Which Tablet Operating system will gain the most marketshare over the next 12 months?

Which Tablet operating system will gain the most marketshare over the next 12 months?

  • Apple iOS

  • RIM/Blackberry

  • Google Chrome OS

  • Android

  • Meego

  • HP Web OS

  • Windows CE

  • Windows 7 phone

  • Windows 7 Home premium

  • Other


Results are only viewable after voting.

zerocool84

Lifer
Nov 11, 2004
36,041
472
126
iOS

Isn't it the ONLY tablet OS out there right now?

It's currently the only MASS MARKET tablet OS right now. All the others haven't had a big splash.

With Google officially saying that Android isn't suitable for tablets, it'll hurt it a lot. It's good for us geeks as we don't want a shit device but bad for regular consumers as that means many cheaper tablets won't come out and keep current tablets at high prices.
 

Spicedaddy

Platinum Member
Apr 18, 2002
2,305
77
91
If tablets become more widespread, I'm gonna go with Windows 7. The main complaint when the iPad came out was that it was "just a bigger iPhone".

People want the full desktop OS experience on a tablet IMO.
 

Pliablemoose

Lifer
Oct 11, 1999
25,195
0
56
Android will gain the most marketshare, there's likely a Moto Tablet coming out, and the Samusng Tab, IIRC they'll announce it on Thursday.

Apple has a serious foothold at the moment, and they'll continue to sell them as fast as they make them.

I don't even want to hazard a guess about the numbers we'll end up with in a year, but eventually (18 months to 2 years), we'll see the same thing happen to tablets as we did in phones, where a gazillion odd Android (or Chrome) tablets outsell the iPad, but it'll take a while to happen.

I've seen prices of the Samsung Tab retailing overseas for just shy of $1000. It will be interesting to see what they'll charge in the US. It looks like they'll have subsidized versions for AT&T and Verizon, and it looks like they want to do an all carrier launch as they did with their phones.

Apple can bring the price of the iPad down $100 and still make a ton of cash, they had discussed with some partners about initially selling the 8gb WiFi version for $399 at launch, but priced it at $499 instead.
 
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OBLAMA2009

Diamond Member
Apr 17, 2008
6,574
3
0
the meego concept seems pretty cool but they seem to be having a really hard time getting it out there, which is weird since nokia did a pretty nice job a few years ago with its ipad, the n800 series. they basically invented the tablet
 

OBLAMA2009

Diamond Member
Apr 17, 2008
6,574
3
0
i dont think android tablets will be that successful. all the ones ive seen planned so far have mediocre specs (1024x600 and lower quality screens) and high prices ($600-1000) or are only sold with a contract (why would someone with a smart phone pay an additional $60 a month for a android tablet???). apple can get away with high prices because they have first rate designs but android and pc makers cant, their stuff just doesnt warrant it. a fair price for an android table would be $200-250 and $15 month but no one seems to be willing to sell them at anywhere near that price

the concept of a win7 tablet is even more ridiculous. they will have horrible performance and are going to cost $1200. that will never catch on

a year from now the only decent tablet option will still be ipad2, remember oblama told you so
 
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Bateluer

Lifer
Jun 23, 2001
27,730
8
0
i dont think android tablets will be that successful. all the ones ive seen planned so far have mediocre specs (1024x600 and lower quality screens) and high prices ($600-1000) or are only sold with a contract (why would someone with a smart phone pay an additional $60 a month for a android tablet???). apple can get away with high prices because they have cultivated a market of elitism combined with uninformed with consumers and pc makers cant, their stuff just doesnt warrant it. a fair price for an android table would be $200-250 and $15 month but no one seems to be willing to sell them at anywhere near that price

the concept of a win7 tablet is even more ridiculous. they will have horrible performance and are going to cost $1200. that will never catch on

a year from now the only decent tablet option will still be ipad2

Fixed it for you. Apple rakes in huge profit margins by selling people people X-USD worth of hardware for X^2-USD.
 

A5

Diamond Member
Jun 9, 2000
4,902
5
81
If tablets become more widespread, I'm gonna go with Windows 7. The main complaint when the iPad came out was that it was "just a bigger iPhone".

People want the full desktop OS experience on a tablet IMO.

iPad sales numbers say they don't.
 

QueBert

Lifer
Jan 6, 2002
22,948
1,139
126
Fixed it for you. Apple rakes in huge profit margins by selling people people X-USD worth of hardware for X^2-USD.

