U.S. has plundered world wealth with dollar:

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OCGuy

Lifer
Jul 12, 2000
27,224
37
91
Its mind boggling to think that China would say ANYTHING to devalue the dollar, seeing as how they have funded Iraq, Afghanistan, rebate checks to all of us, etc. We have one HUGE IOU to China.
 

Ozoned

Diamond Member
Mar 22, 2004
5,578
0
0
Originally posted by: Ocguy31
Its mind boggling to think that China would say ANYTHING to devalue the dollar, seeing as how they have funded Iraq, Afghanistan, rebate checks to all of us, etc. We have one HUGE IOU to China.
We send them mountains of cash, that they loan to us, that they can't use in their own country, and they send us tangible, tradeable, and usable goods in return. It just does't make sense, does it?

 

RichardE

Banned
Dec 31, 2005
10,246
2
0
People in the US don't seem to grasp the *trust* of the dollar in the rest of the world. Sure governments themselves might bitch about it, but there people would rather US dollars. It's a staple, and a symbol, and If I get paid in US dollars in South Africa, I can buy stuff in Egypt with them, or maybe some stuff from India. If I get paid in Yuans will it be as easy to buy items in Egypt? Will the people in India feel comfortable taking this money? Even Euros are hard to get rid of in most of the world because people just don't *trust* the currency. Until the US ceases to remain a superpower and ceases to dictate world affairs the US dollar will be the safe haven.
 

RichardE

Banned
Dec 31, 2005
10,246
2
0
Originally posted by: Ozoned
Originally posted by: Ocguy31
Its mind boggling to think that China would say ANYTHING to devalue the dollar, seeing as how they have funded Iraq, Afghanistan, rebate checks to all of us, etc. We have one HUGE IOU to China.
We send them mountains of cash, that they loan to us, that they can't use in their own country, and they send us tangible, tradeable, and usable goods in return. It just does't make sense, does it?

You are crazy if you don't think people in China buy and sell goods in US dollars.
 

Ozoned

Diamond Member
Mar 22, 2004
5,578
0
0
Originally posted by: RichardE
Originally posted by: Ozoned
Originally posted by: Ocguy31
Its mind boggling to think that China would say ANYTHING to devalue the dollar, seeing as how they have funded Iraq, Afghanistan, rebate checks to all of us, etc. We have one HUGE IOU to China.
We send them mountains of cash, that they loan to us, that they can't use in their own country, and they send us tangible, tradeable, and usable goods in return. It just does't make sense, does it?

You are crazy if you don't think people in China buy and sell goods in US dollars.
Dollars are not legal tender in China...
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Here is an OLDER article detailing some of the relationship of the dollar and the yuan. ;) ;) (I think china was the Mark in this Big scam that the USA has just pulled off) Notice the mortgage backed securities that the article discusses.
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As China's foreign currency reserve hits one trillion-dollar mark, suddenly many scary stories appear on major media about how China may use this vast mostly dollar-denominated foreign currency reserve to harm US interests. Though many of those stories are attributed to supposedly knowledgeable economists and financial market observers, most of them are based on misunderstandings of the purpose of China's rapidly increasing foreign currency reserve. On the other hand those stories overlook the real threat of China's foreign currency reserve posed on US economy. The purpose of this comment is to clarify those points.

Many countries around the world are accumulating outsize foreign currency reserves, thanks to the run away US trade deficits. When US runs trade deficits, US dollars are handed over to foreigners. Many foreign governments buy up those US dollars from private parties, which want to sell those trade-deficit-dollars for their own currencies, in order to prevent the upward revaluation of their currencies versus US Dollar; they fear that an expensive currency will hurt their exports. Especially notable in this kind of currency market manipulations are the countries of Asian Pacific Rim, like China, Japan (with a reserve of about $880 billion dollars), Taiwan (about $260 billion dollars), and South Korea (about $230 billion dollars). Among those four countries, only China, an authoritative communist regime, is not a firm US ally so that many worries have been aired from the fear that China may use this vast foreign currency reserve against US in case of a US-China discord. Those people fear that if China shifts its foreign currency reserve en mass to other currencies like Euro, Yen or gold bullions, US Dollar will collapse and US will plunge into a depression. Those people are forgetting that China is accumulating those dollars in order to suppress the value of Yuan so that it can continue to hold its wage level low and to attract foreign manufacturing capitals to make goods to be exported to US. If US Dollar collapses by China's rash movement of shifting its foreign currency reserve away from dollar-denomination, its Yuan will rise sharply against Dollar, its exports to US suddenly drop, its own export industry collapses and the regime itself will be in grave danger. If US Dollar should collapse in some future time, most likely it will not come from China's action but from some other factors. It should be noted that to induce a depression both in USA and China, the collapse of US Dollar is not necessary; the sudden disruption of US-China trade will be enough. A sudden disruption of US-China trade can occur due to outside factors, like a US-China military confrontation, a worldwide pandemic, or a unilateral action on the US side to impose a heavy import tax on Chinese made goods.

