Here is a possible result of the current trials that anti-discrimination advocates are hoping will get the court to issue a Brown v. Board of education-like equality decree:
Prop 8: Because the State of California has declined to defend the proposition, the court may find the plaintiffs lack standing to bring the case and dismiss it.
This would be a victory for anti-discrimination in that it would leave the ruling in place striking down the proposition, but it would not rule on discrimination.
Ironically, the CA Attorney General Election had the Democrat running on the position she won't defend it; her opponent said they would. That was intended to be the anti-discrimination position - but it may cause the issue not to get the ruling on the merits desired because she did not defend the proposition.
DOMA: DOMA is very likely going to be struck down. But it's possible only a minority of justices want to make that ruling on the basis of discrimination; swinger Kennedy is asking questions suggesting he supports the position that it should be struck down simply on states' rights grounds that the federal government is exceeding its constitutional powers by encroaching on the definition of marriage (that would also presumably prevent the federal government from passing an anti-discrimination law should it want to).
These positions are not for sure, but they are a decent chance of what will happen, where the court will not take a position on the highly-anticipated issue of equality.
It would leave states free to have discrimination in the law until another state has a challenge to such a law - which would reference the Prop 8 case - and wins their case.
Prop 8: Because the State of California has declined to defend the proposition, the court may find the plaintiffs lack standing to bring the case and dismiss it.
This would be a victory for anti-discrimination in that it would leave the ruling in place striking down the proposition, but it would not rule on discrimination.
Ironically, the CA Attorney General Election had the Democrat running on the position she won't defend it; her opponent said they would. That was intended to be the anti-discrimination position - but it may cause the issue not to get the ruling on the merits desired because she did not defend the proposition.
DOMA: DOMA is very likely going to be struck down. But it's possible only a minority of justices want to make that ruling on the basis of discrimination; swinger Kennedy is asking questions suggesting he supports the position that it should be struck down simply on states' rights grounds that the federal government is exceeding its constitutional powers by encroaching on the definition of marriage (that would also presumably prevent the federal government from passing an anti-discrimination law should it want to).
These positions are not for sure, but they are a decent chance of what will happen, where the court will not take a position on the highly-anticipated issue of equality.
It would leave states free to have discrimination in the law until another state has a challenge to such a law - which would reference the Prop 8 case - and wins their case.