While it may take a year or two to learn + - X and / in school, it is still very much useful and quicker than pulling out a calculator. For instance we're doing our bathrooms and sometimes have had to do on-the-fly calculations for tile or spacing. Measuring and dividing or even adding a few numbers in our head is much faster than putting down a tape measure to punch in numbers. I can't imagine not knowing how to do something like figuring out how many 9" bullnose tiles I need to fill 96" of vertical wall space in my head. Surely you can do that faster than doing it on a calculator.
But what about when you just point your smartphone at the wall, say "figure out how many tiles for a shower" and it gives you the complete list of needed tiles, exact cuts for all tiles needing cuts, and a mock-up video showing the correct process for optimally marking and laying the tiles to get even joints?
That's the sort of intelligent systems Moonbogg is discussing.
Imagine how you would feel if all around you, amazing progress was being made. Huge scientific achievements came in regular frequency and the world's technology and overall rate of innovation skyrocketed. The only problem with this picture, is you feel eerily irrelevant and no longer feel like you are a part of that progress.
The last time any person made a significant contribution was about 50 years ago, and even that was a rare stretch. Here you are, in the year 2114 and the world is more amazing than ever, but sadly, you feel less and less like its your world. You feel like everything is handed to you, like a spoiled rich kid who knows nothing about the feeling one gets when they genuinely earn something.
No sense of accomplishment. No sense of reward. No sense of importance, and just about completely now, no sense of purpose or relevance.
Our successors won't have any need to attack us, or to annihilate us in order to further themselves. We will simply stand there, jaws agape as we watch them innovate themselves further and further away, well beyond our grasp, we will be left behind. Like a lonely ray of light which will never know the eye of an observer, for the ceaseless expansion of the universe is too great for it to ever overcome. So too will be our destiny.
Welcome to singularity. I think the interesting questions are:
Will we solve the issues of physical processing and manipulation to enable adaptable robotic entities to do most (all) human physical labor before or after we solve the issues of a self-adaptive artificial system capable of performing significant tasks in critical thinking, creative design, and other tasks currently under the knowledge worker category.
- To me this question is critical in where society goes, if the physical labor machines come first, then humans will increasingly be cut out of those jobs, and only those who do mentally intensive work will be relevant, I see this leading to a human upper class of well-educated, intelligentsia coupled to capital holders who need them, and a largely irrelevant under-class of humans subsisting on what is allowed them. If the development goes the other way I see capital holders using machines to replace the intelligentsia and the vast majority of humans of all intellectual capability become a serf-like labor class slaving under constant threat of being replaced with physical labor machines.
Will we learn enough about our neurobiology to enable human augmentation before or after we achieve AIs capable of directed iteration on their own design? Can augmentation of the human brain sufficiently improve our ability to maintain relevance in the face of AI systems capable of geometric (if not exponential) capability growth?
If so, then the future you describe need not occur, humans will enable our own directed evolution path which should enable us to remain relevant. Otherwise we slowly become a vestigial appendage to a larger artificial society.