The economic framework for austerity is getting even weaker

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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,964
55,355
136
I haven't made anything up. Since you like graphs, and I'm sure you have it available, post up what the total Fed debt was for all those years. Show us where it went down. Remember: The Spender mantra is that we will pay down the debt in the good years that we racked up in the bad.

That might be what you think Keynesian economics says, but that's because you don't understand the topic. This is a continuing problem for you. It is never about paying down debt, it is about reducing debt/GDP ratio.

This should be easy for you. All you have to show is all the times the Fed debt was paid down in all the good years (no tricks like stealing from SS please, we want real untainted numbers).

What are you so afraid of? I've said in other threads I'm fully onboard with the Spender ideology and I'm awaiting my $5k check, F man, I'm ready to stimulate the shit out of this economy! I'm onboard with you guys. But I don't want to be dishonest with the public like you...I fully intend to tell them we're blowing money we don't have, and that we'll never pay back. Why do you insist on trying to smokescreen the public when selling your ideology?

You're acting like a child again because you don't like what reality tells you.
 

chucky2

Lifer
Dec 9, 1999
10,018
37
91
That might be what you think Keynesian economics says, but that's because you don't understand the topic. This is a continuing problem for you. It is never about paying down debt, it is about reducing debt/GDP ratio.

I'm quite sure when I've seen the multitudes of pundits on TV, listened to them on the morning commutes, seen the articles at the places where normal non-financial people read them, that never has it been: Yes, we need to spend in the bad times to stimulate the economy, and then in the good times, 'get down our debt/gdp ratio'. Never have I seen that presented at any "average American" source, nor even hinted at.

If this is truly what Spenders have really meant, you have horribly failed in clearly and accurately delivering your message to the average American who will be footing the bill for your (well, now, our) ideology.

You're acting like a child again because you don't like what reality tells you.

Really I would say it's quite the opposite. I've simply asked for something we both know you can easily provide, and have elected to tell average Americans the truth about our ideology, whereas you're deflecting about your views of my attitude and not posting up the requested graph.

Why is that?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,964
55,355
136
I'm quite sure when I've seen the multitudes of pundits on TV, listened to them on the morning commutes, seen the articles at the places where normal non-financial people read them, that never has it been: Yes, we need to spend in the bad times to stimulate the economy, and then in the good times, 'get down our debt/gdp ratio'. Never have I seen that presented at any "average American" source, nor even hinted at.

If this is truly what Spenders have really meant, you have horribly failed in clearly and accurately delivering your message to the average American who will be footing the bill for your (well, now, our) ideology.

This is why arguing with you is useless. Remember this thread?

http://forums.anandtech.com/showthread.php?t=2311718&page=3

I provided you with exactly what you asked for, then you hilariously ran round making personal attacks about masturbation, moving the goalposts, making new demands, and then claiming vindication based on those new arbitrary criteria.

Really I would say it's quite the opposite. I've simply asked for something we both know you can easily provide, and have elected to tell average Americans the truth about our ideology, whereas you're deflecting about your views of my attitude and not posting up the requested graph.

Why is that?

Because unlike you I don't need to twist basic economics to make my point. There is no argument among economists as to the relevant figure for discussing public debt, but since that figure tells you things you don't want to hear you desperately search for other ones.
 

chucky2

Lifer
Dec 9, 1999
10,018
37
91
This is why arguing with you is useless. Remember this thread?

http://forums.anandtech.com/showthread.php?t=2311718&page=3

I provided you with exactly what you asked for, then you hilariously ran round making personal attacks about masturbation, moving the goalposts, making new demands, and then claiming vindication based on those new arbitrary criteria.

Holy F! Did you just bring up the thread where I asked you for examples where the qualifiers to the Spender mantra were disclosed to the public, you claimed there were "hundreds", and then you linked to articles that had no qualifiers, making my point for me?!?!

Hahahahaahahahahahahah!!!! :D:D:D:D :thumbsup::thumbsup::thumbsup: Self ownage...always the best! Bravo! :thumbsup:

Because unlike you I don't need to twist basic economics to make my point. There is no argument among economists as to the relevant figure for discussing public debt, but since that figure tells you things you don't want to hear you desperately search for other ones.

Twist basic economics? Haha! Who's twisting what? The entire Spender mantra is and always has been "Spend in the bad times to stimulate, pay back down in the good times". To keep track of that, GDP can't be used - growth would mask whether or not the Never Tell A Lie/Be Disingenuous Politicians actually carried through on their huge "...pay back down in good times" qualifier they use to sell the Spending ideology. Actual debt paid down would should that.

