the disaster thread got me thinking...

Page 2 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

PanzerIV

Diamond Member
Dec 19, 2002
6,875
1
0
I'm not sure how I would react if, for instance, it was known beyond a shadow of a doubt that a giant asteroid was going to obliterate civilization in a month. Society would break down once reality set in. The survival instinct would cause many to prepare for doomsday by any means necessary such as stockpiling food, weapons, gasoline, etc. even if it meant killing, stealing or threatening others. I think the degeneration of order coupled with eventual starvation as the Earth experienced the same phenomenon known as Nuclear Winter would be a worse fate than dying immediately.
 

Gibsons

Lifer
Aug 14, 2001
12,530
35
91
we can build self-contained enviroments. they couldn't.

given that we really don't have any right now, nor are we building any, that doesn't do much good (a nuclear submarine comes close, but they run out of food. Biosphere and similar requires solar power which you can't depend on).

Assuming we attempt to build some, what's your power source that's going to provide food and energy for say, a 10,000 year ice age that (in theory) could follow the teraton-level explosion of a large meteor impact?

And even flee the planet in a few more decades, should it be required.

Not likely, imo. Besides, once you've left Earth... where do you go?
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
52,691
46,423
136
Originally posted by: Gibsons
we can build self-contained enviroments. they couldn't.

given that we really don't have any right now, nor are we building any, that doesn't do much good (a nuclear submarine comes close, but they run out of food. Biosphere and similar requires solar power which you can't depend on).

Assuming we attempt to build some, what's your power source that's going to provide food and energy for say, a 10,000 year ice age that (in theory) could follow the teraton-level explosion of a large meteor impact?

And even flee the planet in a few more decades, should it be required.

Not likely, imo. Besides, once you've left Earth... where do you go?

Fusion.

Mars.
 

Hammer

Lifer
Oct 19, 2001
13,217
1
81
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Something someday will put an end to our meaningless lives... what will you do if something was known to happen soon ? What do you propose will happen first... asteroids obliterating us, quakes shaking us to our core, or water swallowing us whole ? It's not so far from sci-fi anymore... someday it will be our turn.

uh... no.
that's what the dinosaurs said.

i didn't realize dinosaurs achieved our level of civilization and technology.
and we would survive natural disasters as great as the mind can imagine because of technology ?

we can build self-contained enviroments. they couldn't.
ok, I'll play along... so answer the questions I posed. "Uh no..." doesn't mean anything to me.


"uh... no" means i disagree with your entire premise.
Natural disasters on a large scale will never happen ? Is this because of technology too ?

a large scale disaster wiping out humanity will not happen. yes, because of technology.
 

PanzerIV

Diamond Member
Dec 19, 2002
6,875
1
0
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Something someday will put an end to our meaningless lives... what will you do if something was known to happen soon ? What do you propose will happen first... asteroids obliterating us, quakes shaking us to our core, or water swallowing us whole ? It's not so far from sci-fi anymore... someday it will be our turn.

uh... no.
that's what the dinosaurs said.

i didn't realize dinosaurs achieved our level of civilization and technology.
and we would survive natural disasters as great as the mind can imagine because of technology ?

we can build self-contained enviroments. they couldn't.
ok, I'll play along... so answer the questions I posed. "Uh no..." doesn't mean anything to me.


"uh... no" means i disagree with your entire premise.
Natural disasters on a large scale will never happen ? Is this because of technology too ?

a large scale disaster wiping out humanity will not happen. yes, because of technology.

Seriously how do you figure that?? A relativley "whimpy" tsunami just killed about 20,000 and that is nothing compared to the scale of disasters rh71 is referring to. If that super volcano in Yellowstone blows how do your propose we stop it? If an asteroid is on a collision course with Earth in 20 years do you think we can destroy it given our modern pace of technology?
 

Hammer

Lifer
Oct 19, 2001
13,217
1
81
Originally posted by: Gibsons
we can build self-contained enviroments. they couldn't.

given that we really don't have any right now, nor are we building any, that doesn't do much good (a nuclear submarine comes close, but they run out of food. Biosphere and similar requires solar power which you can't depend on).

Assuming we attempt to build some, what's your power source that's going to provide food and energy for say, a 10,000 year ice age that (in theory) could follow the teraton-level explosion of a large meteor impact?

And even flee the planet in a few more decades, should it be required.

Not likely, imo. Besides, once you've left Earth... where do you go?

the amount of people saved would be realtively small, but the human race wouldn't be wiped out. the power source would depend a lot on the nature of the disaster.
 

Hammer

Lifer
Oct 19, 2001
13,217
1
81
Originally posted by: PanzerIV
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Something someday will put an end to our meaningless lives... what will you do if something was known to happen soon ? What do you propose will happen first... asteroids obliterating us, quakes shaking us to our core, or water swallowing us whole ? It's not so far from sci-fi anymore... someday it will be our turn.

uh... no.
that's what the dinosaurs said.

i didn't realize dinosaurs achieved our level of civilization and technology.
and we would survive natural disasters as great as the mind can imagine because of technology ?

we can build self-contained enviroments. they couldn't.
ok, I'll play along... so answer the questions I posed. "Uh no..." doesn't mean anything to me.


