Why is it OK for some countries to have nuclear weapons and not others?

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woolfe9999

Diamond Member
Mar 28, 2005
7,153
0
0
Don't lie about what I say. I did not say what you claim, and I do not agree with your statements. I corrected errors in a post.

So Wolfe, can you list every mistake your mother ever made?

Thanks. So, Wolfe said his mother is the worst mother in the world.

I was parodying the one-sidedness of what you wrote. I am suggesting that you, at the very least, are relying on highly partisan sources for your history. Where should I start? Will a single issue due?

Let's take Afghanistan, where you have the US not just arming the Mujahadeen, but actually being responsible for the rebellion there and hence the subsequent Soviet invasion. Let me be careful to not mischaracterize what you wrote.

Afghanistan had a decent, socialist government - when the US decided it would serve its cold war interests to draw the USSR into a quagmire there. The US began undermining the government, aiding people to attack it, driving the government to ask the USSR to save it - which they promptly did by arriving and executing the Prime Minister who invited them and taking over, leading to that quagmire.

That war had strengthened the radical Islamic forces, who we then just left - leading to the Taliban, who were headed by a man who was friends with Osama bin Laden.

9/11 was a power grab by Osama bin Laden, but the US had provocations, such as placing US military forces in Saudi Arabia, offending many Muslims.

You start off by claiming that Afghanistan had a "decent, socialist government...." In fact, that government tried to enact a number of socialist reforms very quickly in a country with a very conservative, religious populace, and most importantly, when the people initially protested the reforms quite angrily, the regime brutally suppressed the opposition, killing some 20,000+ citizens, most executed as political prisoners. This - the radical reforms enacted too quickly and most importantly, the regime's bloody suppression of opposition to said reforms - is what caused the rebellion there.

The allegation that the US drew the Soviets into a trap was IIRC based on an interview with Zbigniew Brzezinski some time back in the 1990's if memory serves. Brzezinski denied that he said that, but his denial is not so important as the fact that Carter administration documents were subsequently declassified and clarified the issue. The real truth is that the US did support the idea of destablizing the regime to draw in the Soviets. However, our role in the matter was minimal prior to the actual invasion. We supplied no arms until after the invasion, and what propaganda we did contribute started well after there was already open rebellion. The principle parties responsible for that invasion were the Afghan regime, the Afghan rebels, and the USSR. Your version magnifies the US role to portray the US as principle architects of the entire thing. The real truth is that although we may have been more than happy to see the USSR get bogged down there, we had very little do with it.

- wolf
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
88,154
55,703
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All you're accomplishing is the stroking of your own ego and I think that most of what you're posting in this thread is designed to do that by splitting hairs that are irrelevant to what
most people are saying. (E.g., the distinction between realism vs. realpolitik which didn't even contradict what I was saying about it [you just wanted to hear yourself distinguish the two.]) If you have arguments, use them. Trying to make yourself look like an authority is completely useless. In fact, it just supports my position that your posts are about hair-splitting for ego's sake.

I tried to explain to you that you're too focused on the semantics of "crazy" but you just keep repeating yourself anyway. Again, it's as if we're discussing whether we should take the freedom of someone who murders his family away. People say "of course we should this guy is crazy." I say "yes, he's crazy. He might actually have a mental illness and in any case he's crazy in the sense that he's unethical / depraved." You come in and say, "What has he done that's crazy? He doesn't want to take shit from anyone around him. He's acting in self-interest." How is that really addressing what people are talking about? It doesn't seem like it does.

Because the idea that someone is crazy and the idea that someone is bad are two incredibly different things requiring two incredibly different responses. I really can't figure out why you're having such a hard time grasping this.

As for realpolitik and realism, I was trying to show you that you don't even understand the terms under discussion, and furthermore you tried to ascribe an IR philosophy to me that I don't hold. If you knew much about IR you would realize how silly it was to talk about realism while emphasizing the role of leadership. (the former explicitly excludes the latter) If you think me telling you what the basic terms under discussion mean is just hearing myself talk that's fine, but if you just want to continue to spout uninformed opinions, what's the point?