Some economists within China suggest that China can use its vast foreign currency reserve to fund domestic projects like social welfare. However, those people are ignoring the reality that US Dollar is not a legal tender within China. In order to use dollars in the reserve to fund China's domestic projects, Chinese government must sell dollars for Yuan, thus completely destroying the purpose of dollar buying from the very beginning. How about to allow other Chinese parties to hold those dollars instead of the central government itself? If Chinese government still holds the decision making power of dictating how those diversified dollars will be used, it is no different from the current situation that Chinese government holds those dollars. If those Chinese parties can decide how to use those dollars as they see fit, they will behave just like other private parties outside China by selling those dollars for Euro, Yen, gold bullions or even Yuan itself, causing the collapse of Dollar that will drag down the economies of both US and China; at the end Chinese government will be forced to buy back those dollars.

China is already buying all it can from US, ranging from agriculture products to civilian aircrafts, but is not be able to close the vast trade gap between China and US in a meaningful way. For China to buy its most wanted high technologies and sophisticated weapons from US is out of question, considering current geopolitical conditions (see, for example, Article 6). Some in US claim that if Chinese government crack down on illegally pirated DVD's and CD's, US is going to gain hundreds of billions dollars a year, thus be able to close the trade gap and make the expansion of China's foreign currency reserve much slower. Let us entertain this claim for a while. Let us make an exaggerated assumption that every one of 1.2 billion Chinese buys 5 DVD's and CD's a year in average and each of such pirated disks costs one US dollar at street corners of China. The total amount of Chinese consumption of those disks will amount to 6 billion dollars a year. Those US claimers must be assuming that a legal copy of US made disk can be sold for $30 to Chinese and thus bring in 180 billion dollars a year. We must point out that the average price of an entertainment disk in US retail stores is less than $15, and probably more than 50% of the price is due to the overhead of retail chains, not the actual price that entertainment producers are entitled to. US can gain like 50 billion dollars at most if Chinese government cracks down on pirated disks 100%. However, it is ridiculous to think that Chinese consumers will spend 50 billion dollars, about 7% of China's total consumer spending, just on US made entertainment disks! If a total crack down on pirated disks is really undertaken by Chinese government, in short term US can gain, in a most optimistic scenario, just a few billion dollars a year, a drop in the bucket on the way to slow down China's rapidly expanding foreign currency reserve. In long term such a stern action of Chinese government on pirated disks will induce the emergence of China's entertainment industry due to the sudden eightfold jump in the price of an entertainment disk in China. Not long after we will see very inexpensive, computer generated "made in China" entertainment disks flood into USA, battering US entertainment industries and further fueling the growth of China's foreign currency reserve. In principle, Chinese government can loan the dollars at hand to Chinese corporations to buy up US corporations and commercial real estates to dent its foreign currency reserve. However, such purchases, if the targets are viable corporations and real estates, will encounter stiff public backlash in US, so such transactions cannot be expected to rise to the degree that is capable of slowing down the accumulation of dollars in the foreign currency reserve of China in any significant way.