"uh... no" means i disagree with your entire premise.
Natural disasters on a large scale will never happen ? Is this because of technology too ?

a large scale disaster wiping out humanity will not happen. yes, because of technology.

Seriously how do you figure that?? A relativley "whimpy" tsunami just killed about 20,000 and that is nothing compared to the scale of disasters rh71 is referring to. If that super volcano in Yellowstone blows how do your propose we stop it? If an asteroid is on a collision course with Earth in 20 years do you think we can destroy it given our modern pace of technology?

because humans are like cockroaches. you can kill a lot, but killing all is damn near impossible. ;)
 

PanzerIV

Diamond Member
Dec 19, 2002
6,875
1
0
Originally posted by: Hammer
because humans are like cockroaches. you can kill a lot, but killing all is damn near impossible. ;)


You may have a valid point to a degree but I am not sure to what scale of a disaster small bands could eek out some sort of survival.
 

Hammer

Lifer
Oct 19, 2001
13,217
1
81
Originally posted by: PanzerIV
Originally posted by: Hammer
because humans are like cockroaches. you can kill a lot, but killing all is damn near impossible. ;)


You may have a valid point to a degree but I am not sure to what scale of a disaster small bands could eek out some sort of survival.

a big part will be how much advance warning is had of the disaster. if its an asteroid, we might have as much a decade to prepare.
 

her209

No Lifer
Oct 11, 2000
56,336
11
0
Aliens have abducted humans since the beginning of time. They will be used to seed the human race again if we ever get obliterated from the face of the Earth.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
52,691
46,423
136
Originally posted by: PanzerIV
Seriously how do you figure that?? A relativley "whimpy" tsunami just killed about 20,000 and that is nothing compared to the scale of disasters rh71 is referring to. If that super volcano in Yellowstone blows how do your propose we stop it? If an asteroid is on a collision course with Earth in 20 years do you think we can destroy it given our modern pace of technology?

A sudden (approach undetected) asteroid strike is about the only thing that might be able to do it, IMO.

Some number of people should be able to survive nearly everything else.
 

DougK62

Diamond Member
Mar 28, 2001
8,035
6
81
I'd probably do a lot of screwing, a lot of eating my favorite foods, and a lot of philisophical conversations with friends and family. Then I'd find a spot that'd give me the best view for the end.

 

her209

No Lifer
Oct 11, 2000
56,336
11
0
Originally posted by: K1052
A sudden (approach undetected) asteroid strike is about the only thing that might be able to do it, IMO.

Some number of people should be able to survive nearly everything else.
What about a supernova?
 

Eli

Super Moderator | Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
50,419
8
81
If something happens, I'll do the same thing everybody else will do.. do anything I can to survive.

But it would have to be something really, really big to actually destroy our society.... I don't think earthquakes and floods will do it.. It would have to be something crazy, like rapid climate change...

I'd almost be willing to bet that the United States goes to hell in a handbasket(at least in its current form) long before we are ever completely decimated by a natural disaster.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
52,691
46,423
136
Originally posted by: her209
Originally posted by: K1052
A sudden (approach undetected) asteroid strike is about the only thing that might be able to do it, IMO.

Some number of people should be able to survive nearly everything else.
What about a supernova?

IIRC, our star is not massive enough to supernova and it has fuel for a few billion more years.
 

Eli

Super Moderator | Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
50,419
8
81
Originally posted by: K1052
Originally posted by: her209
Originally posted by: K1052
A sudden (approach undetected) asteroid strike is about the only thing that might be able to do it, IMO.

Some number of people should be able to survive nearly everything else.
What about a supernova?

IIRC, our star is not massive enough to supernova and it has fuel for a few billion more years.
Yeah, she isn't due to burn out anytime soon...

It's so sad that our lifetimes are so short...

If it weren't for our atmosphere and weather, our planet would be just as pock-marked as the moon. That's a pretty scary thought...

We're in the middle of a huge minefield we call the universe.. and the mines move, but we have to stay realitivly still. :Q

Man, what a depressing thought. There could be an absolutely massive meteor out there, heading straight for us.. but still 500 years away. Yeah, that's a long time.. but it would still suck ass to know that humanity and everything on the planet only has 500 years to live.

If we are ever threatened with a meteor, I do hope we'll have plenty of time to prepare.. we should.
 

Eli

Super Moderator | Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
50,419
8
81
Originally posted by: Hammer

we can build self-contained enviroments. they couldn't.
We can?

We tried.. It didn't work out..

It is not nearly as easy as you think. The degree of complexity seen in the natural world, particularly in the microorganism area, is simply astounding.
 

rh71

No Lifer
Aug 28, 2001
52,844
1,049
126
Originally posted by: Eli
Originally posted by: K1052
Originally posted by: her209
Originally posted by: K1052
A sudden (approach undetected) asteroid strike is about the only thing that might be able to do it, IMO.

Some number of people should be able to survive nearly everything else.
What about a supernova?

