Originally posted by: syzygy
clinton had shown some mettle to intervene. some. not much, but enough perhaps to presage his decision to topple saddam by multi-lateral means if he had been able to serve a third term.
why ? four reasons :
1 - saddam would have been HIS problem for ten years at that point. he knew saddam had offered osama sanctuary in 2000 when the taliban were considering the remote possibility of shipping the master terrorist to a third state friendly. he knew that saddam and his minions had been flirting with osama and his people for many years. he knew that war against saddam had already been mapped by his own people as an eventuality against continue diplomatic failures.
He offered him haven? Or are you talking about the whole things with Zarqawi, which, at the time, had nothing to do with al Qaeda? Either way, it was in the Kurdish region, which we controlled.
2 - one major lesson from 9/11 is zero tolerance for rogue sovereign states who harbor, sponsor, and aid terrorist organizations. saddam was egging the world with his unrivaled support for terrorist organizations, leading a state that in itself functioned as a terrorist organization, and refusing to comply with diplomatic entreaties from multiple fronts. he had spoken with richard butler, knew intimately the ba'athist lies and evasions from rolf eckaus, and had been an upfront witness to endless talk-diplomacy wrangling.
Unrivaled support for terrorism? Which terrorists? Do you mean his weak attempt at sucking up the Arabs/Muslims by giving money to Palestinian suicide bomber families?
i don't know how you can minimize saddam's support for palestinian terrorists as 'sucking up' when the net effects of his aid to them is the same nonetheless (i.e. supports terrorism - my original point, which you confirmed without knowing).
other terrorists ? his avowed support for the pkk, iranian mujahedin, abu nidal organization (centered in baghdad), and other individuals with allegiances to islamo-fascists. i'm curious what sophistry is stirring in your mind to explain away these examples.
if you need links, literature references, articles from reputable magazines . . . ask.
4 - clinton had shown a begrudged willingness to intervene when the enormity of the crime could no longer escape the legal maneuvers and historical fears. there is one critical exception to this (rwanda) but that example failed because of the remote geopolitical natiure of the ordeal. not anymore thought. he admitted fauilure to not doing more to help the people against a government determined to exterminate them. the seed was layed, watered by his contrition, that military intervention should be a more likely consideration regardless of how remote the center of atrocities is. iraq was not remote. iraq had tied up his government's attention for a decade. all the talk, all the pleas, all the failure, would have been his.
Sure, Saddam was deceitful and tried his best to make himself look like as much of a threat as possible, but he wasn't. And overall, compared to other nations under brutal regimes, he was rather weak. His military lacked power, his country was mostly not under his control and his neighbors hated him. Knowing Clinton would use force (remember, Clinton was criticized heavily for his excessive use of cruise missiles) if the circumstances were serious enough (not in violence, but in political gravity/consequences towards us or allies), why bother with Iraq?
i'm not interested in your ex post facto analysis. if you had better information than our intelligence services en toto, or those of italy, great britian, australia, germany, france, and russia, and the united nations (14-0 approval for res. 1441), then you should have come forward then.
while there were disenting opinions - there always is - the majority view held by these nations what that saddam's continued unwillingness to fully comply with u.n. demands made the ba'athist state a pariah, a rogue, of lethal murkiness, that we should not have to tolerate in our consciouness.
congress and clinton were well aware of this, in 1998, when the edict sanctioning forced regime change came down. with legal foresight, they planned for that eventuality, and bush simply executed it. now, as to whether clinton would have done so is debateable.