Who do I side with in 2020? (issues based)

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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
88,061
55,560
136
Yes, I've come around to agreeing with nuking the fillibuster. However, it might not be possible in a reasonable time frame. The only other possible answer is to take the case on these issues to the American public, in both a smarter and more forceful manner than we've done in the past. The POTUS it the best person to lead that effort.

You just posted a link to an article where Warren is getting cheered by a bunch of MAGA hate wearing Trump voters in WVA. This suggests to me that people are persuadable on issues. Truthfully I'm not that hopeful on it but it's our only real option.

I think people already generally agree with Democrats on most of the issues, our system just has a very strong bias towards disproportionate rural political power. Tribalism is a huge problem too of course but I think without that rural bias it wouldn’t matter so much. One big advantage of nuking what remains of the filibuster (outside of it being good governance IMO) is that voters will not give a single, solitary shit. They never do about parliamentary procedure. Hell, they will probably like it when the government becomes more functional.

If the Democrats take the senate in 2020 they MUST nuke the filibuster or they are setting themselves up for a bloodbath in 2020 with nothing to show for it. Democratic voters will look at how little was accomplished and, not unreasonably, decide voting for Democrats was a waste of time.
 

woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
16,242
14,243
136
I think people already generally agree with Democrats on most of the issues, our system just has a very strong bias towards disproportionate rural political power. Tribalism is a huge problem too of course but I think without that rural bias it wouldn’t matter so much. One big advantage of nuking what remains of the filibuster (outside of it being good governance IMO) is that voters will not give a single, solitary shit. They never do about parliamentary procedure. Hell, they will probably like it when the government becomes more functional.

If the Democrats take the senate in 2020 they MUST nuke the filibuster or they are setting themselves up for a bloodbath in 2020 with nothing to show for it. Democratic voters will look at how little was accomplished and, not unreasonably, decide voting for Democrats was a waste of time.

"Generally agree" is quite obviously insufficient. If you look at polls, it's rather complicated. On healthcare, most people want a government option but support drops way down when we introduce the idea of not allowing private insurance. On climate change, barely a majority even agrees that it's a serious issue. Far more can be done to sell the American public on both of these issues.

I totally agree on the filibuster. I wish McConnell had done Trump's bidding when urged to nuke it. They could pass a bunch of horrid bills and the dems will later get rid of them and pass a bunch of goods bills. The difference being the repubs don't really have any policies. They just want to get rid of stuff. Once the dems pass things which will help people, it will be tough to make them go away even if they have the votes to do so. The party with the better policies which will be more popular once implemented has the advantage when legislation is easier to get through. And it's always easier to oppose new legislation (mainly by lying about it) then to repeal something already in place (like the ACA). So getting rid of the filibuster will help the dems. It's too bad McConnell was smart enough to see that.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
You just posted a link to an article where Warren is getting cheered by a bunch of MAGA hat wearing Trump voters in WVA. This suggests to me that people are persuadable on issues. Truthfully I'm not that hopeful on it but it's our only real option.

There's a decent subset of voters who were Trump voters then and are open to someone else who seems like they want to blow up the status quo and create a very different social contract. Their ideas may be different about what might replace the old construct and neither Trump or Warren might be their preferred vehicle if they had other options, but "more of what government has done for 20-30 years" isn't it. They might not like the Warren "break up Wall Street" proposals anymore than they like Trump's "build the wall" but they're offering actual change (delivering it is another story altogether). If you're running as a status quo technocrat then those folks aren't interested, period. They're the Trump voters, Brexit voters, et cetera and if they vote for someone like Biden it will be grudgingly IMHO.

On this point Buttigieg is 100% correct, no winning message for 2020 includes "back" or "again" as a slogan. If Biden runs on a "return to the Obama days" if he wins it will be much in spite of that message instead of because of it.
 

woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
16,242
14,243
136
There's a decent subset of voters who were Trump voters then and are open to someone else who seems like they want to blow up the status quo and create a very different social contract. Their ideas may be different about what might replace the old construct and neither Trump or Warren might be their preferred vehicle if they had other options, but "more of what government has done for 20-30 years" isn't it. They might not like the Warren "break up Wall Street" proposals anymore than they like Trump's "build the wall" but they're offering actual change (delivering it is another story altogether). If you're running as a status quo technocrat then those folks aren't interested, period. They're the Trump voters, Brexit voters, et cetera and if they vote for someone like Biden it will be grudgingly IMHO.