Past: North Korea attacked South Korea and continues to threaten its neighbor.
Future: Use them.

How was attacking South Korea crazy? How is threatening South Korea crazy? What makes you think that North Korea would use its nuclear weapons? What could you possibly be basing this on?

Really? I thought you said that you agreed that it's not in our interest or their neighbors interest for NK to have nukes. Is that something you disagree with now?

We both agree that North Korea shouldn't have nuclear weapons. I believe they shouldn't have them due to the shift in the power and bargaining situation there. You believe they shouldn't have them because you insanely think they are going to nuke their neighbors.

Basically your opinion on this is the IR equivalent of a stopped clock being right twice a day, you got the right answer by accident.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
111,947
31,483
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Germany wasn't flying around in their planes bombing the continental US during WW2.

Are you serious?

navy_army_ww2_flag.gif


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Attack_on_Pearl_Harbor

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aleutian_Islands_Campaign
 

bfdd

Lifer
Feb 3, 2007
13,312
1
0
we need nukes in case the aliens show up. sure we probably couldn't hurt the aliens with them, but we sure as shit could blow this mother fucker up so they can't have it.
 

Infohawk

Lifer
Jan 12, 2002
17,844
1
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Because the idea that someone is crazy and the idea that someone is bad are two incredibly different things requiring two incredibly different responses. I really can't figure out why you're having such a hard time grasping this.

As for realpolitik and realism, I was trying to show you that you don't even understand the terms under discussion, and furthermore you tried to ascribe an IR philosophy to me that I don't hold. If you knew much about IR you would realize how silly it was to talk about realism while emphasizing the role of leadership. (the former explicitly excludes the latter) If you think me telling you what the basic terms under discussion mean is just hearing myself talk that's fine, but if you just want to continue to spout uninformed opinions, what's the point?



How was attacking South Korea crazy? How is threatening South Korea crazy? What makes you think that North Korea would use its nuclear weapons? What could you possibly be basing this on?



We both agree that North Korea shouldn't have nuclear weapons. I believe they shouldn't have them due to the shift in the power and bargaining situation there. You believe they shouldn't have them because you insanely think they are going to nuke their neighbors.

Basically your opinion on this is the IR equivalent of a stopped clock being right twice a day, you got the right answer by accident.

Thank you for exemplifying my point: even though the distinction between realpolitik and realism doesn't make a single fucking difference here, you just want to make yourself sound like a bigshot by wrongly correcting me.

Now, I do understand what realpolitik is and it does apply to international relations. Feel free to rebut the Wikipedia article on the subject if you're going to keep going on with your nonsense. I'm aware that talking about the uniqueness of leaders is at odds with realism. I wasn't saying it was so stop making shit up. My point was that you seemed to be only focused on the realpolitik/realism angle and that I and other people might want to talk about the crazy leaders themselves. (And here "crazy" means the kind of person who claims rainbows appeared when he was born.") Now maybe I misunderstood you (which is easy to do since you like attacking ideas that are similar to yours but that don't use the same terms) but nowhere did I say I think realism and personality studies go hand in hand.

Jesus fucking christ you really cannot keep away from the hair-splitting can you?
I believe they shouldn't have them due to the shift in the power and bargaining situation there.
Okay, what exactly do you mean by that? Please go in more detail. I'm not asking because I disagree but because I think I do in fact agree with you and I will show that you're hair-splitting.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
88,154
55,703
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Thank you for exemplifying my point: even though the distinction between realpolitik and realism doesn't make a single fucking difference here, you just want to make yourself sound like a bigshot by wrongly correcting me.

Now, I do understand what realpolitik is and it does apply to international relations. Feel free to rebut the Wikipedia article on the subject if you're going to keep going on with your nonsense. I'm aware that talking about the uniqueness of leaders is at odds with realism. I wasn't saying it was so stop making shit up. My point was that you seemed to be only focused on the realpolitik/realism angle and that I and other people might want to talk about the crazy leaders themselves. (And here "crazy" means the kind of person who claims rainbows appeared when he was born.") Now maybe I misunderstood you (which is easy to do since you like attacking ideas that are similar to yours but that don't use the same terms) but nowhere did I say I think realism and personality studies go hand in hand.

