Originally posted by: Fern
Originally posted by: Arkaign
Originally posted by: Fern
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I don't think I've seen anything that is supply-related that explains the incredible surge in prices. It seems largely speculation and manipulation-related.
If you read that link you'll see inventories are shrinking. You'll see demand rising. Now, not US demand (we reduced demand), but global demand.
Inventories don't shrink unless demand exceeds supply.
Also, know that, for example, a 1% shortage in supply doesn't translate into 1% increase in supply. It results in a vastly larger price increase.
I saw a link here a while ago where current global demand exceeds supply by 500 million barrels daily (most like I have disremebered the correct number). Haven't been able to find it though.
But again, Iran has excess supply. But their oil is "dirty" and I don't think we, or many others, can refine it.
Fern