And Samsungs Android tablet will cost more, Moto's will have a Verizon contract tied to it. So it looks like for the time being outside of a cheap Chinese POS the iPad is going to be the best deal. I dunno about you, but I don't want a monthly bill tied to a device I'm still going to end up paying a few hundred bucks for. Of course you could always go for a Windows 7 Tablet, Samsung has one coming out that's only about $1,000.
 

Fingolfin269

Lifer
Feb 28, 2003
17,948
34
91
And Samsungs Android tablet will cost more, Moto's will have a Verizon contract tied to it. So it looks like for the time being outside of a cheap Chinese POS the iPad is going to be the best deal. I dunno about you, but I don't want a monthly bill tied to a device I'm still going to end up paying a few hundred bucks for. Of course you could always go for a Windows 7 Tablet, Samsung has one coming out that's only about $1,000.

Did you just try to bring logic into an Apple v. World debate? ;)

I think Apple will continue to hold the marketshare lead over the next 12 months but the gap will narrow tremendously. Then they will come out with V.2 and the gap will widen again. Same old song and dance.
 

OBLAMA2009

Diamond Member
Apr 17, 2008
6,574
3
0
If tablets become more widespread, I'm gonna go with Windows 7. The main complaint when the iPad came out was that it was "just a bigger iPhone".

People want the full desktop OS experience on a tablet IMO.

dood, the bigger screen IS the full desktop experience, which is why it is selling so well
 

OBLAMA2009

Diamond Member
Apr 17, 2008
6,574
3
0
look at the crucial requirements of a tablet, all of which apple got right and no one else has (even now):
1) turns on instantly
2) has a nice large, responsive touchscreen
3) gets great battery life
4) is reasonable priced
5) is easy to use and is fast/efficient at doing the few things a tablet is expected to do--surf net and email--in a bug free way
6) decent construction
7) has reasonable priced wireless connection

lets axe rselves will android/win7 have these features?
1) no/no!
2 )no/probably not
3) no/definitely not
4) apparently not/no
5) sort of/no
6) only at a much higher price/only at a much higher price
7) no/no
 

AstroManLuca

Lifer
Jun 24, 2004
15,628
5
81
Technically, since Apple already has a huge market share in the tablet arena (they don't have any serious competition), there isn't much room for them to grow. So to answer the thread's question literally, I don't think iOS will experience the greatest marketshare growth.

That said, it will undoubtedly be the most successful tablet OS for at least the next 12 months, probably the next 24. I'm not an Apple guy or a tablet guy but there is no serious competition. Everything is either much worse, or much more expensive, or requires a contract. Which is another huge point in Apple's favor - for once, they actually have price on their side. And the no-contract data plans available for the iPad are so convenient vs. a required 2-year contract data plan on some competitors.

IMO a tablet with a required monthly plan is no different from a smartphone, it's just bigger. Especially ones like the Streak that don't even have a data-only option - you are required to buy a voice plan with a so-called tablet! It just doesn't make any sense; I don't know why they are calling it a tablet when it's really just a big smartphone.

You can avoid the plans altogether by buying the Streak without a contract, but the unsubsidized price is $550. Higher than the iPad.
 
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OBLAMA2009

Diamond Member
Apr 17, 2008
6,574
3
0
Technically, since Apple already has a huge market share in the tablet arena (they don't have any serious competition), there isn't much room for them to grow. So to answer the thread's question literally, I don't think iOS will experience the greatest marketshare growth.

That said, it will undoubtedly be the most successful tablet OS for at least the next 12 months, probably the next 24. I'm not an Apple guy or a tablet guy but there is no serious competition. Everything is either much worse, or much more expensive, or requires a contract. Which is another huge point in Apple's favor - for once, they actually have price on their side. And the no-contract data plans available for the iPad are so convenient vs. a required 2-year contract data plan on some competitors.

IMO a tablet with a required monthly plan is no different from a smartphone, it's just bigger. Especially ones like the Streak that don't even have a data-only option - you are required to buy a voice plan with a so-called tablet! It just doesn't make any sense; I don't know why they are calling it a tablet when it's really just a big smartphone.

You can avoid the plans altogether by buying the Streak without a contract, but the unsubsidized price is $550. Higher than the iPad.
youre forgetting that apples growth with come from ipad 2, which will be out before any decent android tablets
 

MrX8503

Diamond Member
Oct 23, 2005
4,529
0
0
If tablets become more widespread, I'm gonna go with Windows 7. The main complaint when the iPad came out was that it was "just a bigger iPhone".