Jesus fucking christ you really cannot keep away from the hair-splitting can you?

Okay, what exactly do you mean by that? Please go in more detail. I'm not asking because I disagree but because I think I do in fact agree with you and I will show that you're hair-splitting.

You obviously can't read. I have done nothing but talk about how leadership is primary from my very first post to you. You acknowledge that unique leaders are at odds with realism. You then declare that I'm focusing only on the realism angle. Your argument is retarded.

Your ideas aren't similar to mine at all. I know that you're getting mad, but you really have zero idea as to what you're talking about. I actually do know what I'm talking about in this situation, yet you continue to bleat out the same wrong crap. Stop it.
 

Infohawk

Lifer
Jan 12, 2002
17,844
1
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You obviously can't read. I have done nothing but talk about how leadership is primary from my very first post to you. You acknowledge that unique leaders are at odds with realism. You then declare that I'm focusing only on the realism angle. Your argument is retarded.

Your ideas aren't similar to mine at all. I know that you're getting mad, but you really have zero idea as to what you're talking about. I actually do know what I'm talking about in this situation, yet you continue to bleat out the same wrong crap. Stop it.

Like I said I might have misunderstood you originally. (You've had similar misunderstandings so must not be able to read either. And honestly if you didn't constantly take irrelevant positions it might be easier for people to follow you.)

You saying you know what you're talking about doesn't change anything. Again, it only strokes your ego. Let's say you are some expert on international relations. Who cares? You still haven't made any important points here. You're obviously desperate to but all you can do is split-hairs because that's all you have.

If your position is all that different than mine, please expand on what you meant by
I believe they shouldn't have them due to the shift in the power and bargaining situation there.

Weren't you suggesting that NK would never use nukes? How would the bargaining situation change there if NK would never use them?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
88,154
55,703
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Like I said I might have misunderstood you originally. (You've had similar misunderstandings so must not be able to read either. And honestly if you didn't constantly take irrelevant positions it might be easier for people to follow you.)

You saying you know what you're talking about doesn't change anything. Again, it only strokes your ego. Let's say you are some expert on international relations. Who cares? You still haven't made any important points here. You're obviously desperate to but all you can do is split-hairs because that's all you have.

If your position is all that different than mine, please expand on what you meant by

Weren't you suggesting that NK would never use nukes? How would the bargaining situation change there if NK would never use them?

If you think I haven't made any important points, you haven't understood what I've said. I'm not splitting hairs with you, I'm saying your entire understanding of North Korea and Iran is wrong.

North Korea will only use nuclear weapons if the survival of the regime is threatened. I have already said this. In the past the US could pose a credible threat to the survival of the regime, now it really can't. It should be exceedingly easy for you to see how that changes the bargaining situation.
 

Infohawk

Lifer
Jan 12, 2002
17,844
1
0
North Korea will only use nuclear weapons if the survival of the regime is threatened. I have already said this. In the past the US could pose a credible threat to the survival of the regime, now it really can't. It should be exceedingly easy for you to see how that changes the bargaining situation.

So now you're saying that it's possible North Korea would use nuclear weapons. When I was saying North Korea could use them this is what I was getting at. We're not really disagreeing and this is why you're just a hair-splitting asshat. This is not rocket science. It's obvious to basically everyone on the board except the OP (although even he probably realizes it and just wanted to criticize US foreign policy). You wish it was more complicated because you seem to define yourself as some sort of IR expert and feel threatened when other people understand it readily.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
88,154
55,703
136
So now you're saying that it's possible North Korea would use nuclear weapons. When I was saying North Korea could use them this is what I was getting at. We're not really disagreeing and this is why you're just a hair-splitting asshat. This is not rocket science. It's obvious to basically everyone on the board except the OP (although even he probably realizes it and just wanted to criticize US foreign policy). You wish it was more complicated because you seem to define yourself as some sort of IR expert and feel threatened when other people understand it readily.

