Originally posted by: AstroGuardian
Originally posted by: silverpig
Originally posted by: Zepper
For now it is, but things can change... I wouldn't say that either case would be good for us.
.bh.
In order for the moon to crash into the earth, it has to lose energy somehow. There has to be dissipation somewhere. Right now the moon is gaining energy. At some point the earth will be tidally locked with the moon, but that will take hundreds of millions, if not billions, of years. It would take something really drastic, like a moon-sized chunk of stuff hitting the moon, to change this.
Saying something vague like "things can change" doesn't offer anything of value.
No, the Moon is not gaining energy. The Moon has it's initial energy and if you project the parameters to the future, the Moon-Earth equilibrium of forces goes to moon drifting away from earth's gravity. It's the same situation with Mars and Phobos. Phobos has less kinetic energy to keep it steady orbit around Mars, so it will crash eventually.
As for the solar wind, it's known that it interacts with earth's magnetic field. So when SW reaches the earth's magnetic field it slightly pulls the earth's core (where magnetic field comes from). This compensates the pushing and pulling forces.
Even having this in mind, the SW is so weak, it does almost nothing to earth's orbit.
Another important parameter is SW existed during the formation of earth and other planets. So the current equilibrium is based on the forces of SW too.
Stations in orbit are placed inside the earth's magnetic field so it additionally helps in the protection. And again the forces are too weak to cause problems with orbits.
Best way to see how SW interact and change orbits is through observing a comet's tail. The SW interacts with particles from the comet and again those particles are extremely small and light. In time, even those particles find their equilibrium in the solar system. And that's why we get regular meteor showers for years after the comet is long gone