On this point Buttigieg is 100% correct, no winning message for 2020 includes "back" or "again" as a slogan. If Biden runs on a "return to the Obama days" if he wins it will be much in spite of that message instead of because of it.

You could well be correct. The notion that someone prefers change, and would take either far right OR far left change over something closer to status quo or incremental change is pretty sad, actually. If one has any real principles, or for that matter, any brains, one would see that change for change sake is not a good idea, that it really depends on the nature of the change. But then, you're probably describing the actual mindset of a good sized chunk of actual voters in this country.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
88,061
55,560
136
"Generally agree" is quite obviously insufficient. If you look at polls, it's rather complicated. On healthcare, most people want a government option but support drops way down when we introduce the idea of not allowing private insurance. On climate change, barely a majority even agrees that it's a serious issue. Far more can be done to sell the American public on both of these issues.

I totally agree on the filibuster. I wish McConnell had done Trump's bidding when urged to nuke it. They could pass a bunch of horrid bills and the dems will later get rid of them and pass a bunch of goods bills. The difference being the repubs don't really have any policies. They just want to get rid of stuff. Once the dems pass things which will help people, it will be tough to make them go away even if they have the votes to do so. The party with the better policies which will be more popular once implemented has the advantage when legislation is easier to get through. And it's always easier to oppose new legislation (mainly by lying about it) then to repeal something already in place (like the ACA). So getting rid of the filibuster will help the dems. It's too bad McConnell was smart enough to see that.

Very true. After all, even when they were trying to muster 50 votes to repeal parts of the ACA they couldn’t do it.

This is why Mitch McConnell will never nuke the legislative filibuster. It’s already gone for the bills he wants to pass (tax cuts for rich people) so it only inhibits progressive legislation.
 

Starbuck1975

Lifer
Jan 6, 2005
14,698
1,909
126
All of the candidates landed between 40% and 60%, except Kasich who was just over 80%.

Klobacher, Yang and Buttigieg lead the next pack in the 60s, followed by Sanders, Gabbard and Warren.

Trump, Booker, Beto and Harris all landed at the bottom of the pile.
 

Muse

Lifer
Jul 11, 2001
41,018
10,274
136
I'm 99th percentile for Harris, Warren, O'Rourke and Boutigieg.
 

JEDIYoda

Lifer
Jul 13, 2005
33,986
3,321
126
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89%89%Democrat
Amy Klobuchar
Environmentalism • Centralization • Secular • Big Government • Collectivism • Left Wing ••• Multiculturalism • Globalism • Keynesian • Tender • Globalization • Progressive
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88%88%I’m voting for Democrat
Cory Booker
Secular • Centralization • Big Government • Collectivism • Left Wing • Tender • Progressive ••• Environmentalism • Multiculturalism • Globalism • Politically Correct • Keynesian
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87%87%Democrat
Pete Buttigieg
Patriotism • Communication • Intelligence • Environmentalism • Big Government • Secular ••• Left Wing • Collectivism • Progressive • Democracy • Multiculturalism • Tender • Centralization • Socialism • Keynesian • Politically Correct • Globalism
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86%86%Democrat
Kirsten Gillibrand
Centralization • Big Government • Left Wing • Environmentalism • Collectivism • Tender ••• Multiculturalism • Progressive • Socialism • Keynesian • Globalism • Pacifism • Politically Correct
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86%86%I’m voting for Democrat
John Delaney
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86%86%Democrat
Tulsi Gabbard
Diplomacy • Health • Foreign Policy Experience • Democracy • Environmentalism • Decentralization ••• Socialism • Left Wing • Keynesian • Big Government • Collectivism • Tender • Progressive
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85%85%Democrat
Kamala Harris
Leadership • Environmentalism • Left Wing • Centralization • Collectivism • Multiculturalism ••• Progressive • Big Government • Tender • Socialism • Politically Correct • Keynesian • Democracy • Globalism • Globalization
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84%84%Democrat
Elizabeth Warren
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84%84%Democrat
Beto O’Rourke
Charisma • Ability to Inspire • Ability to Unify • Secular • Multiculturalism • Progressive ••• Environmentalism • Tender • Big Government • Left Wing • Politically Correct • Globalization • Keynesian • Democracy • Collectivism
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84%84%Democrat
Andrew Yang
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83%83%Democrat
Julian Castro
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83%83%Democrat
Joe Biden
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83%83%Independent
Bernie Sanders
Honesty • Determination • Compassion • Big Government • Left Wing • Socialism ••• Progressive • Environmentalism • Collectivism • Keynesian • Multiculturalism • Tender • Secular • Politically Correct • Democracy
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81%81%Republican
John Kasich
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66%66%Libertarian
Gary Johnson
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Donald Trump
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Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
74,802
6,775
126