I've always said that they could use them if the regime was threatened, but that's true of literally every country that has nuclear weapons, the US included. You attempted to paint them as somehow different than the US, but if you also believe that this is the only situation in which they would be employed by North Korea then your original point was complete bullshit. (which it of course was)

You're just an ignorant asshat with an inferiority complex who wants to play like he understands the world.
 

Infohawk

Lifer
Jan 12, 2002
17,844
1
0
You attempted to paint them as somehow different than the US

North Korea is different than the US. Again, this is something that's completely fucking obvious. Now if the past is any indicator, if I list a reason why they're different you will say it's BS, then basically agree with me somewhere else. :p

- North Korea is not a democracy and treats its citizens like shit by any standard compared to the US.
- North Korea has a crazy leader. "Frederick L. Coolidge and Daniel L. Segal (with the assistance of a South Korean psychiatrist considered an expert on Kim Jong-il's behavior), concluded that the “big six” group of personality disorders shared by dictators Adolf Hitler, Joseph Stalin, and Saddam Hussein (sadistic, paranoid, antisocial, narcissistic, schizoid and schizotypal) were also shared by Kim Jong-il—coinciding primarily with the profile of Saddam Hussein. Frederick L. Coolidge and Daniel L. Segal, 2008."
- North Korea has attacked its neighbor in the past seeking permanent territorial gains
- North Korea threats its neighbor for no valid reason
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
88,154
55,703
136
North Korea is different than the US. Again, this is something that's completely fucking obvious. Now if the past is any indicator, if I list a reason why they're different you will say it's BS, then basically agree with me somewhere else. :p

- North Korea is not a democracy and treats its citizens like shit by any standard compared to the US.
- North Korea has a crazy leader. "Frederick L. Coolidge and Daniel L. Segal (with the assistance of a South Korean psychiatrist considered an expert on Kim Jong-il's behavior), concluded that the “big six” group of personality disorders shared by dictators Adolf Hitler, Joseph Stalin, and Saddam Hussein (sadistic, paranoid, antisocial, narcissistic, schizoid and schizotypal) were also shared by Kim Jong-il—coinciding primarily with the profile of Saddam Hussein. Frederick L. Coolidge and Daniel L. Segal, 2008."
- North Korea has attacked its neighbor in the past seeking permanent territorial gains
- North Korea threats its neighbor for no valid reason

Hey look, a mix of unqualified, wrong, shared, and irrelevant ideas!

- What evidence do you have that democracies or countries that treat their citizens well are less likely to use nuclear weapons?
- No reputable psychiatrist would accept a diagnosis by someone who has not personally met/interviewed the patient. Quackery.
- The US has attacked each and every neighbor we have ever had, seeking permanent territorial gains.
- 'Valid'? Based on what?

All that aside, this group of qualifications implies that you believe that North Korea would use nuclear weapons for some reason other than to defend the survival of the regime. What are these reasons? Be specific.
 

BoredWork

Member
Feb 20, 2010
31
0
0
maybe because most other countries are to unstable politically to risk it. if u have a country that habors terrorists..whos to say that they wont end up giving access to those devices. then we would be in a bigger world of **** then we are now.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
350
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maybe because most other countries are to unstable politically to risk it. if u have a country that habors terrorists..whos to say that they wont end up giving access to those devices. then we would be in a bigger world of **** then we are now.

The US harbors terrorists. We've also had terrorists in senior government positions.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
350
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I was parodying the one-sidedness of what you wrote.

It didn't come across that way, and doesn't seem especially helpful instead of just trying to make your point here.

You don't seem to understand the context of what I wrote, leading to your reaction.

What you seem to think I was writing was 'the history of these issues'. What I was actually writing was 'here's some things missing from your version of the history showing you have a very inaccurate summary'. The things I mentioned were intentionally for the purpose of contrasting his points that the US were never doing anything wrong.

That explains your reaction - but it was a mistake.

