look at the bigger picture, especially if this product is being released in lieu of something else.
This is something I said a while ago when the Warhol rumors were floating around.
It makes a lot of sense for AMD to keep both AM4 and AM5 around for a while. Especially on the budget end with the 4c 12nm Zen3 parts that are rumoured.
Zen3D is going to production in late 2021. AM5 boards are aiming for a Q2 2022 release. Zen4 is coming "late 2022" with the 3D filling the gap.Zen3D AM4 Q1 2022
Zen4 AM5 Q2 2022
What's the issue?
See above comment to KompuKare. Q2 2022 should be the latest time at which AMD would release Raphael(Zen4) according to their 15-18 month cadence.
Zen4 is coming "late 2022" with the 3D filling the gap.
How about TSMC 5nm - tests, validation, or initial capacity might affect this launch. Plus there might be an advanced packaging employed this time. Additionally, work on Zen 4 was fully hit by working remote - loss of efficiency, etc.It's great that AMD wants to release Zen3 + vcache but that's no reason to delay AM5 + Raphael by 2-3 quarters.
How about TSMC 5nm - tests, validation, or initial capacity might affect this launch.
Anyway, AM5 itself doesn't seem to be affected since Rembrandt seems to be the spearhead in Q2 2022.
They are not operating in a complete vacuum. I haven’t been paying much attention to intel since they have been leaking all kinds of stuff in an attempt to stay relevant, or at least still in the news cycle. If they finally have 10 nm chips with good yields, then they should be competitive with desktop Ryzen parts, so I think AMD needs zen 3D and they need it to be relatively cheap. The price will depend on what Intel actually manages to deliver and on general availability at the time. Intel probably isn’t going to have very good competition for Epyc for a while yet though. They can’t compete with Epyc using a monolithic die, so it depends on when they have die stacked packages available.This will leave one last upgrade to the am4 socket. I think the best thing would be to watch ebay 2024 and after for a cheap one.
I suspect these will be expensive when released. More then the Ryzen 5000 series, AMD has no reason not to push the price up.
If they are the leading customer for this, surely TSMC determines the timeline?
It's not like anyone other than TSMC can package this, however much we might want this yesterday.
It's great that AMD wants to release Zen3 + vcache but that's no reason to delay AM5 + Raphael by 2-3 quarters.
Based on what little I know it should work out perfectly fine for AMD?
The only legit reason I can think of for AMD to pin all their hopes on "Zen3d" or what have you until Q4 2022 or some other ridiculously late date is that AMD may be planning on committing all their 5nm wafers to Genoa + Bergamo (at least for a few quarters). While we're all paying attention to the consumer desktop side of things, what's really happening is a matchup between Genoa and Sapphire Rapids, which is a matchup Intel does not want. Sapphire Rapids will be hard-pressed to eclipse Milan, but Genoa? Not a chance. Meanwhile, us retail plebs will get the N7/N6 scraps left over.
Remember how late (6+ Months) Zen 2 came to market after Rome. They might be willing to take an extended time under ADL lead (assuming there really is one) and reduced ASP on the desktop market, to ramp up Genoa, get seeds out, and probably give DDR5 some substantial manufacturing time before launching AM5. Honestly I am not sure we are really ready for DDR5 in the desktop. If they launched anytime soon, DDR5 would feel like Rambus in 2001.
In unlimited quantity? 😉DDR5 should be ready by Q1 2022 as long as the motherboard OEMs can deliver.
In unlimited quantity? 😉
Don't think it'll be Q4. AMD has said 2H22, but don't be surprised if they launch it earlier to trip Intel up. N6 would be Rembrandt, would it not? Extra N7 or other flavor of 7nm @ TSMC will be taken up by the IOD as there have been strong rumors and suggestions that AMD will solely rely on TSMC for the entire package including the IOD for Zen 4 and future Zens. It's going to be interesting to see how the two companies pull this off considering the shortages will last until 2023 if not midway of that year.The only legit reason I can think of for AMD to pin all their hopes on "Zen3d" or what have you until Q4 2022 or some other ridiculously late date is that AMD may be planning on committing all their 5nm wafers to Genoa + Bergamo (at least for a few quarters). While we're all paying attention to the consumer desktop side of things, what's really happening is a matchup between Genoa and Sapphire Rapids, which is a matchup Intel does not want. Sapphire Rapids will be hard-pressed to eclipse Milan, but Genoa? Not a chance. Meanwhile, us retail plebs will get the N7/N6 scraps left over.
I mean, so will the 5950X.I fw l that the 5900x3d and 5950x3d will be relevant for a very long time forward. With that massive L3 cache (up to 16MB per core for the 5900x), and 12-16 cores, it stands to reason that they will have a similar life to the Broadwell chips that had the L4 cache.
You mean the RECALLED One? I still remember those days. AMD beat Intel to 1 GHz. Intel had to launch a new stepping after their initial 1ghz chip didn’t work.AMD showed one Zen 3D on May 31st. If they make 1 per day from May 31st, they will have higher launch Zen 3D on September 9 (101 chips) than Intel had of Pentium 1 GHz - 100 CPUS - when Pentium 1 GHz launched.
DDR5 was available on Amazon for a bit. It even had an add to cart button (I almost bought it for fun). Then it sold out. I suspect in the next 2 months we will begin to see it in stock.DDR5 should be ready by Q1 2022 as long as the motherboard OEMs can deliver.
...You mean the RECALLED One? I still remember those days. AMD beat Intel to 1 GHz. Intel had to launch a new stepping after their initial 1ghz chip didn’t work...
Wait a dang second. I remember this. That was the Pentium 3 incident, wasn't it?You mean the RECALLED One? I still remember those days. AMD beat Intel to 1 GHz. Intel had to launch a new stepping after their initial 1ghz chip didn’t work.
Nah, that was the 1.13GHz that was recalled. Tomshardware exposed it and was punished by Intel for it, despite other review sits confirms Intel was wrong. I mean, they did end up recalling the damn thing after all. One of Intel's numerous crappy moves.
...Isn't that what he's referring to? Toms Hardware did get punished, but I remember Kyle Bennett ended up saving the day by offering his own chip to be tested and confirm. I think after that, everything snowballed and Intel couldn't keep denying it.
April-June release goes with AMD's 12-18 month cadence. Late '22 wouldn't make sense. The V-cache is going to affect a small amount of processors per AMD's words of on the higher end of their product line. As far as I'm concerned, these are essentially XT like refreshes that have zero bearing on their cadence.
I'm not too worried about Alder Lake, Meteor Lake, Rapotor lake or their HEDT ambitions over the next few years. Let them prove themselves for a few generations with their hybrid system. Even Intel's latest mental departure involving their naming scheme has left a bad taste in people's mouths.
I fw l that the 5900x3d and 5950x3d will be relevant for a very long time forward. With that massive L3 cache (up to 16MB per core for the 5900x), and 12-16 cores, it stands to reason that they will have a similar life to the Broadwell chips that had the L4 cache.
You mean the RECALLED One? I still remember those days. AMD beat Intel to 1 GHz. Intel had to launch a new stepping after their initial 1ghz chip didn’t work.