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Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
350
126
It's the same as with the cash for clunkers program: in the end, there will be a slight increase in the number of new people hired by eligible small businesses, but we'll end up paying a lot of money for it because all the other ones that were going to hire anyway are also getting the credit.

The correct measure of success for a program like this is not how many were hired during a specified period, it's how many were hired over and above the number that would have been hired had the program not existed. Then you see how much each incremental hire really cost. It's not always a cut-and-dried analysis, but in the case for cash for clunkers it showed that we got ripped off. This will be similar.

At the least, it's a rare tax cut for small business, instead of them getting the scraps or having theirs increased.
 

sandorski

No Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
70,874
6,411
126
When the dems solutions consist solely of throwing so much money around that they have to continually raise the debt ceiling... I see a problem with that. Even if it was a good idea... it is just sending the problem down the road for another administration to worry about.

What do you propose?

Tax Cuts are not a viable alternative either.
 

piasabird

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
17,168
60
91
It does not do any good if all the new jobs are part-time minimum wage retail jobs and they are replacing the good paying jobs that are gone. So take the government (Fake) figures and statistics with a grain of salt. Never trust government numbers. When the Government looks at inflation for instance they dont count things like the price of food. However, everyone knows food prices keep going up.

Freezing about 10 percent of the budget or less will do nothing. Typically Democrats let the military infrastructure shrink while our enemies are developing newer and better weapons systems. Just hope we dont get attacked with O'Bumma in office.
 
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EagleKeeper

Discussion Club Moderator<br>Elite Member
Staff member
Oct 30, 2000
42,589
5
0
At the least, it's a rare tax cut for small business, instead of them getting the scraps or having theirs increased.
While a tax cut - it is directed for publicity and is not going to generate a positive momentum.

Granting the tax break for any small business purpose would stimulate some small business spending.

The government gives me a $5K to hire an employee that I do not need is a PR stunt only.
As another has stated, I am not going to spend $25K on a person that is not going to generate $20K of income to the business.

Now $5K to attempt to expand my business so that I may be able to justify the employee a year or two down the road will be useful.
 

rudder

Lifer
Nov 9, 2000
19,441
86
91
Where do you get this info? The hard data I've seen says it likely at least Doubled Sales.

The cash for clunkers merely compressed sales. The people most likely to be the ones to purchase a new car simply made that purchase sooner than planned. No jobs were created. Most of the auto manufacturers had excess inventory above what they would normally would carry. This simply burned off the excess. The GM plant near me still closed down.
 

sandorski

No Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
70,874
6,411
126
The cash for clunkers merely compressed sales. The people most likely to be the ones to purchase a new car simply made that purchase sooner than planned. No jobs were created. Most of the auto manufacturers had excess inventory above what they would normally would carry. This simply burned off the excess. The GM plant near me still closed down.

That has been suggested, but not Proved. Any Data to back that up?
 

sandorski

No Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
70,874
6,411
126
THere was interference, for good reason. TARP (with problems), Stimiulus, Auto takeovers were some.

Ya, I know, I'm just waiting for the big reason why Recovery hasn't occurred due to "Interference in the market". I don't really expect a real answer, because they all know the situation would be far worse if those programs had not been invoked.
 

Corn

Diamond Member
Nov 12, 1999
6,390
29
91
Take a shot at the question.

Which question, your first ridiculous statement followed up by the idiotic "what interference?".....or your pathetic dodge when confronted by reality? I've got little patience in playing the ever changing question game.
 
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sandorski

No Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
70,874
6,411
126
Which question, your first ridiculous statement followed up by the idiotic "what interference?".....or your pathetic dodge when confronted by reality? I've got little patience in playing the ever changing question game.

What interference occurred that thwarted Recovery?

Go ahead.
 

QuantumPion

Diamond Member
Jun 27, 2005
6,010
1
76
Great, that $5k tax break might make up for the massive tax increase that we'll all get at the end of this year when the Dems let the Bush tax cut expire...or not.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,686
136
Hey give him a break, they didn't put that much detail in the Talking Point pamphlet.

Heh. Recovery a la 1931. Yeh, the market will just self-regulate, honest... but not without untold misery, unrest, and the risk of revolution...
 

woolfe9999

Diamond Member
Mar 28, 2005
7,153
0
0
It's the same as with the cash for clunkers program: in the end, there will be a slight increase in the number of new people hired by eligible small businesses, but we'll end up paying a lot of money for it because all the other ones that were going to hire anyway are also getting the credit.

The correct measure of success for a program like this is not how many were hired during a specified period, it's how many were hired over and above the number that would have been hired had the program not existed. Then you see how much each incremental hire really cost. It's not always a cut-and-dried analysis, but in the case for cash for clunkers it showed that we got ripped off. This will be similar.

Not quite. You're committing the same fallacy for the hiring tax credit as you are for cash for clunkers. About what, 25% of the people who received the clunkers credit bought cars because of it, while the rest would have bought cars anyway? But the 75% who would have bought cars anyway received money that they could then spend on goods and services. It's the same with this hiring tax credit. Those who would have hired anyway receive money for other business purposes. Even if it goes into the pocket of the business owner, it's money the business owner can spend. This is called stimulating the economy by way of giving people money. That's the republican idea of stimulus through tax cuts, right? I thought this was the only proper way to stimulate the economy, or so say conservatives.

I guess this is a valid idea, when it's proposed by republicans.

- wolf