Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: daveymark
rofl...according to Leibowitz, 16% decrease in re-enlistment = 16% increase in recruitment? lmfao
uh...there are more serving than there are enlisting...
example: say for the state of FLorida, there are 1,000 serving and eligible for re-enlistment. 16 percent of those would not re-enlist. so 160.
say that 100 are recruited. so 16 percent more means 16 new soldiers on top of the 100.
160 = 16?
more fuzzy math thanks to Leibowitz
shhh you will ruin their circle jerk.
Psst: Guys, you might actually want to read up on this before shoving your feet quite so far into your mouths. Daveymark you are exactly right that all 16%s aren't equal. Unfortunately you got it completely wrong on the specifics. According to the CBO's analysis this would result in an increase of about 30,000 new recruits annually while reducing retention by about 7,000. So, the very same people that everyone is referencing seem to think that it will provide the military with so many more recruits over what they will need to cover their losses, that if you read the PDF they talk about reducing enlistment bonuses, etc. to actually deter people.
This probably is because you don't understand how military recruiting and retention works. The majority of people who serve get out of the military after one enlistment. If you re-enlist once however, your prospect of staying in goes way way up.
I'll give you a hint at the argument you actually want to be making instead of playing numbers games (and playing them incorrectly I might add). The problem here is that you're trading more experienced soldiers for new recruits. A guy with 4 years in is way more useful then a booter. Of course the CBO has included an increase in re-enlistment bonuses in it's cost analysis to counteract this, but it's still a way better argument then just using horribly wrong math.