Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1
you are correct. And polls? ROFL are you kidding? Everyone loves polls when they support their beliefs. But when they disagree they find all kinds of reasons to discredit them.
I know you are at least smart enough to understand polling is VERY manipulated and subjective. Hell you could post a Hillary poll in both the Democratic camp and the GOP and get opposite results. Are either of them wrong? Not necessarily. Are either one of them representative of America? Well, depends on who you ask.
The 25 point spread is smoke.
What the hell are you talking about? They are scientific polls. Please tell me how you would discredit them. Is their sample not representitive? If not, why? Is their methodology wrong? If so, why? Are the questions biased? If so, how should they be asking them? Since the margin of error in these polls hovers somewhere around 4% usually, you are correct, her lead could be as little as about 17 points, but it could also be as high as 33 points. (counting both her and Obama's results)
You would get different results in the Democratic camp vs. the GOP camp precisely because the polls are accurate. The polls that show Hillary leading Obama by 25 points are polls done of Democrats, not of the electorate as a whole... because polling the electorate as a whole about how they are going to vote in a primary that fully half of them can't vote in would be stupid.