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
74,802
6,775
126
Tulsi Gabbard 99%
Kirsten Gillibrand 99%
Pete Buttigieg 99%
Elizabeth Warren 97%
Kamala Harris 97%
Beto O'Rourke 97%
Julian Castro 97%
Cory Booker 96%
Amy Klobuchar 96%
Joe Biden 94%
Bernie Sanders 94%
Donald Trump 34%

But because 34% of the time Trump lies he's accidentally correct.
 

Ken g6

Programming Moderator, Elite Member
Moderator
Dec 11, 1999
16,723
4,686
75
95% Cory Booker. o_O

I feel like they asked a lot of the wrong questions (national security - I don't know what we really need there) and not enough of the right ones (climate crisis, wealth redistribution, health care).
 

ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
33,603
17,160
136
I just took it again and my results were a little different however everyone was within a couple of points. That means whoever gets the nomination will pretty much be what I'm looking for.D0253EFF-6BF6-4E84-A10E-6494F4C820F6.png
 

dank69

Lifer
Oct 6, 2009
37,445
33,146
136
I just took it again and my results were a little different however everyone was within a couple of points. That means whoever gets the nomination will pretty much be what I'm looking for.View attachment 7787
Most of them seem to be coalescing around a common platform. It isn't like it is a secret what American people want. The problem is just not letting the American people know that liberals are the ones backing the solutions. That's why Bernie was so fucking popular with disenfranchised Republicans. He wasn't a filthy Democrat. I won't tell them that he wasn't a Democrat because he has always been way more liberal than Democrats if you don't.
 

hal2kilo

Lifer
Feb 24, 2009
26,256
12,423
136
Must have done something wrong.

95% Socialist
93% Democrat
89% Green
88% Peace & Freedom
22% Libertarian
13% Republican
99% Constitution

No candidates
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
My fave part in all this is conservatives telling Dems to run the gay guy, like that'll work.
 

Maxima1

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2013
3,549
761
146
"Generally agree" is quite obviously insufficient. If you look at polls, it's rather complicated. On healthcare, most people want a government option but support drops way down when we introduce the idea of not allowing private insurance. On climate change, barely a majority even agrees that it's a serious issue. Far more can be done to sell the American public on both of these issues.

I totally agree on the filibuster. I wish McConnell had done Trump's bidding when urged to nuke it. They could pass a bunch of horrid bills and the dems will later get rid of them and pass a bunch of goods bills. The difference being the repubs don't really have any policies. They just want to get rid of stuff.

It's turtles all the way down.

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BonzaiDuck

Lifer
Jun 30, 2004
16,775
2,112
126
My favored candidates only show 89% results in my ranking. Wasn't surprised that "party orientation" was "Democratic" and "Socialist".

But there just seems to be something lacking in how the questionnaire works.

It seems to assess "beliefs". Belief will not get you a dime for a cup of coffee.

The Right is "Belief-driven". They can take their beliefs and shove them up their asses.
 
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