From the above discussions it should be clear that the only reasonable way for China to manage its vast foreign currency reserve is to keep most of its reserve in dollar-denominated securities as it is doing presently. However, there is a real risk to US economy even for China just passively holding dollar denominated securities; economists and analysts mostly overlook this risk. Currently China's dollar-denominated securities are mainly in US treasury notes and mortgage-backed securities issued by US government-sponsored agencies. Those securities are long-term debt instruments in nature. US Federal Reserve Board (abbreviated as FED) has been rising short-term interest rates for more than two years in order to slow down US economy to a more sustainable pace. For this plan of US FED to work, long-term interest rates need to rise in tandem with short-term interest rates. The persistence of China to buy long-term dollar denominated securities is one of the major reason that the long-term interest rates are kept below the short-term interest rates, a phenomenon called "inverted yield curve" and is also dubbed as the "interest rate conundrum". The reason of China's behavior is quite apparent. China does not want to see US economy to slow down since a subdued US economy means a slow down of China's exports to US and a dangerous slowdown of Chinese economy. Therefore, China is buying long-term dollar denominated-securities to hold US long-term interest rate down even at the risk of annoying US FED. This confrontation between US FED and China is forcing FED to raise short-term interest rates to a higher level and for a longer period than under a normal situation. This incident should be compared to the way Japan's management of its 800+ billion dollars of reserve. Japan's reserve is mostly in short-term US treasuries so that any excess liquidity pumped into the market by its buying can be safely drained away by FED, and the long-term interest rates will not be pushed down against the wish of FED. If FED wants to stimulate US economy by lowering short-term interest rates in future, Japan will shift its holding to long-term US treasuries such that long-term interest rates will come down as FED desires. In other words Japan is yielding back the power of US monetary policy to FED, but China is not due to the consideration of its own interests. In 2005 China's foreign currency reserve expanded by 200 billion dollars. In 2006 the reserve probably will expand by about 250 billion dollars. With this kind of rate of expansion, China's foreign currency reserve will reach 2 trillion dollars by 2010 and approach 4 trillion dollars by 2015. In that occasion every movement in US monetary policy needs to be cleared with Chinese Government beforehand. Thus Chinese Government will replace US FED as the agency making US economic policies, a scenario rapidly approaching the situation as depicted in Article 7, titled as "globalization utopia".



 

rchiu

Diamond Member
Jun 8, 2002
3,846
0
0
This is nothing more than some stupid rant by some random pro-china Chinese scholar on a communist mouth piece media outlet. US didn't put a gun on people's head and force people to buy USD right now. People buy USD because it is the safest and most liquid currency in the world. You can criticize the 700 billion bailout or how Fed/Treasury prints money like crazy, but to have a strong government backing the economic system is the exact reason why people trust USD.

And it's funny how Chinese talking about banishing USD from their trade. So people is suppose to use Yuan now? Heh, what are people gonna do with Yuan other than wiping their @ss with it when you cannot freely convert Yuan to other currency. And I guess their stock falling by 2/3 since Oct. 2007 is all US's fault, it got nothing to do with the entire country using stock market as one big gambling place. Yeap, when the Chinese government can't explain to people how they f'ed up their own economy, it's nice to have someone else to point their finger to and not bear any responsibility for their own bad policies and decisions.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: Ozoned
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: Skoorb
This certainly sounds reasonable. I'm still not quite sure why the US has so much wealth vs other countries, but in any case heck it's nice to be on the winning team right now.

<--- Looks at the 401k and other "wealth" investments and wonders if he's winning or would have been better off just saying "fuck it" and bought everything in sight.
I saw the housing bust coming 3 years ago. I was smart and got rid of several rental properties. I built a really nice house,,,,,,,,,,


financed it 100% and put my cash from the rentals into mutual funds. :eek:

You must have read my posts and have me to thank.

You're welcome.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: fleshconsumed
Engineer's point was that you cannot easily restore manufacturing that took 20 years to outsourse. If it took 20 years to outsorce it all it will probably take just as much to bring it all back, maybe less, but only with massive government involvement.

For fuck sake, I go to Menards to buy some nails and the box says "Designed in Michigan, manufactured in China". WTF?

I disagree.

Real Americans have always been resourceful.

If we get the anti-American Republicans out of here people can start the healing process and make things here at home.

Hopefully all the Republicans that caused this are happy in places like Morrocco.
 
Jun 27, 2005
19,216
1
61
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: Ozoned


financed it 100% and put my cash from the rentals into mutual funds. :eek:

I took every cent that I could muster for 6 years and paid my home off 23 years and 4 months early. I guess it could be worse.

