• We’re currently investigating an issue related to the forum theme and styling that is impacting page layout and visual formatting. The problem has been identified, and we are actively working on a resolution. There is no impact to user data or functionality, this is strictly a front-end display issue. We’ll post an update once the fix has been deployed. Thanks for your patience while we get this sorted.

'U.S. market sees major decline in job quality'

Does it matter?
The buying power of those folks declined.
The variance was made up by spending equity and the refinance scenarios and depleted savings.
This will not go on for ever...
 
Originally posted by: Crimson
Originally posted by: Ferocious
The brokerage also found that the average wage in sectors that gained jobs over the past three years was 30 per cent lower than the average wage in industries that lost jobs.



click

Inflated dotcom wages perhaps?

Or perhaps (from the linked article):

The slide occurred largely because of the "swapping of high-paying for low-paying jobs" with gains coming from traditionally lower-paying sectors like hospitality and education, while better-paying jobs in areas such as transportation, manufacturing and natural resources disappeared, CIBC said.
 
Inflated dotcom wages perhaps?
There's no such thing as inflated wages*. Whatever the market will bear is the proper price for any good or service.

*(except for bribes, embezzlement, etc.)
 
I'm not surprised.

Every time I hear soandso number of jobs created, and hey look we are doing a good job by making the economy work, it makes me cringe.

It makes me cringe because I know that most of those jobs were created at the expanse of good jobs that vanished.

At least that's the case in Canada.

They eliminated three or four hundred thousand well paying jobs (this was years ago), including a very large number of government jobs (again years ago), and they said that they were tightening the belt on government and other sectors to be more competative, yet claimed they will create lots of jobs.

They did create lots of jobs. Lots of low wage jobs, the vast majority of which were (and still are) part time and seasonal jobs.

As far as government jobs were concerned they couldn't possibly eliminate hundreds of thousands of critical government jobs, or else the whole system would have collapsed, so they outsourced. Those same employees then went on to either earning a little more or the same, to usually somewhat less. The majority of profits, since that's what contracts are out for, cost (and still costs) Canadian taxpayers billions of dollars each year.

The average Joe got hoodwinked out of their tax money and it went to fill the pockets of business owners whom were either previous in the government or had exellent government ties to secure those fat contracts.

What pisses me off even more is that the average tax payer doesn't even understand this simple concept and they still don't know this is happening.
 
Originally posted by: zephyrprime
Inflated dotcom wages perhaps?
There's no such thing as inflated wages*. Whatever the market will bear is the proper price for any good or service.

*(except for bribes, embezzlement, etc.)

but the market wasn't able to bear it. so can't we say that in retrospect, the wages were inflated?
 
Originally posted by: loki8481
Originally posted by: zephyrprime
Inflated dotcom wages perhaps?
There's no such thing as inflated wages*. Whatever the market will bear is the proper price for any good or service.

*(except for bribes, embezzlement, etc.)

but the market wasn't able to bear it. so can't we say that in retrospect, the wages were inflated?
Not necessarily. For instance, the typical CEO from the 80s had inflated wages . . . in the 90s they were grossly inflated . . . in the 00s they are obscenely inflated. But the business community (and the public) tolerate it.

The other part of the equation is that in technology, companies begged and pleaded with Congress to expand the H1-B visa program. One could argue this was an attempt to lower wages but an equally important aspect is that there were PLENTIFUL job opportunities but insufficient skilled labor to fill the positions. In our current reality, there is an excess of skilled labor (domestic and global) and/or a paucity of opportunities. Accordingly, wages are being depressed.
 
Shut up. This thread clearly is another degenerate Liberal attempt at treasonous defeatism. All is well in BushWorld. There are no flaws in Bush's immaculate concept. Everything BushGod says is true. Dear BushGod, preserve Us from the perversions of our LiberalCommunist Enemies who are set to steal my Money. 😕
 
Originally posted by: GrGr
Shut up. This thread clearly is another degenerate Liberal attempt at treasonous defeatism. All is well in BushWorld. There are no flaws in Bush's immaculate concept. Everything BushGod says is true. Dear BushGod, preserve Us from the perversions of our LiberalCommunist Enemies who are set to steal my Money. 😕

And you are a TERRORIST for even thinking that there are any flaws...
 
