Originally posted by: RabidMongoose
Originally posted by: Aimster
Well if Europe is not growing then in 20-50 years Europe will be equal to the M.E in terms of economy.
I doubt that the Middle East is going to be overtaking Europe any time soon.
I'm kind of curiosu - how much of the Middle East's economy is NOT oil based?
Algeria: $17.8B oil revenue / 66 Billion GDP =
27%
Indonesia: $1.4B oil revenue / 208.2 Billion GDP =
.067%
Iran: $23.9B oil revenue / 136.8 Billion GDP =
17.4%
Iraq: $9.6B oil revenue /
No Data
Kuwait: $18.7B oil revenue / 35.3 Billion GDP =
52%
Libya: $13.4B oil revenue / 19.1 Billion GDP =
70%
Nigeria: $20.9B oil revenue / 50.2 Billion GDP =
41.6%
Qatar: $9.4B oil revenue / 17.466 Billion GDP =
53.8%
Saudi Arabia: $80.8B oil revenue / 188.479 Billion GDP =
42.8%
UAE: $23.7B oil revenue / 70.960 Billion GDP =
33.3%
Venezuela: $20.6B oil revenue / 84.793 Billion GDP =
24.3%
All of these countries have enough oil to last them for decades. They keep finding more oil there every year and upgrading their reserves. If there was a shortage of oil in these countries the entire global system would collapse. The only country that suffers from a threat to their reserves is Syria. They only have 10 years left, but Syria is not a major oil player.
Slowly these nations invest more money into other sectors of their economy. Each year billions are being invested for education and social programs to help boost the economy from their reliance on oil. Compare these nations to what they were 20 years ago. Each year they continue to grow and each year their reliance on oil is being cut short.
While their investments pay off, Europe continues to stay steady.
For example: Bahrain is investing $100billion into their economy in the next 5 years. $50 billion of that is for non-oil services and $50 billion is related to oil (search for more resources, upgade current facilities, etc).
Most of these nations are seeing growth rates while Europe is seeing no growth.
In 2004 the predict oil revenue from those countries was: $286.4
In 2005 the predict oil revenue for those countries is: $262.5
Yet they all have a growth rate forcast for 2005.
A perfect example is UAE. They only rely on 33% of their GDP for oil revenues. They once used to rely on much more.