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2009 Kentucky Derby - SAT May 2

S

spidey07

No Lifer
2 minutes of racing for the best 3 year old thoroughbred horses in the world. Race is Saturday. Morning line odds should give you a feel for where professional handicappers put them. Lower odds "generally" means bigger chance of coming in the money but every horse here had to win enough to even be eligible.

So make your picks for 1st, 2nd and 3rd. Get them correct and you have bragging rights. Bet them and you'll have a nice chunk of change. Or just pick the winner for fun and a "I told you so". 11 Chocolate Candy is worth a look, favorite 13 I Want Revenge is the morning line fav for a reason but the 13th position could be a problem.

-edit-
Track is currently sloppy after all night rains. Should get to a FAST condition by the time the race goes off at 6:24 on NBC. Coverage starts at 5:00.

Horse Days Off Wins/Starts Morning Line Power Rating
1 West Side Bernie 27 2/7 30 103.2
2 Musket Man 27 2/3 20 105.1
3 Mr. Hot Stuff 27 1/5 30 100.2
4 Advice 13 2/6 30 99.6
5 Hold Me Back 20 3/5 15 102
6 Friesan Fire 48 3/5 5 102.7
7 Papa Clem 20 2/4 20 108.2
8 Mine That Bird 33 1/4 50 98.9
9 Join In The Dance 20 0/2 50 102.6
10 Regal Ransom 34 1/3 30 99.2
11 Chocolate Candy 27 4/7 20 100.5
12 General Quarters 20 2/3 20 104.1
SCR 13 I Want Revenge 27 3/5 3 105.9
14 Atomic Rain 27 0/5 50 97
15 Dunkirk 34 1/2 4 101.6
16 Pioneerof The Nile 27 4/6 4 105.6
17 Summer Bird 20 1/2 50 99.9
18 Nowhere To Hide 27 1/6 50 100.9
19 Desert Party 34 1/2 15 89.1
20 Flying Private 20 0/6 50 98.2
 
Originally posted by: spidey07
Favorite I Want Revenge has scratched. Out of the race with a small problem with his ankle. He'll be fine though.

http://sports.espn.go.com/spor.../news/story?id=4126424

"When the word came out that running could hurt the horse, I looked at both doctors and said 'Then there is no debate," Lanzman said. "We'll fight another day."
Click to expand...

Reminds me of another race day scratch years ago. It caused quite a stir, when it was announced over the tracks P.A. system. The horse's name you ask? "Harass".
 
I'm all over the freaking place. West Side Bearnie should be great at that price, Papa Clem great horse, Hold Me Back is a closer.

TRI - 1-6-12-17
 
Need to watch the payouts, they should be HUGE! Mine That Bird was purchased for 9,500 dollars. This is a huge upset.
 
Originally posted by: snoopdoug1
Originally posted by: spidey07
Originally posted by: snoopdoug1
Mine That Bird FTW
Click to expand...

You win the thread. Long shot upset.
Click to expand...

What do I win? Those were some crazy odds I just hit there.
Click to expand...

If you had him in an exacta the pay out will easily be over 2,000 dollars. Trifecta is probably well over 10K. If you had him to win on a 2 dollar bet it'd pay around 100 bucks. I just want to see what the payouts are.
 
HOLY MONEY! 2,000 dollar exacta, 40K trifect, 500,000 dollar superfecta.
POS Finisher Win Place Show
1st 8-Mine That Bird $103.20 $54.00 $25.80
2nd 16-Pioneerof The Nile - $8.40 $6.40
3rd 2-Musket Man - - $12.00
4th 7-Papa Clem - - -
11-Chocolate Candy - - -
$2.00 DOUBLE 6/8 $632.40
$1.00 EXACTA 8-16 $1037.40
$1.00 TRIFECTA 8-16-2 $20750.30
$1.00 SUPERFECTA 8-16-2-7 $278503.20
$1.00 PICK 3 3 of 3 3/6/8 $1452.50
$1.00 PICK 4 4 of 4 3/3/1,6/8 $20442.30
$0.50 PICK 4 4 of 4 3/3/1,6/8 $10221.15
$0.00 PICK 6 CA CarryOver $781145.94
$2.00 PICK 6 5 of 6 6/4/3/3/1,6/8 $1718.80
 
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