People want the full desktop OS experience on a tablet IMO.

There isn't a SOC in existence that can support a full desktop OS. I'll keep my Core i7 to run my fat desktop OS and I'll use an ARM processor to run my Tablet OS.
 

dguy6789

Diamond Member
Dec 9, 2002
8,558
3
76
look at the crucial requirements of a tablet, all of which apple got right and no one else has (even now):
1) turns on instantly
2) has a nice large, responsive touchscreen
3) gets great battery life
4) is reasonable priced
5) is easy to use and is fast/efficient at doing the few things a tablet is expected to do--surf net and email--in a bug free way
6) decent construction
7) has reasonable priced wireless connection

lets axe rselves will android/win7 have these features?
1) no/no!
2 )no/probably not
3) no/definitely not
4) apparently not/no
5) sort of/no
6) only at a much higher price/only at a much higher price
7) no/no

1. Are you saying Android devices don't have a sleep mode and a way from waking from it? That's what your "turn on instantly" is and all Android devices do it.

2. Large responsive touch screen? Android phones have met or surpassed Apple in touch screen technology quite some time ago.

3. Droid X gets better battery life than the iPhone 4. No reason why a large Android tablet won't get good battery life as well.

4. There are Android devices that are more advanced than the iPhone 4 but cheaper than it, no reason there won't be a reasonably priced Android tablet.

5. Android blows Apple away in web browsing experience. I've seen the "you do not have the right plugin to view this video" more times than I can count on my iPad. What about the checkered squares?

6. Plenty of Android devices have extremely solid build quality.

7. Price of 3G is purely up to the carriers and has nothing to do with Android. No reason why AT&T would charge more for an Android tablet service than for the iPad.

What about the fact that the iPad requires iTunes? I could write a thousand words on why iTunes is bad but I imagine everyone is familiar with that by now considering the popularity of iOS devices. You can't charge your iPad and connect it to your PC at the same time. It's pretty annoying having to unplug the cable from the wall outlet and plug it into my PC when I want to sync and then plug it back into the wall when I'm done. No easy way to copy/move files to and from the iPad. When using the Brushes application, the best method of getting artwork from the iPad to the PC is via email. Are you kidding me? So no, the iPad doesn't approach perfection.

In short, you're just a fanboy who can't possibly post in a discussion involving Apple and its competitors without putting Apple on a pedestal.
 
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MrX8503

Diamond Member
Oct 23, 2005
4,529
0
0
1. Are you saying Android devices don't have a sleep mode and a way from waking from it? That's what your "turn on instantly" is and all Android devices do it.

2. Large responsive touch screen? Modern Android phones have met or surpassed Apple in touch screen technology already.

3. Droid X gets better battery life than the iPhone 4. No reason why a large Android tablet won't get good battery life as well.

4. There are Android devices that are more advanced than the iPhone 4 but cheaper than it, no reason there won't be a reasonably priced Android tablet.

5. Android blows Apple away in web browsing experience. I've seen the "you do not have the right plugin to view this video" more times than I can count on my iPad.

6. Plenty of Android devices have extremely solid build quality.

7. Price of 3G is purely up to the carriers and nothing else.

1. True
2. False
3. Better only in talk time. I can still see Android Tab being close to battery life though.
4. False, Android has $100 rebates. Android devices cost the same or more.
5. False, Android scrolling is pretty bad especially with flash
6. True, I would say good quality instead of extreme. Plastic is still a POS.
7. True
 

AstroManLuca

Lifer
Jun 24, 2004
15,628
5
81
youre forgetting that apples growth with come from ipad 2, which will be out before any decent android tablets

Market share = percentage of sales in a particular category of product during a set period of time (usually divided into months, quarters, or years).

The iPad has such a large share of the tablet market that growing that share is going to be difficult.

On the other hand, it's going to make it easy for Android tablets to grow by a huge amount, year over year. If just 1 million Android tablets sell in 2011, that will still show up as a several hundred percent increase in market share vs. 2010. Apple, on the other hand, could sell millions and millions of iPads and iPad 2s in 2011 and still only increase their market share by 10-20%. Well, then you also have the whole "percentage vs. percentage points" thing.

It's just weird because, like smartphones, everyone is selling them so fast that a growth in market share is really just a measure of acceleration of sales. Hell, Blackberry is still increasing the number of sales each quarter, just not as quickly as iOS and Android.
 
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