Originally posted by: GrGr
Shut up. This thread clearly is another degenerate Liberal attempt at treasonous defeatism. All is well in BushWorld. There are no flaws in Bush's immaculate concept. Everything BushGod says is true. Dear BushGod, preserve Us from the perversions of our LiberalCommunist Enemies who are set to steal my Money. 😕
What makes you believe that the Dub has anything to do with this? You think if Gore had been elected things would be different regarding the economy and the quality of Jobs?
 
Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Originally posted by: GrGr
Shut up. This thread clearly is another degenerate Liberal attempt at treasonous defeatism. All is well in BushWorld. There are no flaws in Bush's immaculate concept. Everything BushGod says is true. Dear BushGod, preserve Us from the perversions of our LiberalCommunist Enemies who are set to steal my Money. 😕
What makes you believe that the Dub has anything to do with this? You think if Gore had been elected things would be different regarding the economy and the quality of Jobs?

It is hard to speculate what Gore would have done but it is extremely unlikely he would have pursued irresponsible and reactionary policies like those of tax cuts designed to enrich the already rich. Nobel Laurate Akerlof described the tax cut policy as a kind of 'looting'. These tax cuts were also partly designed to make Bush look good in time for the 2004 election. Nor is it likely that Gore would have pursued a fascist policy of illegal warfare partly to boost the coffers of weapon makers and industrial owners connected to the Bush regime. This policy is called Military Keynesianism. Those two are clear examples of what Gore would not do that has a dramatic and longterm effect on the economic situation. Gore would not have designed economic, juridical and military policies that would openly aim to shelter and strengthen a plutocracy, at least not to the extreme degree Bush has done. Bush's ideal state seems to be spiritually modelled on Pinochet's Chile with a super wealthy and powerful elite pitched against the rest of the population.

--------------

Akerlof

Akerlof: There is a systematic reason. The government is not really telling the truth to the American people. Past administrations from the time of Alexander Hamilton have on the average run responsible budgetary policies. What we have here is a form of looting.

Military Keynesianism

"The administration is conducting a highly irresponsible fiscal policy, and there is no legitimate economist on the face of the earth who doesn't say the tax cuts are just loony," said Kent Sims, a San Francisco economic consultant and public policy expert. "The chosen weapon for dragging the economy off the floor - now that an election is coming - is the deficit. Military expenditure is usually the least effective of short-run ways of spending money, because it doesn't build infrastructure that give you returns over time.But it does create a short-term lift."

"Military-fuelled growth, or military Keynesianism as it is now known in academic circles, was first theorised by the Polish economist Michal Kalecki in 1943. Kalecki argued that capitalists and their political champions tended to bridle against classic Keynesianism; achieving full employment through public spending made them nervous because it risked over-empowering the working class and the unions.

The military was a much more desirable investment from their point of view, although justifying such a diversion of public funds required a certain degree of political repression, best achieved through appeals to patriotism and fear-mongering about an enemy threat - and, inexorably, an actual war.


At the time, Kalecki's best example of military Keynesianism was Nazi Germany. But the concept does not just operate under fascist dictatorships. Indeed, it has been taken up with enthusiasm by the neo-liberal right wing in the United States."
...

Ronald Reagan famously resorted to deficit spending, using talk of the Evil Empire and communist threats from Central America as his excuse to ratchet up the military budget. In 1984, the deficit rose to a whopping 6.2 per cent of GDP. Consequently, the economy grew by more than 7 per cent that year, and he was re-elected by a landslide.

The corollary of the Reagan military boom was a sharp cutback in social spending, something that was not reversed under Bill Clinton and is now back on the agenda with George Bush. State and local budgets are all in crisis because of the recession of the past two years. The fact that the White House is not using federal dollars to help them finance schools, hospitals and police forces hurts all the more because these things have now been underfunded for a generation."


---------------

These two policies clearly prove that the Bush administration is waging a kind of economic warfare against the majority of the US population.

Akerlof
 
Sorry GrGr, linkie no workie........but for all Akerlof's hysterical BS a shining example stands out for all to see, shedding light on the author's lack of competency when discussing economic policy:

State and local budgets are all in crisis because of the recession of the past two years.

For someone opining on economic policy, one would expect he understand the basic definition of what constitutes a recession--that being 2 or more consecutive quarters of contracting GDP. Hell, its debatable whether or not the US was ever in a literal recession (since the GDP only contracted for 1 quarter in 2001), let alone the preposterous assertion that we had 2 years of recession.

