Will a robot take your job?

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How likely will a robot take your job?

  • Very likely 80-100%

  • Quite likely 60-79%

  • Likely 40-59%

  • Unlikely 20-39%

  • Very unlikely 0-19%


Results are only viewable after voting.

88keys

Golden Member
Aug 24, 2012
1,854
12
81
I think their assessments are overly optimistic. Artificial intelligence would need to come a long way before being able to fill even remedial jobs. The thing is that even now robots and automated systems are highly dependent on perfection that doesn't exist in the real world. There is a warehouse in the city where I live that has automated cranes and the building was specifically designed for these cranes. Granted I'm told that they work well and it requires minimal staffing but how often will it make sense to design an entire building just to have things get moved around automatically.

AI needs to be able to make intelligent decisions and be able to adapt to adverse environments before it will take over our jobs in full scale.

I will happen but I'd estimate that it will be more like 30-50 years instead of 10-20
 

BurnItDwn

Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
26,352
1,861
126
At some point in the distant future, robots may have humanlike minds with humanlike learning capacity, in which case, all jobs could be replaced.

Until then, my job will be taken by somebody off shore.
 

Imp

Lifer
Feb 8, 2000
18,828
184
106
I think the better question would have been: what are the chances that an Indian or Chinese worker will take my job since my salary in America can pay for at least two of them back home?
 

cavemanmoron

Lifer
Mar 13, 2001
13,664
28
91
HAHAHAHAHAA

I retired from a job that a Robot would not want to do. Plowing snow in the winter,
mowing lawns in the summer, etc.

Retired, will not lose that job to a robot.
 

Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
70,542
13,793
126
www.anyf.ca
I think the better question would have been: what are the chances that an Indian or Chinese worker will take my job since my salary in America can pay for at least two of them back home?

Yeah right now I think outsourcing is the biggest threat. Can't ignore automation mind you but we should concentrate on the greater threat first. As a start governments should simply make outsourcing illegal or add tons of red tape, but who am I kidding, governments don't actually care about their people they care about the corporations, so they actually give incentives to outsource instead of forbidding it.

People overseas are willing to live in poverty and work poverty wages while here we want to have a decent place to live and decent food etc. It seems that's too much to ask for now days.
 

BoberFett

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
37,562
9
81
Unlikely. I'm management, and as everybody knows we already do no work, so it's not like a robot is going to come along that produces nothing at a faster rate than I do.

:p
 

StrangerGuy

Diamond Member
May 9, 2004
8,443
124
106
They recently tried and failed at my old job. Was supposed to replace 5 workers or so and instead the constant maintenance on the flaky robot ended up increasing the FTE required by about 1.5x . It was a total disaster. OT galore.

I think productivity will soon hit a peak. Alot of people do lazy "take current trend and extrapolate!" analysis but that literally never happens. I think robotics are currently banging their head against the wall now that alot of the low hanging fruit has been taken. They have a real cost effectiveness problem when all the maintenance is taken into account.

Robots are still doing tasks that are ultimately dumb, repetitive and of a very limited scope. Them becoming smaller fundamentally never changed any of that. They havent broke out of that mould for decades when electronic tech was moving at breakneck speed, why would it change now when that has stagnated more or less?
 

Humpy

Diamond Member
Mar 3, 2011
4,464
596
126
Robots are still doing tasks that are ultimately dumb, repetitive and of a very limited scope. Them becoming smaller fundamentally never changed any of that. They havent broke out of that mould for decades when electronic tech was moving at breakneck speed, why would it change now when that has stagnated more or less?

Aren't we clearly at the cusp of another significant evolution in the use of robots with them now being mobile? The Google car, the Boston Dynamics goat, and autonomous whirly birds have a pretty big potential to overcome whatever stagnation there is/was.
 

mmntech

Lifer
Sep 20, 2007
17,501
12
0
I think the better question would have been: what are the chances that an Indian or Chinese worker will take my job since my salary in America can pay for at least two of them back home?

Or rather what are the chances of an Filipino or African worker taking your job. The Chinese and the Indians are starting to realize they're being dicked around.

In all seriousness, they need to be drilling that into the high school kids. Pick a career path where you're job isn't likely to be automated or outsourced. The days of following your dreams are dead and buried.
 

Zodiark1593

Platinum Member
Oct 21, 2012
2,230
4
81
Unlikely. I'm management, and as everybody knows we already do no work, so it's not like a robot is going to come along that produces nothing at a faster rate than I do.

:p
Give a robot a taser, and program it so if a worker is producing less than a certain amount, or sleeping/slacking off, they get a zap. Since robots have absolutely no empathy, money will be saved as all requests for raises will be denied, and again, no more need for promotions.

The future American workplace.
 

Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
70,542
13,793
126
www.anyf.ca
Or rather what are the chances of an Filipino or African worker taking your job. The Chinese and the Indians are starting to realize they're being dicked around.

In all seriousness, they need to be drilling that into the high school kids. Pick a career path where you're job isn't likely to be automated or outsourced. The days of following your dreams are dead and buried.

Yep that's true. Something they never even talked about in high school. That and to take something that's actually in demand. Underwater basket weaving might be quite a special skill to have but if it's not in demand then there's no point in going to school for that.

I think small business needs to be something taken more seriously as well. Working for the man is going to get to a point where it's hard to even get a job for and "The man" knows this, so the conditions wont be very fun. The next best thing will be to do your own gig, but that does take lot of skills and dedication, but those are the things they should be teaching in school. Concepts such as marketing and what not. There were small business courses but they were very dry and useless. They need to revamp this for the 21st century.