Stock Question

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DaWhim

Lifer
Feb 3, 2003
12,985
1
81
I beliveve it depends how the M&A is set up, if it is all cash or stock swap. Oracle is saying $9.5 per share cash for JAVA, so I am guessing you will get cash back.
 

UglyCasanova

Lifer
Mar 25, 2001
19,275
1,361
126
Originally posted by: Cattlegod
i wouldn't bother, you missed the move already.

Efficient market theory. All information is currently reflected. Any gain to shares of Sun would already be reflected in the price. I'm not saying that it would be a bad move or not. That would depend on whether you believe that the market price accurately reflects the intrinsic value of Sun, or whether it is over or under priced based all things considered, including the news of the buyout. You can do this by discounting all future predicted dividend payments and compare. Or do a P/E ratio analysis. Yada Yada Yada. :p

That said, it's up to you to decide whether it's a good bet or not. The price may double tomorrow or the company may go bankrupt. You have to decide based upon the fundamentals of Sun, because the gains on the buyout ship should theoretically have already sailed.
 

Hacp

Lifer
Jun 8, 2005
13,923
2
81
Originally posted by: UglyCasanova
Originally posted by: Cattlegod
i wouldn't bother, you missed the move already.

Efficient market theory. All information is currently reflected. Any gain to shares of Sun would already be reflected in the price. I'm not saying that it would be a bad move or not. That would depend on whether you believe that the market price accurately reflects the intrinsic value of Sun, or whether it is over or under priced based all things considered, including the news of the buyout. You can do this by discounting all future predicted dividend payments and compare. Or do a P/E ratio analysis. Yada Yada Yada. :p

That said, it's up to you to decide whether it's a good bet or not. The price may double tomorrow or the company may go bankrupt. You have to decide based upon the fundamentals of Sun, because the gains on the buyout ship should theoretically have already sailed.

An economist and his student are walking to class when they spot a perfectly good 20 dollar bill. The student gets excited and bends down to pick up the money. However, his professor abruptly stops him, "No, no don't waste your time."

"Why so?" asks the student? The professor responds,"Well, if the 20 dollar bill were real, someone else would have picked it up by now!"
 

her209

No Lifer
Oct 11, 2000
56,336
11
0
Originally posted by: Hacp
Originally posted by: UglyCasanova
Originally posted by: Cattlegod
i wouldn't bother, you missed the move already.
Efficient market theory. All information is currently reflected. Any gain to shares of Sun would already be reflected in the price. I'm not saying that it would be a bad move or not. That would depend on whether you believe that the market price accurately reflects the intrinsic value of Sun, or whether it is over or under priced based all things considered, including the news of the buyout. You can do this by discounting all future predicted dividend payments and compare. Or do a P/E ratio analysis. Yada Yada Yada. :p

That said, it's up to you to decide whether it's a good bet or not. The price may double tomorrow or the company may go bankrupt. You have to decide based upon the fundamentals of Sun, because the gains on the buyout ship should theoretically have already sailed.
An economist and his student are walking to class when they spot a perfectly good 20 dollar bill. The student gets excited and bends down to pick up the money. However, his professor abruptly stops him, "No, no don't waste your time."

"Why so?" asks the student? The professor responds,"Well, if the 20 dollar bill were real, someone else would have picked it up by now!"
I chuckled.
 

UglyCasanova

Lifer
Mar 25, 2001
19,275
1,361
126
Originally posted by: Hacp
Originally posted by: UglyCasanova
Originally posted by: Cattlegod
i wouldn't bother, you missed the move already.

Efficient market theory. All information is currently reflected. Any gain to shares of Sun would already be reflected in the price. I'm not saying that it would be a bad move or not. That would depend on whether you believe that the market price accurately reflects the intrinsic value of Sun, or whether it is over or under priced based all things considered, including the news of the buyout. You can do this by discounting all future predicted dividend payments and compare. Or do a P/E ratio analysis. Yada Yada Yada. :p

That said, it's up to you to decide whether it's a good bet or not. The price may double tomorrow or the company may go bankrupt. You have to decide based upon the fundamentals of Sun, because the gains on the buyout ship should theoretically have already sailed.

An economist and his student are walking to class when they spot a perfectly good 20 dollar bill. The student gets excited and bends down to pick up the money. However, his professor abruptly stops him, "No, no don't waste your time."

"Why so?" asks the student? The professor responds,"Well, if the 20 dollar bill were real, someone else would have picked it up by now!"

Lol. :p
 

Billb2

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2005
3,035
70
86
Originally posted by: Hacp

An economist and his student are walking to class when they spot a perfectly good 20 dollar bill. The student gets excited and bends down to pick up the money. However, his professor abruptly stops him, "No, no don't waste your time."

"Why so?" asks the student? The professor responds,"Well, if the 20 dollar bill were real, someone else would have picked it up by now!"

..so, afer class the ecconomist goes back and gets the twenty!

'nuf said about listening to the "experts".

 

richardycc

Diamond Member
Apr 29, 2001
5,719
1
81
its all opportunity cost now, you will make about 35bucks/100shares before commissions, you might have to pay 2 commissions, one for buy and one for closing out the position(some broker might charge more to convert your stock to cash/buyer's stocks), if you pay $10 commission each, you will make about $15/100 shares or $935 or ~1.5% gain on a relatively low risk bet. This is all assuming the deal will go thru at $9.5. Is it worth it to you, or you can make more money invest your money on something else. only you can answer that question.

 
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