What a joke, but then again, it's from commiedreams. I expected no less.
 
Nice try, Corn, but your chosen definition of "recession" is more than a little simplistic, clearly selected to defend a position rather than to express the truth...

And a not so clever avoidance of the topic at hand. Yeh, sure, the economy is recovering, particularly for those at the top of the pile, for whom it never really was very bad. The rest of us get the leftovers-

http://www.nber.org/cycles/recessions.html
 
Originally posted by: Corn
Sorry GrGr, linkie no workie........but for all Akerlof's hysterical BS a shining example stands out for all to see, shedding light on the author's lack of competency when discussing economic policy:

State and local budgets are all in crisis because of the recession of the past two years.

For someone opining on economic policy, one would expect he understand the basic definition of what constitutes a recession--that being 2 or more consecutive quarters of contracting GDP. Hell, its debatable whether or not the US was ever in a literal recession (since the GDP only contracted for 1 quarter in 2001), let alone the preposterous assertion that we had 2 years of recession.

What a joke, but then again, it's from commiedreams. I expected no less.
One time I wrote out the complete truth about everything on 16 pages, but there was a typo on page three about which I got 37 volumes in reply. The content of the 16 pages, of course, were ignored.
 
My chosen definition of "recession" is the accepted definition of recession. You are free to look up the definition at any refrence website you wish. The fact is that NBER has adopted their own definition, possibly selected to defend a position rather than to express the truth.

But........the NBER report you linked merely refutes Akerlof's claim of a 2 year recession anyway, by their standards. Sooo what was your point again?
 
Originally posted by: Moonbeam
Originally posted by: Corn
Sorry GrGr, linkie no workie........but for all Akerlof's hysterical BS a shining example stands out for all to see, shedding light on the author's lack of competency when discussing economic policy:

State and local budgets are all in crisis because of the recession of the past two years.

For someone opining on economic policy, one would expect he understand the basic definition of what constitutes a recession--that being 2 or more consecutive quarters of contracting GDP. Hell, its debatable whether or not the US was ever in a literal recession (since the GDP only contracted for 1 quarter in 2001), let alone the preposterous assertion that we had 2 years of recession.

What a joke, but then again, it's from commiedreams. I expected no less.
One time I wrote out the complete truth about everything on 16 pages, but there was a typo on page three about which I got 37 volumes in reply. The content of the 16 pages, of course, were ignored.

Was your 16 page expose titled "how not to make typos"?

I'll let you ponder the relevancy of that question in regard to your little parable and my previous point. Feel free to comment when you get it.
 
It was widely reported that the U.S. entered its latest recession in March 2001 thus ending 10 years of growth that was the longest expansion on record in the United States.

There's a nice chart that shows the quarters of negative growth. The chart is from this article concerning the idea that NBER was considering moving back the start date of the recession and also provided some info on the factors NBER looks at when determining recession start/end dates. I thought it was interesting that they didn't start considering GDP figures until October of 2003...

For many years, the NBER dating committee has estimated the peaks and troughs of the economy using four basic indicators: job growth, industrial production, consumer income and the volume of sales by manufacturers, wholesalers and retailers.

In October 2003, however, the committee announced it was also using estimates of monthly gross domestic product (GDP), the broadest measure of the economy, generated by Macroeconomic Advisers, a private research firm.

The committee formerly paid less attention to GDP, simply because the Commerce Department only tracked GDP on a quarterly basis. The monthly GDP data now available are more helpful, Zerwitz said.

Though the committee has said those monthly numbers "are fairly noisy and are subject to considerable revision," it also considers them helpful in tracking the economy's cycles. And in time, revisions by Macroeconomic Advisers to older monthly GDP estimates could inspire the NBER to change its cycle dates, Zerwitz said.

One common definition of a recession is two consecutive quarters of a negative rate of growth in gross domestic product (GDP), the broadest measure of the economy. GDP shrank in the first three quarters of 2001, and the Commerce Department recently said revised benchmark data showed GDP also shrank in the third quarter of 2000.

A quick glance at the chart reveals there were 3 quarters of negative GDP in 2001. It's widely accepted that Q2/Q3 of 2001 were recessionary and that the economy pulled out in Q4.
 
