Question Zen 6 Speculation Thread

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OneEng2

Senior member
Sep 19, 2022
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How many times do I and others have to point this out ton you. N2 is for server and high margin desktop/laptop and the rest is on N3. High volume is all on N3.
.. and what do you consider high margin desktop laptop in the current lineup?
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So they stayed at approximately 90/10 split for ~3 years, and then all of a sudden in went to a 50/50 split in only 3 quarters. What the hell happened in such short time? And how come all/most customers made the same move in the same short timespan?
I think this is the big question. Why did the graph change so quickly?
These are Passmark test submissions that people are misinterpreting as market share.
Market share figures are also showing sharp changes so it isn't like these figures are all that suspect. Since they are test submissions, they are more real time than market analysis studies though.
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What caused the bump in Q1-Q2 2021? Was it Milan starting to sell in volume?
Possibly so. I think most people will think it is due to Turin, but I also wonder if it wasn't more Milan for the sales volume.
 
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OneEng2

Senior member
Sep 19, 2022
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Hard to command good pricing on a gaming console that Retails for $500. To make a profit the entire BOM (including mechanical and packaging) needs to be around $200. That doesn't leave much room for an expensive processor.

Of course, there is the thought that you give away the console at cost in order to make the money on the games sales from your exclusive e-store.

Even then, its hard to imagine the CPU can be afforded much more than $150 even on a loss leader product.
 

yottabit

Golden Member
Jun 5, 2008
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Hard to command good pricing on a gaming console that Retails for $500. To make a profit the entire BOM (including mechanical and packaging) needs to be around $200. That doesn't leave much room for an expensive processor.

Of course, there is the thought that you give away the console at cost in order to make the money on the games sales from your exclusive e-store.

Even then, its hard to imagine the CPU can be afforded much more than $150 even on a loss leader product.
I feel like we have this discussion every other day but the total BOM cost on consoles, especially at launch, can actually be pretty close to the retail price. Resellers don’t get much margin on the console itself and the manufacturers are basically willing to move units by selling at a minor loss or wash. The profit is in the games and accessories.

So from the perspective of this thread, yes - AMD could easily be getting $200+ per APU for a launch console
 

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
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on a gaming console that Retails for $500
Next consoles will be like $800.
PS6 will have more,
They have less now.
Why would they have more, later?
AMD will lean to a chiplet solution.
It's not AMD leaning, InFO is not volume-probable for consoles in 2027.
Especially now, when AMD has an economical solution in InFO to connect the chiplets.
-LSI is anything but, but I digress.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
16,552
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I feel like we have this discussion every other day but the total BOM cost on consoles, especially at launch, can actually be pretty close to the retail price. Resellers don’t get much margin on the console itself and the manufacturers are basically willing to move units by selling at a minor loss or wash. The profit is in the games and accessories.

Things have changed. This is the first console generation where prices have gone up, lol.

Even notoriously cheapskate Nintendo went from $299 for the Switch 1 to $449 for the Switch 2. Yeah, the PS6 and XBox consoles are going up in price.
 

gdansk

Diamond Member
Feb 8, 2011
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Things have changed. This is the first console generation where prices have gone up, lol.

Even notoriously cheapskate Nintendo went from $299 for the Switch 1 to $449 for the Switch 2. Yeah, the PS6 and XBox consoles are going up in price.
There was a large increase in the money supply between Switch 1 and 2. But Nintendo may also be the exception trying to make money from day 1 on hardware. Or maybe they're the example for the others to follow.
 

inquiss

Senior member
Oct 13, 2010
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.. and what do you consider high margin desktop laptop in the current lineup?
The same thing I've said in every post where I've responded to you on this topic.

Desktop.. everything (except any of the monolithic APUs they could release to desktop later)
Laptop.. desktop replacement laptops. Fire range replacements.
Simply, things that use a CPU chiplet...

All the volume laptop APUs are N3 class and monolithic.
 

OneEng2

Senior member
Sep 19, 2022
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Resellers don’t get much margin on the console itself
Seems like you are correct. While in general, retailers get %20-%40 margins, they use new console launches to drive foot traffic and to get margins on additional controllers and games.

So neither the manufacturer or the retailer are making much margin (5-10%) on the console itself.

Rumor is the PS6 will retail for around $600-$700. Very few people are thinking $800. I think it is a tough sell at $700. After all, at the end of the day its JUST a toy for your older kids.

Still, I suspect Sony will have a pretty successful launch.
 

marees

Golden Member
Apr 28, 2024
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If so, they will fail. Current price trajectory is unsustainable. Switch 2 did it right, but its price is right at the limit. Others will have to follow suit. > $500 is untenable for volume.
The popular theory is that Sony will stick to accepted norms (subject to the ransom they have to pay to TSMC(

But Microsoft has dropped out of the console race & with Satya extracting his pound of flesh, all they care about is game server / game cloud hardware. End user console prices might become untethered from sony's prices