I am suggesting that you, at the very least, are relying on highly partisan sources for your history.

No, I'm not.

Where should I start? Will a single issue due?

Not really - I'd appreciate your listing any disagreement you have with each (after all, I went through each of his - even agreeing with a couple).

Let's take Afghanistan, where you have the US not just arming the Mujahadeen, but actually being responsible for the rebellion there and hence the subsequent Soviet invasion. Let me be careful to not mischaracterize what you wrote.



You start off by claiming that Afghanistan had a "decent, socialist government...." In fact, that government tried to enact a number of socialist reforms very quickly in a country with a very conservative, religious populace, and most importantly, when the people initially protested the reforms quite angrily, the regime brutally suppressed the opposition, killing some 20,000+ citizens, most executed as political prisoners. This - the radical reforms enacted too quickly and most importantly, the regime's bloody suppression of opposition to said reforms - is what caused the rebellion there.

The allegation that the US drew the Soviets into a trap was IIRC based on an interview with Zbigniew Brzezinski some time back in the 1990's if memory serves. Brzezinski denied that he said that, but his denial is not so important as the fact that Carter administration documents were subsequently declassified and clarified the issue. The real truth is that the US did support the idea of destablizing the regime to draw in the Soviets. However, our role in the matter was minimal prior to the actual invasion. We supplied no arms until after the invasion, and what propaganda we did contribute started well after there was already open rebellion. The principle parties responsible for that invasion were the Afghan regime, the Afghan rebels, and the USSR. Your version magnifies the US role to portray the US as principle architects of the entire thing. The real truth is that although we may have been more than happy to see the USSR get bogged down there, we had very little do with it.

- wolf

First I appreciate your comments, and think you might have some points. It has nothing to do with 'biased sources'. You're right, I'm relying largely, not entirely, on Brzezenski's interview - I'm concerned to hear from you he disputed it, I hadn't heard that in seeing a number of things about it over the years; and it does place the US is a larger role than you suggest they had. It has the US secretly deciding to back the rebels and antagonize the government to destabilize the regime and draw the Soviets in.

Now, you did infer some things that I was somewhat careful not to say, because in part off the top of my head I don't recall the details.

One of those was the US being the 'primary sponsor'; I did not say that, though I did imply the larger role consistent with the alleged Brzezenski interview. Another is you saying I said the US provided arms to the rebellion. I said they "aided" the rebellion, but not how - arms? propaganda, as you suggest? intelligence? training? I didn't say. Another is your claim I said the US started the rebellion. I didn't say that, either. I said started to aid people to undermine the government - which is perfectly consistent with starting to aid the rebels already doing so.

I don't recall the history you mentioned about a period of brutality of the government, and I accept your version; I'll need to re-look at that, to form some opinions about how justified or unjustified it was (with a bias towards it being unjustified). Sometimes new government go through a period of 'purging enemies', right or wrong, and sometimes that leads to a period of peace and freedom, others to tyranny. I've seen reports things were a lot better under that government than under the Taliban, but there's plenty for me to check on. It sounds like you have seen some declassified things I haven't, which helps.

My intent wasn't to provide a detailed history, but merely to point out that the other post was not complete. But I intend what I do say to be accurate.

Taking your feedback about the interview being disputed into consideration, I will back off the version I posted until I can check more carefully on the history.

It has had me curious for a while, that interview, the smell test gives off an odor, and now the odor is a lot stronger with your comments.

So, thanks for your feedback - some of which I agree with, some of which I do not, and I'll watch for you to comment on each topic - or withdraw the implication they're all wrong.

Hopefully my clarifying the context that it was one-sided for a reason helps clear that up. I take offense to how you reacted, but understand it was based on a misunderstanding.

If you had been correct (if I'm correct about your motivation) that my post was a 'neutral summary' of the history, it would have deserved serious criticism.
 
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woolfe9999

Diamond Member
Mar 28, 2005
7,153
0
0
It didn't come across that way, and doesn't seem especially helpful instead of just trying to make your point here.