Ok I fixed the link. The Akerlof interview is from July 2003. Another quote from it:

"Akerlof: That may be, but Bush's father committed a great act of courage by actually raising taxes. He wasn't always courageous, but this was his best public service. It was the first step to getting the deficit under control during the Clinton years. It was also a major factor in Bush's losing the election."
 
Originally posted by: Corn
Sorry GrGr, linkie no workie........but for all Akerlof's hysterical BS a shining example stands out for all to see, shedding light on the author's lack of competency when discussing economic policy:

State and local budgets are all in crisis because of the recession of the past two years.

For someone opining on economic policy, one would expect he understand the basic definition of what constitutes a recession--that being 2 or more consecutive quarters of contracting GDP. Hell, its debatable whether or not the US was ever in a literal recession (since the GDP only contracted for 1 quarter in 2001), let alone the preposterous assertion that we had 2 years of recession.

What a joke, but then again, it's from commiedreams. I expected no less.

No, it's from Der Spiegel.

Ok, if you have a deeper understanding of the US economy than Nobel Laureate Akerlof then please tell us how the US is going to deal with it's economic problems.

"Akerlof: Future generations and even people in ten years are going to face massive public deficits and huge government debt. Then we have a choice. We can be like a very poor country with problems of threatening bankruptcy. Or we're going to have to cut back seriously on Medicare and Social Security. So the money that is going overwhelmingly to the wealthy is going to be paid by cutting services for the elderly. And people depend on those. It's only among the richest 40 percent that you begin to get households who have sizeable fractions of their own retirement income.

SPIEGEL ONLINE: Is there a possibility that the government, because of the scope of current deficits, will be more reluctant to embark on a new war?

Akerlof: They would certainly have to think about debt levels, and military expenditure is already high. But if they seriously want to lead a war this will not be a large deterrent. You begin the war and ask for the money later. A more likely effect of the deficits is this: If there's another recession, we won't be able to engage in stimulatory fiscal spending to maintain full employment. Until now, there's been a great deal of trust in the American government. Markets knew that, if there is a current deficit, it will be repaid. The government has wasted that resource."

So with the huge deficit now a reality in the US economy when, not if, the next recession comes the US economy will have run out of room to maneuver. And with the government unable to pay for Medicare and SS, again thanks to the huge deficit, the majority of American citizens will suffer through unemployment or crappy jobs, and the failure of Social Security and Medicare will hit the elderly. So the tax cuts essentially looted the future US economy of it's resources to deal with problems, especially problems for those that actually need help the most, the majority of Americans who do not belong to the wealthy.

Akerlof says that this is the time the US should be saving, but Bush is not saving, he is intentionally doing the opposite. The reason of course is that it serves two political purposes. It enriches the already rich, that is himself and his plutocratic supporters, and it permanently weakens the opposition to his rule, the majority of the US people.

Bush's policies are aimed at creating a Mega Banana Republic controlled (policed) by the wealthy elite. Dissent will not be tolerated (see the Patriot Acts).
 
Originally posted by: GrGr
Shut up. This thread clearly is another degenerate Liberal attempt at treasonous defeatism. All is well in BushWorld. There are no flaws in Bush's immaculate concept. Everything BushGod says is true. Dear BushGod, preserve Us from the perversions of our LiberalCommunist Enemies who are set to steal my Money. 😕

The globeandmail isn't exactly a fair piece of journalism. I'd compare it to the New York and LA Times...

Interesting topic and all, even with the spin.
 
Though Corn's definition of "Recession" is correct, that being X amount of quartely economic contraction, if the economy still hasn't expanded beyond the initial contraction caused by the "Recession", the economy is still in a Recessed state. AKA, still < than prior to the "Recession". So Corn's point is kind of Moot, as the recovery took 2ish years to move back beyond the prior state.
 
Originally posted by: sandorski
Though Corn's definition of "Recession" is correct, that being X amount of quartely economic contraction, if the economy still hasn't expanded beyond the initial contraction caused by the "Recession", the economy is still in a Recessed state. AKA, still < than prior to the "Recession". So Corn's point is kind of Moot, as the recovery took 2ish years to move back beyond the prior state.

I think it is fairly evident that Akerlof used the term 'recession' loosely. Corn did score a point against a Nobel Laureate (congrats) but it is beside the point of Akerlof's argument.
 
Back
Top