I wish that there were a :tears; emoticon at times when looking at my retirement investments, especially after last years disaster in my "personal" non-retirement investments. *sigh*

I'm about a millimeter away from just snapping.......

I would like to follow you around with a camera 24 hours a day and create a new reality series. Would you like a salary or a share of the profits?
 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,230
701
126
Originally posted by: Whoozyerdaddy
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: Ozoned


financed it 100% and put my cash from the rentals into mutual funds. :eek:

I took every cent that I could muster for 6 years and paid my home off 23 years and 4 months early. I guess it could be worse.

I wish that there were a :tears; emoticon at times when looking at my retirement investments, especially after last years disaster in my "personal" non-retirement investments. *sigh*

I'm about a millimeter away from just snapping.......

I would like to follow you around with a camera 24 hours a day and create a new reality series. Would you like a salary or a share of the profits?

A lump sum as this might just be a short documentary. I'm not sure you'll get past the opening credits the way I feel right now.
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: Whoozyerdaddy
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: Ozoned


financed it 100% and put my cash from the rentals into mutual funds. :eek:

I took every cent that I could muster for 6 years and paid my home off 23 years and 4 months early. I guess it could be worse.

I wish that there were a :tears; emoticon at times when looking at my retirement investments, especially after last years disaster in my "personal" non-retirement investments. *sigh*

I'm about a millimeter away from just snapping.......

I would like to follow you around with a camera 24 hours a day and create a new reality series. Would you like a salary or a share of the profits?

A lump sum as this might just be a short documentary. I'm not sure you'll get past the opening credits the way I feel right now.
You shouldn't really be anymore upset than people who've lost 50% in their retirement. At least you do have that bad boy paid off!

 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,230
701
126
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: Whoozyerdaddy
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: Ozoned


financed it 100% and put my cash from the rentals into mutual funds. :eek:

I took every cent that I could muster for 6 years and paid my home off 23 years and 4 months early. I guess it could be worse.

I wish that there were a :tears; emoticon at times when looking at my retirement investments, especially after last years disaster in my "personal" non-retirement investments. *sigh*

I'm about a millimeter away from just snapping.......

I would like to follow you around with a camera 24 hours a day and create a new reality series. Would you like a salary or a share of the profits?

A lump sum as this might just be a short documentary. I'm not sure you'll get past the opening credits the way I feel right now.
You shouldn't really be anymore upset than people who've lost 50% in their retirement. At least you do have that bad boy paid off!


50% would be peachy right now (seriously) from both my personal and retirement accounts (if that tells you anything). I'm just sick and fucking tired of the whole situation (I'm working for nothing....literally nothing. All the people I've called stupid over the years for not working and wanting stuff and drawing a government check might have been right. I'll never get the time back that I've given up and it was all for nothing....absolutely nothing).
 

halik

Lifer
Oct 10, 2000
25,696
1
0
Hah what a jackass,
he's arguing that their own currency should be used in international transactions, despite the fact that you can't buy it on the free market (only thru their CB).


Not to mention the ironing of them bitching about the dollar, when the reason they got so much of is is because they intentionally devaluate their currency to promote exports... Rchiu is right, that guy is just some fool that wants to score bonus points with the party.
 

halik

Lifer
Oct 10, 2000
25,696
1
0
Originally posted by: rchiu
This is nothing more than some stupid rant by some random pro-china Chinese scholar on a communist mouth piece media outlet. US didn't put a gun on people's head and force people to buy USD right now. People buy USD because it is the safest and most liquid currency in the world. You can criticize the 700 billion bailout or how Fed/Treasury prints money like crazy, but to have a strong government backing the economic system is the exact reason why people trust USD.

And it's funny how Chinese talking about banishing USD from their trade. So people is suppose to use Yuan now? Heh, what are people gonna do with Yuan other than wiping their @ss with it when you cannot freely convert Yuan to other currency. And I guess their stock falling by 2/3 since Oct. 2007 is all US's fault, it got nothing to do with the entire country using stock market as one big gambling place. Yeap, when the Chinese government can't explain to people how they f'ed up their own economy, it's nice to have someone else to point their finger to and not bear any responsibility for their own bad policies and decisions.

