So after reading you two's back and forth the argument boils down to this. You're saying that the issue is undetectable or negligible and therefore there needs to be no monitoring.
Humble Pie is advocating for some sort additional checks and balances in place to make sure IDs are checked. This has nothing to do with security, nor do you need to be a security expert. As someone who works in an FDA regulated industry, we're trained to understand quality systems, and to me it looks like this:
No, I'm saying that the issue IS detectable AND is negligible. We already do monitoring, but the severity of the issue in no way justifies the significant additional expense of ID systems nor does it justify the burden put on people who might not have it.
The response is simply irrational.
You have a system in place where things could potentially go wrong (fraudulent votes). The severity is high (5 on a scale of 1-5) with a low occurrence (1). Just because you have a low chance of occurrence doesn't mean you do nothing about it. But the criticality of the issue still exists.
This is a fundamental misunderstanding of the severity. The severity is low: you're talking about single additional votes in elections that frequently involve thousands, millions or hundreds of millions. The odds of those additional votes changing the election is vanishingly small.
So you're talking about a 1,1 threat here. That definitely changes your calculus, doesn't it?
When you talk about quality systems, there needs to be a system in place to prevent the occurrence of said failures. So that primarily means a system of detection. What that means could be voting in person only, voter IDs, blah blah blah. Voter ID is only one of the many possible systems to detect voter fraud.
But the point is you're not even advocating for ANY system at all. Your argument all along has been the problem is negligible, therefore we do nothing about it. Go look at any manufacturing operation out there. Just because the yields are high doesn't mean you don't put in inspection processes.
Nowhere have I said we do nothing at all, I've just said that the cost/benefit for voter ID is horrendous and it is therefore illogical. If you look at any well run manufacturing operation you'll see that they only do inspections insofar as it makes economic sense to do them. You don't spend a ton of money to weed out a defect that happens 0.00000034% of the time and causes only a tiny problem.
That's a good way to go out of business.
Humble Pie may be a security oriented guy, but the same thing applies there. Just because there's no crime hasn't occurred in the past, doesn't mean you don't have a detection system in place. We currently not only have a prevention system, but no detection system for voting fraud. By the time its detected by double voting, etc. it's already too late, that's already a sign that the fraud is everywhere.
That doesn't make sense. It's most certainly not too late as election results have been nullified in the past. Additionally, you're basically arguing that even though we have no evidence of it in a billion ballots cast that we should undertake significant expense and make it so tens of thousands of LEGITIMATE voters have difficulty voting so that we can 'close' this hole.
Back to manufacturing, if you do something that fixes one problem but creates literally tens of thousands of additional ones, that's an illogical fix.
Given that, I hope you can clearly see what a terrible idea voter ID laws are.
People in this thread bring up great points regarding absentee ballots being a potential source of fraud, and I agree. We need to look at all the possible weak points in this system. But once again that doesn't mean we don't setup a system to prevent fraud through detection and prevention.
Why don't we start with the one that literally everyone agrees is a larger problem? I'll tell you why: Republicans vote absentee more often than Democrats do. This is a naked attempt to hijack the electoral system and everyone should be against that.