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2022 US midterms election watch party/thread

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Zorba said:
As long as we break the trend of becoming more conservative as people age.
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I don't think that's a clear-cut definitively-established phenomenon.

It's equally possible that generations just keep the politics they had in their formative years. Older people are right-wing in part because that generation were right wing when they were younger.
 
fskimospy said:
Cortez Masto is currently favored to win in Nevada. Where are you getting your information from?

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You can go to CNN and dial down into the state. The only county that Masto is leading is in Clark by 5 points. It's the only county where Mastro has a lead. There's a one or two counties with a good deal of votes left to tally. It's a statistical improbability if not impossibility at this point for Masto to win.
 
HomerJS said:
Going forward?? I watched the first Barnes Johnson debate and that should perked up the ears of the WI Democratic Party

Johnson fell on his face and was laughed at. We’re they sleep at the switch??
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Well, her idea was that the Democrats failed Barnes in the ground game, investment in general.
 
repoman0 said:
Trading more and more “expiring” boomers for new voting age gen Z is going to be the best thing that could happen for this country. I have been expecting it for a long time and it’s finally making a dent. New younger sane leadership please.
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They can thank their anti-vax movement for the edge they gave gen z. I wonder how many R losses today are directly attributable to completely avoidable covid deaths.
 
Zor Prime said:
You can go to CNN and dial down into the state. The only county that Masto is leading is in Clark by 5 points. It's the only county where Mastro has a lead. There's a one or two counties with a good deal of votes left to tally. It's a statistical improbability if not impossibility at this point for Masto to win.
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Right, you can do the same at WaPo's site and based on the outstanding vote counts they think Masto is the likely winner.

So unless you're saying you've found a flaw in WaPo's methodology Masto's win is not only possible but probable. If you have found flaws in their calculations can you point them out?
 
Russia withdrawing from Kherson and openly stating they were hoping for a GOP win so the funding and supplies from the US would stop.

Gen Z you've fucking kicked Putin in the balls directly or indirectly but you've made an impact!

1668016661856.png
 
Anybody know how many 2020 deniers and/or "America First" candidates got through?

You already got Trump endorsed Budd, Vance and possibly Laxalt making it to the Senate so regardless of who has control, unlikely to dial down the rhetoric.
 
Zor Prime said:
You can go to CNN and dial down into the state. The only county that Masto is leading is in Clark by 5 points. It's the only county where Mastro has a lead. There's a one or two counties with a good deal of votes left to tally. It's a statistical improbability if not impossibility at this point for Masto to win.
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Absolutely not true. What is being counted now for the next day or three are early and mail in votes. Those lean heavily blue. Trump engineered that so flips in counting can look like fraud.

You're seeing a red mirage. And it is identical to the one in 2020.
 
gothuevos said:
Anybody know how many 2020 deniers and/or "America First" candidates got through?

You already got Trump endorsed Budd, Vance and possibly Laxalt making it to the Senate so regardless of who has control, unlikely to dial down the rhetoric.
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I guess you don't invest in the stock market. The negatives always outweigh the positives right?
 
gothuevos said:
Anybody know how many 2020 deniers and/or "America First" candidates got through?

You already got Trump endorsed Budd, Vance and possibly Laxalt making it to the Senate so regardless of who has control, unlikely to dial down the rhetoric.
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i saw this earlier in the day

www.nytimes.com

See Which 2020 Election Deniers and Skeptics Won and Lost in the Midterm Elections (Published 2022)

More than 220 Republicans who questioned or denied the 2020 election results have won in the midterms so far.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
 
MrSquished said:
Right. My point is it's not getting better with these ghouls, and Walker is more horrific than that crazy bitch Kelly who lost two years ago
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If anyone needs confirmation Walker shouldn’t get within 1K miles of the Senate, check out my Wack Pack v Herschel Walker thread
 
Zor Prime said:
You can go to CNN and dial down into the state. The only county that Masto is leading is in Clark by 5 points. It's the only county where Mastro has a lead. There's a one or two counties with a good deal of votes left to tally. It's a statistical improbability if not impossibility at this point for Masto to win.
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Guess you weren’t watching CNN then. Clark county is 75% of the population for the state
 
fskimospy said:
Also 'people become more conservative as they age' is largely a myth. People tend to become more conservative relative to society but that's a function of society becoming more liberal. Generally speaking political views are fixed and stable over time.
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Got a link to back that up? I could see staying roughly on one side or the other, but definitely seems to become more extreme with age.

I remember when it was the Millienials that were going to kill the republicans. Now the Millennials are voting in large numbers the republicans have just gotten more crazy, and that is after nearly all of the "greatest" generation and many boomers have died off.
 
Zorba said:
Got a link to back that up? I could see staying roughly on one side or the other, but definitely seems to become more extreme with age.

I remember when it was the Millienials that were going to kill the republicans. Now the Millennials are voting in large numbers the republicans have just gotten more crazy, and that is after nearly all of the "greatest" generation and many boomers have died off.
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Sure, here you go: https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1113&context=poliscifacpub

If you read through the paper you'll see they do find people shift slightly to the right as they get older but for the most part people's views don't change.
 
Zor Prime said:
You can go to CNN and dial down into the state. The only county that Masto is leading is in Clark by 5 points. It's the only county where Mastro has a lead. There's a one or two counties with a good deal of votes left to tally. It's a statistical improbability if not impossibility at this point for Masto to win.
Click to expand...

BTW, the ONLY statistical model that would make a blue win improbable is pulling from a statistically randomized sample.

But the votes are not counted in a randomized fashion. They are counted by type. And last to be counted are mail in, absentee and early votes. Those for obvious propaganda reasons lean very, very blue. and day of in person votes lean very very red.

You're seeing a red mirage.
 
fskimospy said:
Sure, here you go: https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1113&context=poliscifacpub

If you read through the paper you'll see they do find people shift slightly to the right as they get older but for the most part people's views don't change.
Click to expand...

It's more an overton window thing where the individual might shift slightly a few ticks right or left, but overall society shifts much more liberal as time goes on (gay marriage, bikinis at the beach, etc.). Essentially, you as a person tend to kind of stick to where you were but those darn kids keep doing more liberal stuff as time marches on.
 
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