- Aug 20, 2000
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West shouldn't feel guilty wanting bang for its buck
It'd be neat if the world followed a plan where nations that required financial aid were carefully analyzed after initial aid was distributed to see what the return was like. If it's good, keep on going. If not, move on elsewhere that year and see if the situation is more hospitable to real change the next go-round. I thought it made for an interesting application of economic theory to the usually quite illogical world of politics.
It's nice to see something potentially underline something I consider common sense - throwing money at social problems is usually not the answer. Sometimes it helps, sometimes it hurts.[Bjorn Lomborg] begins to talk, and he makes eminent sense to any Western taxpayer tired of being urged to give more and more for international aid without receiving any assurance the money is being well spent.
He's trying to convince the UN and other international aid distributors we need to prioritize aid according to cost-benefit.
This is quite unlike the architects of the UN Millennium Goals, who dreamily said most of the world's ills could be fixed by 2015 if only the West would open its wallet and not notice how much was taken out.
Return on the dollar is a novel idea at the world body, where speech after speech openly or subliminally heap guilt on the West for not fixing everything -- from HIV/AIDS infection to illiteracy to conflict to global warming -- all at once.
For although investments in health and education were found to be worthwhile in terms of cost benefit, throwing money at climate change -- very much the world problem du jour for activists in developed countries -- was deemed a comparative waste.
The Copenhagen economists found investment in HIV/AIDS prevention, for example, reaps sizeable and immediate benefits: US$40 of "good" for every $1 spent on things like condoms and classes.
By contrast, huge investments in climate change are necessary before appreciable benefits are realized because the return is only 2 cents to 25 cents on the dollar. Not only that, the benefits will not be seen for a century or so, and by then the world might be able to cope in other ways if it has already improved individuals' well-being.
Those findings alone virtually vindicate the Conservative government's decision to turn its back on the Kyoto climate control accord on grounds that meeting the emission reduction targets would cause severe economic hardship.
"If we did Kyoto, we would spend about US$150-billion every year, but would end up only postponing global warming by about half a dozen years in 2100," said Mr. Lomborg, referring to world spending.
"On the other hand, the UN estimates that for about half that amount, we can fix all major basic problems right now -- providing clean drinking water, sanitation, basic health care and education to every human being on the planet."
It'd be neat if the world followed a plan where nations that required financial aid were carefully analyzed after initial aid was distributed to see what the return was like. If it's good, keep on going. If not, move on elsewhere that year and see if the situation is more hospitable to real change the next go-round. I thought it made for an interesting application of economic theory to the usually quite illogical world of politics.