Nail on the head, I couldn't agree more. Maybe now they realize that without shorting, their stock market was a big ponzi scheme?
 

brandonbull

Diamond Member
May 3, 2005
6,365
1,223
126
I'm glad we keep spending billions and billions in the ME and not worrying about positioning ourselves to survive the coming economic fails the Chinese are wanting to hand us.
 

Ozoned

Diamond Member
Mar 22, 2004
5,578
0
0
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: Whoozyerdaddy
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: Ozoned


financed it 100% and put my cash from the rentals into mutual funds. :eek:

I took every cent that I could muster for 6 years and paid my home off 23 years and 4 months early. I guess it could be worse.

I wish that there were a :tears; emoticon at times when looking at my retirement investments, especially after last years disaster in my "personal" non-retirement investments. *sigh*

I'm about a millimeter away from just snapping.......

I would like to follow you around with a camera 24 hours a day and create a new reality series. Would you like a salary or a share of the profits?

A lump sum as this might just be a short documentary. I'm not sure you'll get past the opening credits the way I feel right now.
You shouldn't really be anymore upset than people who've lost 50% in their retirement. At least you do have that bad boy paid off!


50% would be peachy right now (seriously) from both my personal and retirement accounts (if that tells you anything). I'm just sick and fucking tired of the whole situation (I'm working for nothing....literally nothing. All the people I've called stupid over the years for not working and wanting stuff and drawing a government check might have been right. I'll never get the time back that I've given up and it was all for nothing....absolutely nothing).
The value of your assets are quite low right now, and they will either rebound or crash. You have the resources right now to fill your cabinets up with food, and prepare for the crash, the people getting the checks don't.

Things get worse, you can eat real food while they are eating their checks.

It's called a mid-life crisis, aggravated by extraordinary circumstances. :D
 

PingSpike

Lifer
Feb 25, 2004
21,758
602
126
The United States responds: "pwnt"

Seriously, WTF...I don't remember the United States forcing China to peg its currency to the US dollar. If the dollar sucks balls so bad then stop buying so many dollars let your currency float against it.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
China has done the same fucking thing by keeping the Yuan depressed, flooding the world with cheap shit, when their currency should have been floating making their cheap shit not so cheap.
 

gevorg

Diamond Member
Nov 3, 2004
5,070
1
0
Russia (the world's biggest natural resources exporter) and China (the world's biggest goods exporter) call for trade in more currencies
http://www.reuters.com/article...s/idUSLS17337320081028

Up until the US credit crisis, China and Russia along with the rest of the world completely trusted the US dollar. China pegged yuan to it, and Russians used at as a better alternative currency. Now there is a new trend to move away from 90%+ exposure to US dollar. The chances of these countries not using the dollar at all is very slim since US economy is still #1, it doesn't make sense to do so from a financial standpoint (politics aside). But from a financial standpoint, it also makes sense for them to reduce exposure to dollar and diversify in other currencies, and this looks like what they're trying to do. News above is one example.
 

rchiu

Diamond Member
Jun 8, 2002
3,846
0
0
Originally posted by: gevorg
Russia (the world's biggest natural resources exporter) and China (the world's biggest goods exporter) call for trade in more currencies
http://www.reuters.com/article...s/idUSLS17337320081028

Up until the US credit crisis, China and Russia along with the rest of the world completely trusted the US dollar. China pegged yuan to it, and Russians used at as a better alternative currency. Now there is a new trend to move away from 90%+ exposure to US dollar. The chances of these countries not using the dollar at all is very slim since US economy is still #1, it doesn't make sense to do so from a financial standpoint (politics aside). But from a financial standpoint, it also makes sense for them to reduce exposure to dollar and diversify in other currencies, and this looks like what they're trying to do. News above is one example.

Heh, only the most naive people think the call for more diverse currency by Chinese and Russian is for the greater good. They are just not happy that USD doing well and no one wants their currency. How would a small company doing global trade benefit when their partners demand 5 different currencies? 4 of which they cannot easily convert to their own currency? Why would the company not take the currency backed by the strongest government and instead take currency from a country with absolutely no transparency.

Seriously, it takes more then just talk to get international community to start taking Yuan or Roubles, even for companies in their own country.