Maybe the bigger question here is: Why would you and your fellow economists, and/or the Politicians advocating for Spender ideology, want to hoodwink the public by using debt/GDP to mask the qualifier payback (or, as we all know, lack of payback)? We've already seen you trying to change the narrative to Oh no, we've always said it's 'get debt/GDP down in the good times', something your own links you just tried to re-use (and hence, re-fail) do not state.

I guess I should ask: Are you receiving some kind of job security and/or compensation for promoting Spender ideology that would make you be so disingenous in its promotion?

As I've said before, I'm fully onboard now with your/our Spender ideology: I want my $5k checks and promise to stimulate the economy like crazy. But, I'm not into misleading those paying for it. Why do you keep lying/trying to lie?

Chuck
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,964
55,355
136
Holy F! Did you just bring up the thread where I asked you for examples where the qualifiers to the Spender mantra were disclosed to the public, you claimed there were "hundreds", and then you linked to articles that had no qualifiers, making my point for me?!?!

Hahahahaahahahahahahah!!!! :D:D:D:D :thumbsup::thumbsup::thumbsup: Self ownage...always the best! Bravo! :thumbsup:

They spelled out the main qualifier explicitly, you just didn't like being shown to be wrong so you started raging incoherently and trying to move the goalposts. You increase deficits in bad times, you decrease deficits in good times. There is nothing about the absolute number in debt because anyone who knows what they are talking about wouldn't use such a dumb metric.

Twist basic economics? Haha! Who's twisting what? The entire Spender mantra is and always has been "Spend in the bad times to stimulate, pay back down in the good times". To keep track of that, GDP can't be used - growth would mask whether or not the Never Tell A Lie/Be Disingenuous Politicians actually carried through on their huge "...pay back down in good times" qualifier they use to sell the Spending ideology. Actual debt paid down would should that.

It has never been that, although I do appreciate your willingness to lie in order to avoid admitting you're wrong.

Maybe the bigger question here is: Why would you and your fellow economists, and/or the Politicians advocating for Spender ideology, want to hoodwink the public by using debt/GDP to mask the qualifier payback (or, as we all know, lack of payback)? We've already seen you trying to change the narrative to Oh no, we've always said it's 'get debt/GDP down in the good times', something your own links you just tried to re-use (and hence, re-fail) do not state.

I guess I should ask: Are you receiving some kind of job security and/or compensation for promoting Spender ideology that would make you be so disingenous in its promotion?

As I've said before, I'm fully onboard now with your/our Spender ideology: I want my $5k checks and promise to stimulate the economy like crazy. But, I'm not into misleading those paying for it. Why do you keep lying/trying to lie?

Chuck

There is no qualifier for payback, you just don't understand what you're talking about. What's bizarre is that your ignorance here is so basic that I have a hard time believing it's genuine.

I will attempt to help you understand basic economics one last time: In 1920 median income was somewhere around $1,000 per year (depending on your source). If you were to buy a car for $3,000 you just took out 300% of your yearly income in debt. That's a big problem! Now in 2013 that $3,000 equals about $35,000 in inflation adjusted terms. The median household income today is around $50,000. Therefore despite owing more than twelve times as much money your ability to repay that debt is vastly greater.

If we were to use your limited understanding of economics we would be focusing on the fact that debt had increased to $35,000 from $3,000. In real economics we focus on the fact that your debts went from 300% of your income to 70% of your income. Attempting to characterize debt in absolute amounts not only ignores inflation but it ignores what that debt actually means to those in society. You are in much worse financial shape with $100 in debt and $1/year in income than you are with $100,000 in debt and $1,000,000 a year in income. That's why we use debt/GDP ratio and I'm quite certain this has been explained to you before.

In short, you're either stupid or a liar. This will be the last time I explain basic economics to you.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
While I know it's pointless to argue with a zealot, I still need to ask why you're still asking for stimulus even though the economy is in growth mode? It was just reported yesterday that U.S. growth was up 2.5% last quarter, thus your own criteria for beginning to pay down debt has been met. You're just again proving that you will always and forever be pro-stimulus, regardless of conditions.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,964
55,355
136
While I know it's pointless to argue with a zealot, I still need to ask why you're still asking for stimulus even though the economy is in growth mode? It was just reported yesterday that U.S. growth was up 2.5% last quarter, thus your own criteria for beginning to pay down debt has been met. You're just again proving that you will always and forever be pro-stimulus, regardless of conditions.

