Hayabusa Rider
Admin Emeritus & Elite Member
- Jan 26, 2000
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The point of staying in is more about not losing than it is about "winning."
There once was a laudable objective - to eradicate AQ and the Taliban. We had an opportunity to do that but failed. What is left is about saving face. I say that not to trivialize the goal, because saving face actually matters. If we pull up stakes and leave the country with the Taliban being at its current level of prominence, we have admitted defeat to terrorists. This in turn will embolden them and probably swell their ranks. Saving face is actually about real security, not just protecting political egos (though it is that, too.)
What we want to do there is carefully define "victory" in a way that is plausibly achieveable. If we can spend a few more years there and leave under a circumstance where the Taliban has significantly less territorial influence, and the government security forces are stronger than now, we can call it a "victory." If the situation deteriorates in the longer term, which it likely will, that is not our problem. We just need to avoid another Nam, where we bail and the enemy takes over immediately.
- wolf
I agree with you completely, and I'll note that what you say was said about another war in SE asia decades ago. It came to be known as "peace with honor".
It is inevitable that when we leave the Taliban will come back. The people feel that their current leaders are corrupt and that's there's not much choice between the two options. Whether that's true in fact matters not. That's the perception, and in these cases perception is tantamount to reality.