You don't seem to understand the context of what I wrote, leading to your reaction.

What you seem to think I was writing was 'the history of these issues'. What I was actually writing was 'here's some things missing from your version of the history showing you have a very inaccurate summary'. The things I mentioned were intentionally for the purpose of contrasting his points that the US were never doing anything wrong.

That explains your reaction - but it was a mistake.

I was probably a bit snarly with that comment. I see a pattern in many of your comments about US foreign policy and I admittedly find it annoying. Few things irritate me more than politically biased histriography, and it's possible you may be reading some of it.


First I appreciate your comments, and think you might have some points. It has nothing to do with 'biased sources'. You're right, I'm relying largely, not entirely, on Brzezenski's interview - I'm concerned to hear from you he disputed it, I hadn't heard that in seeing a number of things about it over the years; and it does place the US is a larger role than you suggest they had. It has the US secretly deciding to back the rebels and antagonize the government to destabilize the regime and draw the Soviets in.

Now, you did infer some things that I was somewhat careful not to say, because in part off the top of my head I don't recall the details.

One of those was the US being the 'primary sponsor'; I did not say that, though I did imply the larger role consistent with the alleged Brzezenski interview. Another is you saying I said the US provided arms to the rebellion. I said they "aided" the rebellion, but not how - arms? propaganda, as you suggest? intelligence? training? I didn't say. Another is your claim I said the US started the rebellion. I didn't say that, either. I said started to aid people to undermine the government - which is perfectly consistent with starting to aid the rebels already doing so.

I don't recall the history you mentioned about a period of brutality of the government, and I accept your version; I'll need to re-look at that, to form some opinions about how justified or unjustified it was (with a bias towards it being unjustified). Sometimes new government go through a period of 'purging enemies', right or wrong, and sometimes that leads to a period of peace and freedom, others to tyranny. I've seen reports things were a lot better under that government than under the Taliban, but there's plenty for me to check on. It sounds like you have seen some declassified things I haven't, which helps.

My intent wasn't to provide a detailed history, but merely to point out that the other post was not complete. But I intend what I do say to be accurate.

Taking your feedback about the interview being disputed into consideration, I will back off the version I posted until I can check more carefully on the history.

It has had me curious for a while, that interview, the smell test gives off an odor, and now the odor is a lot stronger with your comments.

So, thanks for your feedback - some of which I agree with, some of which I do not, and I'll watch for you to comment on each topic - or withdraw the implication they're all wrong.

Hopefully my clarifying the context that it was one-sided for a reason helps clear that up. I take offense to how you reacted, but understand it was based on a misunderstanding.

If you had been correct (if I'm correct about your motivation) that my post was a 'neutral summary' of the history, it would have deserved serious criticism.

I'm more of the mind - and this is an opinion - that Brzezenski did make the comment then later decided it had been imprudent and so denied it. Brzezenski has always been the type to want to take credit for US foreign policy successes, and that situation - the USSR's equivalent of Viet Nam - was considered one of our big successes during the cold war. I have a feeling Brzezenski was boasting.

In any event, he did accurately describe the US policy. IIRC there was a Carter policy memo stating just that - that it was our policy to encourage a rebellion to draw in the USSR. However, documents also made clear there were no arms until after the full scale invasion, and when the policy was first purused the rebellion was already well under way, and the Soviets had already sent arms and advisory troops. It doesn't look like our role was that important until after the invasion started, and then not until we really started supplying substantial arms many years later.

- wolf
 

Gintaras

Golden Member
Dec 28, 2000
1,892
1
71
eskimospy, schneiderguy

I do understand both of you...but...what difference it makes when you start a discussion with a PRODUCT from US(and not only) newspapers and TV?
No matter what you say, those would just to parrot mass media...

Easier to make a real parrot to learn new words.
 

Muse

Lifer
Jul 11, 2001
41,111
10,331
136
The short answer is that some countries can't be trusted with the technology. They might misuse it (i.e. blow someone up or at least pollute the planet) or leak it to countries that can't be trusted or worse, terrorists.