for a customer I made a benchamark of AMD e350 vs Origen, based on java integer performance.
Samsung Origen: 1142
Power consumption Max: 8 Watt
Idle: 2 Watt
Price: 190 Dollars
Amd e350: 2137
Power Consumption MAX: 57 Watt
Idle: 12 Watt
Price: 600 dollars
Amd e350 is not the latest tech available, but is much faster than any atom. Performance is within the same order of magnitude, while power consumption both is one order of magnitude greater.
For that very application, and with that synthetic benchmark, ARM is much better. If you are plugged to the power, have an unlimited amount of cash and don't care about heat then x86 is better. Anyhow the smartphone world is much more similar to my use case than the latter.
x86 simply cannot play in the 1-10 Watt league.
The E-350 is not AMD's lowest power processor. That would be the Z-01, which draws ~5W max, so total platform power should be under 10W. However, it's only 1Ghz, to the E-350's 1.6Ghz. Assuming that benchmark scales linearly with clockspeed, the 1Ghz -z01 would score about 1336 on that benchmark, so still faster than the samsung origen by a bit. Intel has atoms that do a bit better in power consumption.
I have a 10" tablet with the z-01 processor, and average power consumption of the entire system is under 10W.
IMO, the 2W-10W battle field (ie, tablets and ultraportables) is one that x86 is fully capable of conquering, the challenge will be doing it at a lower cost than ARM. Getting competitive in cell phones (where 2W needs to be roughly the max power consumption of the SOC, and average needs to be around half a watt) is going to be much tougher.
Intel's ULV platforms are going to own the sub 10W market in performance. Trigate plus spending transistors on power gating is going to create an unmatched level of performance/power consumption. Heck, Intel is already unmatched as is, they're only besting themselves.
But the cost of an ULV chip is probably at least 50% more than it's ARM competition, even if power is vastly in its favor. Atom and Bobcat exist not because of power efficiency, but because of low cost of production. They're comparable in cost to ARM solutions. They may be able to beat ARM in power efficiency as well, but it's close, Atom and Bobcat have the lead at current power levels, but the A15 core is putting more focus on performance. Current ARM designs are optimized for absolute low power usage first and foremost, which means they probably left a bit of efficiency on the design table in order to hit lower power targets for phones. The very profitable smart phone and tablet market is also increasing demand for high end, pricier ARM socs, so ARM can start throwing transistors at their designs to increase performance if need be.
The theoretical lower limit of the power needed by a decoder is VERY HIGH.
It's high for a phone platform, but once you start measuring power in watts, it's not that high. Tom's hardware did a test years back with the Athlon XP Mobile chips, a chip with barely any power management features, and they got the chip down to about 3W power consumption at 300Mhz. Now at about the same power consumption, AMD can put out a 1Ghz dual core chip with graphics on it.
ARM cpus use a decoder too, btw.