Originally posted by: FettsBabe
I understand your position, but I'm not holding stock certificates. This is the 401-k options which are bought and sold by agents of MI Trust.
While I am losing my net value on paper it is almost equal to what I contributed, so I see it as burning the money I set aside to buy.
Yes, I accumulate more shares, but the value is going down. Chances are I will shift my stock percentages again when I think the market has hit the bottom of the barrell because that is the best time to buy because it usually has no where to go but up (we could only pray!). Once I do that I'm still buying low and selling high. I also will have been accumulating a 5% return on 60% of the money I put in the fund, so instead of breaking even with my contributions during this time period I will actually have a 5% return (or close to it) to also buy stocks with when they are low.
It's the same principle, whether you are talking about stock certificates, mutual fund units, or pork bellies. You can't time the 'bottom of the barrel' (and only a fool or a liar will tell you that they can). Right now you say that you're getting a 5% return on bonds, which is better than nothing (or a negative return) on stocks/funds. However, buying stocks/funds now gives you a better opportunity for a greater return when the market moves back up. If you look at the cyclical nature of the economy, investors that keep their money 'in play' constantly make more than those who try to 'time the markets'.
And
RH71, I'd say that stock brokers, while making a few duckies off of advice, make far more money off of commissions. It's like being a bookie. They don't care if you win or lose, as long as they get a percentage of what you're spending.