<<In a lease the dealer can make money
1. On the front end in the purchase price/holdback of the vehicle
2. On the backend with kickbacks on financing
3. The money they make off the re-purchase of the vehicle after you are through leasing(assuming the residuals worked out in their favor)
In a financing situation there is only one pretty much guaranteed place of making money:
1. on the front end in purchase price/holdback>>
I'll have to disagree somewhat, here.
Dealers make money on the front end, regardless of whether you lease or purchase. And they damn well should. Nobody should expect to get the holdback money, too. You can get invoice price all day long, most places,(domestic anyway) and the dealer has to make money somehow.
Dealers make money on financing OR leasing. Either way. If you got a 6% interest rate on a buy, I'll guarantee the dealer got the money for about 4% and marked it up to 6%. Not to mention loan origination fees, etc.
As far as #3 is concerned, the dealer only repurchases the vehicles they think they can sell for a profit. Most are not bought by the dealer, and are sent to auction.
When leasing was really big a few years ago, no dealer was buying the vehicles from the leasing company; they lease companies (esp. First Union) had set the residuals way too high, and the cars weren't worth what the payoff was, so everyone just turned in their cars and walked away.
That is exactly why First Union is out of the leasing business right now. They cut their own throats, especially on Ford Expeditions. In early 1998, the 3 year residual on an Expedition was 71-72%!! No way those vehicles are worth that in 3 years.
When you call their lease turn-in hotline, it says "if you have an Expedition, press 1, all other vehicles, press 2" LOL.
Leasing is a great option if you're going to trade every 2-3 years, and not go over on miles. You simply turn in the car and get a new one, while if you buy it, you'll still be upside-down in 2-3 years.
<<Another problem with laying out cash upfront on a lease to lower payments is that if you total the car, you are out that money. Just something to be aware about.>>
Yep, there is no sense in making any kind of extra down payment when you lease. The amount you're going to pay over your lease term is set, so if you put an extra 2 grand down, it's gone. They take 2 g's off your lease amount, and calculate payments over the term.
Basically, you're ultimately going to pay the same amount, no matter how you do it; Pay half down and spread the rest out, pay it all up front, pay nothing up front. At the end of the lease you'll have paid the same amount.
This is the opposite from buying, where if you put some down, it'll reduce interest and your payoff.
<<The only reason to lease is if the vehicle will likely have a higher resale value at the end of the lease than the residual value stated in the lease. Certain demand imports, trucks, and SUVs have resale values so high that it makes a lease worth it.>>
Why would you lease if you KNOW the vehicle will be worth more at any given point? Then, it's ok to buy, because you can trade in at most any time and not get killed rolling over negative equity. If the vehicle is worth more at the end of the lease (ain't going to happen on most cars, btw) then great, you sell it, pay off the residual, and keep the difference for a down payment.
<<What if, after a year or so, it turns out you don't like the car? Say there's a lot of problems (even if under warranty), and you are tired of having the car in the shop once a month? Can you get out of the lease? >>
At that point, you're in the same fix as if you'd bought the car. You're upside down, any way you look at it. Name me a popular car that you're not upside down in after a year.
Unless you put a lot down, and you'll still be losing the same amount to depreciation, only you'll have already paid it up front, not when you trade.