I'm going to assume you didn't actually read anything about the latest GDP figures.

If you think that an economy with a 7.6% unemployment rate that is growing at a 2.5% rate in significant part due to inventory expansion with interest rates pegged at zero while running a deficit at a better part of a trillion dollars is in 'growth mode' I'll just say that you're proving little else other than your own ignorance. Is that what you really thought 'good economic times' were defined as?

I'm pretty sure you're not that stupid, so I'll just assume instead you're a liar.
 

chucky2

Lifer
Dec 9, 1999
10,018
37
91
They spelled out the main qualifier explicitly, you just didn't like being shown to be wrong so you started raging incoherently and trying to move the goalposts. You increase deficits in bad times, you decrease deficits in good times. There is nothing about the absolute number in debt because anyone who knows what they are talking about wouldn't use such a dumb metric.

No, I'm sorry, they haven't. Literally none of the times I've listened/watched these shows that the average Joe would watch has that ever been explicitily stated. It has alwaysd boiled down to "Spend during the bad times, pay back in the good times". It's why the discussion of tax rates being raised in the good times and disgust why that never happens even comes up. Maybe in your super smart economic circles you all understand what you all are talking about, and some small % of the population understands, but Average Joe, the one actually on the long term hook for paying off your ideology, does not. Even if what you say here is accurate, your ideological marketers have absolutely sucked at getting your ideology with the main qualifiers explained to the general public. And now I see you're talking about reducing deficits in the good times. Deficits, another way to mask Spending. We can have a Gov spend of $2 with $1.8T in income (meaning: They should be held to $1.8T, not $2T, in spending), the Policitians in theory will actually hold themselves to blowing $2.5T in 4 years, Gov income comes up to $2.5T, and shazzam, "We decreased the deficit!". Politicians and Spenders crow what a feat they just accomplished. Back in Reality, they grew spending by $.7T. Congrats though, they've "decreased" in the good times.

It has never been that, although I do appreciate your willingness to lie in order to avoid admitting you're wrong.

It's always been that. That is how it's pushed to average joe. Average Joe is willing to take a short term hit to take a chance on spurring the economy (it really helps when you do an "infrastructure" project that their union is going to benefit from) if he knows the Politicians are going to get that deficit back to even with income and pay back down that debt we've racked up. That is literally how every person I know who even knows what GDP, deficit, and debt means understands Spender ideology to be. If you don't believe that, maybe you should leave your sheltered super smart halls of ideology and get out with the common man and run a check on the information they're exposed to and understand to be.

There is no qualifier for payback

I'm glad you are understanding this, that your ideological marketing dept has failed so badly here.

, you just don't understand what you're talking about.

Doh! You were making progress...

What's bizarre is that your ignorance here is so basic that I have a hard time believing it's genuine.

Nick Naylor, is that you??

I will attempt to help you understand basic economics one last time: In 1920 median income was somewhere around $1,000 per year (depending on your source). If you were to buy a car for $3,000 you just took out 300% of your yearly income in debt. That's a big problem! Now in 2013 that $3,000 equals about $35,000 in inflation adjusted terms. The median household income today is around $50,000. Therefore despite owing more than twelve times as much money your ability to repay that debt is vastly greater.

If we were to use your limited understanding of economics we would be focusing on the fact that debt had increased to $35,000 from $3,000. In real economics we focus on the fact that your debts went from 300% of your income to 70% of your income. Attempting to characterize debt in absolute amounts not only ignores inflation but it ignores what that debt actually means to those in society. You are in much worse financial shape with $100 in debt and $1/year in income than you are with $100,000 in debt and $1,000,000 a year in income. That's why we use debt/GDP ratio and I'm quite certain this has been explained to you before.

In short, you're either stupid or a liar. This will be the last time I explain basic economics to you.

Yes, I understand that. Let me explain this to you, since I don't think you understand:

When you tell the general public you're going to blow fantastical amounts of money that doesn't exist, that this same general public is going to be on the hook for, and your spin/sell that with you are going to get that paid back when times are good, that's what you do. Unless you're a liar. We can see now what we've suspected all along: There was never an intention of getting those Trillions deficit spent paid back. Ever. Instead, you will use a nations normally growing GDP to instead pretend the debt load has been lessened simply because the nation is making more. And, that may in fact be true. But. Never will Spenders actually cut back the spend past income and actually pay back what was deficit spent. That is, it's what we knew you were going to do all along.

In spite of all this, I'm still onboard with your, now our, plan. When exactly do the $5k tax free checks start getting mailed to the net taxpayers? That is really all I want out of this deal, so I'm asking you, when do I get mine?

