just my 2 cents...
I wouldn't hold my breath, considering that Intel had Penryn samples in Q4'06, Penryn booted 4 different OSs end of Jan and was launched end of Nov (?)/Q4'07 and volume production started in Q1'08.
Penryn also was just a die shrink, bringing ~10% improvements across the board, using advanced high-k/metal gates 45nm.
So we shouldn't expect 15% performance improvements, <10months validation time and a mature launch all at the same time on 45nm SOI w/o high-k/metal gates, otherwise we may very well be disappointed again. And considering AMD's track record, well...
If we applied Intel's almost flawless execution to AMD's K10, we could expect a launch sometime in Jan/Feb 2008 and volume later on. However, AMD in deep financial trouble, will probably try to shorten validation time as much as possible.. so we will either get:
a. buggy products again (basically like selling ES-chips)
b. paper launch
c. both