IIRC, our star is not massive enough to supernova and it has fuel for a few billion more years.
Yeah, she isn't due to burn out anytime soon...

It's so sad that our lifetimes are so short...

If it weren't for our atmosphere and weather, our planet would be just as pock-marked as the moon. That's a pretty scary thought...

We're in the middle of a huge minefield we call the universe.. and the mines move, but we have to stay realitivly still. :Q

Man, what a depressing thought. There could be an absolutely massive meteor out there, heading straight for us.. but still 500 years away. Yeah, that's a long time.. but it would still suck ass to know that humanity and everything on the planet only has 500 years to live.

If we are ever threatened with a meteor, I do hope we'll have plenty of time to prepare.. we should.
Exactly why I started this thread.
 

LordMorpheus

Diamond Member
Aug 14, 2002
6,871
1
0
Originally posted by: Jnetty99
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Jnetty99
We can all die any day with thounsands of possibilities.

look at the guy last week that got killed driving on the cross island express way when we had that big rain last week here in long island RH71, a tree fell down and hit his car and killed him right away.
that's the obvious for any one of us - I'm talking about humanity ceasing as a whole.


ok sorry i jump to conclusion.

I still think of three possibilities.

an asteroid
We nuke ourself's
Aliens come and destroy us


Any aliens that have the inclination towards genocide would have wiped themselves out long before they acheived intergalactic space travel . . .
 

CarlKillerMiller

Diamond Member
Jul 14, 2003
3,099
0
0
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Something someday will put an end to our meaningless lives... what will you do if something was known to happen soon ? What do you propose will happen first... asteroids obliterating us, quakes shaking us to our core, or water swallowing us whole ? It's not so far from sci-fi anymore... someday it will be our turn.

uh... no.
that's what the dinosaurs said.

I thought what the dinosaurs said sounded something like this:

Raar. Raaaaaaar!
 

Gibsons

Lifer
Aug 14, 2001
12,530
35
91
K1052:


Doesn't exist.

There are no functional fusion power plants now or in the near future, much less any that we could expect to last for thousands of years, or carry to outer space or build on some other planet. And even if you do build one, it's not going to last forever; you'll have pipes that will need replacing at a minimum of every hundred years or so, with the expertise manufacture and implement them correctly. Then there's the containment problem (fusion produces lots of neutrons, that's a serious issue). Then having nothing go wrong with ~400 generations of humans.


Mars isn't very compatible with human life. You'll need very very very large rockets that don't exist and will take a very long time to design and build.

Hammer:

the amount of people saved would be realtively small,

there's a certain minimum size you'll need to maintain genetic diversity (inbreeding is bad). And you'll need enough to run the machines. And grow the food, raise the babies and educate them on how to maintain that power plant.

the power source would depend a lot on the nature of the disaster.

How about a meteor, some 100 miles in diameter? Or 1,000.
 

Hammer

Lifer
Oct 19, 2001
13,217
1
81
Originally posted by: Gibsons
K1052:


Doesn't exist.

There are no functional fusion power plants now or in the near future, much less any that we could expect to last for thousands of years, or carry to outer space or build on some other planet. And even if you do build one, it's not going to last forever; you'll have pipes that will need replacing at a minimum of every hundred years or so, with the expertise manufacture and implement them correctly. Then there's the containment problem (fusion produces lots of neutrons, that's a serious issue). Then having nothing go wrong with ~400 generations of humans.


Mars isn't very compatible with human life. You'll need very very very large rockets that don't exist and will take a very long time to design and build.

Hammer:

the amount of people saved would be realtively small,

there's a certain minimum size you'll need to maintain genetic diversity (inbreeding is bad). And you'll need enough to run the machines. And grow the food, raise the babies and educate them on how to maintain that power plant.

the power source would depend a lot on the nature of the disaster.

How about a meteor, some 100 miles in diameter? Or 1,000.

for genetic diversity, i remember reading somewhere you could use as little as 100 families and still maintain it.

for the power in your scenario, wind power maybe.
 

bunnyfubbles

Lifer
Sep 3, 2001
12,248
3
0
if we don't kill ourselves (and the fact that we have survived this long with superweapons is indication that we should survive a lot longer), then I think humans will cease to exist when we evolve (or even change ourselves) into a new species. Oh and if we don't find away to move out of our solar system in the next 5 billion years, the sun is going to die, unles we find someway to renew its life, which with 5 billion years to work with could easily be accomplished given what we've done in the last hundred...
 
Aug 23, 2000
15,509
1
81
Originally posted by: Chraticn
Originally posted by: rh71
Originally posted by: Hammer
Originally posted by: rh71
Something someday will put an end to our meaningless lives... what will you do if something was known to happen soon ? What do you propose will happen first... asteroids obliterating us, quakes shaking us to our core, or water swallowing us whole ? It's not so far from sci-fi anymore... someday it will be our turn.

uh... no.
that's what the dinosaurs said.

I thought what the dinosaurs said sounded something like this:

Raar. Raaaaaaar!


ROFLMAO

That's the best post in this thread.