Chuck
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,964
55,355
136
The debt load HAS lessened, you insane idiot.

All that aside, I'm happy to hear that you're onboard with the plan! Unfortunately due to your extremely poor grasp of basic economics you're going to have to leave the implementation to people who actually understand what they're talking about so we won't be able to move forward with your plan. Since we ideologically agree though, just be sure to vote for whoever I tell you to going forward.

I'm glad we were able to wrap this up in such a satisfactory manner!
 

chucky2

Lifer
Dec 9, 1999
10,018
37
91
The debt load HAS lessened, you insane idiot.

But not the debt, and not because any payback happened. It only is lessened if GDP grows. That's not paying back in the good times or cutting in the good times, that's simply the GDP growing. The Politicians haven't done dick there, and haven't paid back shit.

All that aside, I'm happy to hear that you're onboard with the plan! Unfortunately due to your extremely poor grasp of basic economics you're going to have to leave the implementation to people who actually understand what they're talking about so we won't be able to move forward with your plan. Since we ideologically agree though, just be sure to vote for whoever I tell you to going forward.

I'm glad we were able to wrap this up in such a satisfactory manner!

I'll be happy to vote for whatever Spender you say as long as they aren't net unpalatable on other topics. As for leaving it up to others...

...if by others you mean liars, deceivers, etc. that want to blow on large "infrastructure" projects so they can buy votes with their pet constituencies, No Thanks. If we're going to blow Trillions that I and every other net taxpayer are on the hook for, I want my direct sugar from Uncle Sugar. I think 5 $5k tax free checks, each sent 6 months apart, would be a just fine and fair stimulus package. I highly doubt you'll find too many of those bearing the tax burden that would disagree with Everyone (that actually pays taxes) receiving money rather than just the folks Politicians need to buy.

I too am glad we were able to wrap this up. I love being on the Spender side, it's so liberating! :thumbsup:
 

Phokus

Lifer
Nov 20, 1999
22,994
779
126
The problem with conservatives is that they're so stupid they mix up correlation and causation. In most cases, it's slow growth that causes debt, but the authors of the infamous study got the causation wrong and so many bitch idiot imbecile conservatives outright think that it's debt that causes slow growth. The overwhelming majority of economists knew the study was flawed even before the data was made available. Japan is the best case example of this phenomena. It wasn't debt that caused their lost decade and high debit, it was their slow growth that caused it.

Edit: also, they also aren't smart enough to separate out the fact that some of these countries don't have their own currency (i.e. the Euro) and that's a WHOLE separate issue.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,964
55,355
136
But not the debt, and not because any payback happened. It only is lessened if GDP grows. That's not paying back in the good times or cutting in the good times, that's simply the GDP growing. The Politicians haven't done dick there, and haven't paid back shit.

Completely unnecessary in order to decrease debt load in good times, which is of course the point.

I'll be happy to vote for whatever Spender you say as long as they aren't net unpalatable on other topics. As for leaving it up to others...

...if by others you mean liars, deceivers, etc. that want to blow on large "infrastructure" projects so they can buy votes with their pet constituencies, No Thanks. If we're going to blow Trillions that I and every other net taxpayer are on the hook for, I want my direct sugar from Uncle Sugar. I think 5 $5k tax free checks, each sent 6 months apart, would be a just fine and fair stimulus package. I highly doubt you'll find too many of those bearing the tax burden that would disagree with Everyone (that actually pays taxes) receiving money rather than just the folks Politicians need to buy.

I too am glad we were able to wrap this up. I love being on the Spender side, it's so liberating! :thumbsup:

Sorry, doesn't work that way. If you're going to be on my side then you have to do things my way. If not, you aren't on my side. So make your choice, either way is fine with me.
 

chucky2

Lifer
Dec 9, 1999
10,018
37
91
Completely unnecessary in order to decrease debt load in good times, which is of course the point.

The point is the Spender mantra is predicated on there being payback during the good times. If that payback never happens then it was just a con job, regardless of the end results. The general public doesn't like to be conned or told 1/4 of the story: See Iraq for an example.

Sorry, doesn't work that way. If you're going to be on my side then you have to do things my way. If not, you aren't on my side. So make your choice, either way is fine with me.

Bummer, an all or nothing guy. It's not enough I support blowing fantastical sums of money we don't have equally, I now have to also want it to go to pet Political areas? Sorry, I can't get onboard with that. I'm just a Spender now, I guess I haven't gone Progressive yet...

Chuck