Originally posted by: glenn1
Originally posted by: BigDH01
Originally posted by: GTaudiophile
It use to be that I would see a "dying Dollar" article once a month, now it's like I am seeing one every other day or so.
Could this be the result of having a weak President?
From North Korea launching more missiles, Iran giving the world the finger, and the anti-Dollar drumbeat growing from China and Russia, it is clear that the world is enjoying having a weak US President.
I don't see why anyone is addressing the "Dollar strength" issue. I mean, if the Dollar does truly collapse then our incomes and savings become worthless on the world stage. We won't be able to afford squat.
Deficits. Debt. Dollar Strength.
These are the REAL problems we should all be caring about.
Why do you want such a strong dollar? Is it so you can keep buying cheap imported crap even while it means that production is shipped overseas and most people buying this crap are buying it with money lent to them from those countries acquiring said production?
I just don't get it. Everyone seems to bemoan a weaker dollar, but I haven't heard any real justification as to why. The incomes and savings aspect of it seems to be a red herring. If the dollar collapsed, manufacturers could move to this country and make money exporting. If I can buy blue jeans that are manufactured in Texas from cotton grown in the Carolinas, why do I care if a Euro costs $2.00? Is this a nationalism thing? Do we want a strong dollar simply so we can say we have a strong currency?
Why, so we can have the same sort of thriving industrial economy as Bangaladesh? Manufacturing jobs are now in permanent decline in this country due to automation even as the industry produces the same or more amount of output; see what happened to farming in the 20th century. Do you pine for the millions of lost subsitence farming jobs lost in the U.S. in the past 100 years or so as much as you do the back-breaking, spirit-crushing assembly line jobs of the industrial American age?
No, I don't. But even automated factories moving back to the US means some skilled labor jobs, construction jobs, transportation jobs, logistics jobs, etc, also move back, and all the secondary jobs associated with them. If manufacturing is in a permanent state of decline, I'd rather it decline here.
What we have now is obviously unsustainable. In my opinion, the first inkling of a serious underlying issue occurred in the 70s with stagflation. We then began the paradigm of supply-side economics, or "we'll produce our way out of inflation." That's great, but public and private debt exploded around this time as people purchased this new supply. That worked until the bubble economies began in the late 90s. Deflated once to be built again, with people using new instruments of debt to purchase this supply as jobs became more skilled, harder to get (more education required), and wages stagnated for the majority of us. Now we have a situation were most people have little to no net value and little means to increase their debt load. It's a failure of demand.
Now, making the US more competitive in exports won't solve the above underlying problem, but it will reduce some pressure. In reality, many people and jobs simply aren't needed. We don't really need full staffing in factories and we don't need many people to grow food. We don't need a lot of people to provide the basic needs of everyone. Unfortunately, this really means that some people are more "expensive" to keep alive than what they are valued by the market. If a person is only capable of working in a factory and is replaced by a robot, then while it may be cheaper to keep them alive than it used to be, their value in the market is basically zero (note: I am only talking about the market, not making any normative statement about their aggregate value to society to be found with their family, other activities, etc). I posted about this in another thread, but you'll see this creep up as well. More people end up going into skilled labor and increasing the pool size of labor. How many analysts, programmers, etc, do you need before the individual marginal utility of a single member drops to zero? What do you do when software can replace many of these skilled laborers? Some might call this a Malthusian catastrophe and some might call this the early steps of post scarcity. If every point of production can be as automated as manufacturing, then the cost to keep someone alive should approach zero; to match the displaced workers value.