Specs for a PC in the year 2020

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MetalMat

Diamond Member
Jun 14, 2004
9,687
36
91
I predict that by 2020 computers will be twice as powerful, 10,000 times larger and so expensive that only the 5 richest kings of Europe will own them.
 

amdhunter

Lifer
May 19, 2003
23,332
249
106
Desktops won't exist.

Yep. Everyone will be on their iPad 10 running iOS X.

Here's an actual screenshot of iOS X from the future:
IOS_6_Home_Screen.png
 

phucheneh

Diamond Member
Jun 30, 2012
7,306
5
0
What's with people thinking about these high Ghz numbers?

Top of the line processor nine years ago: 3.4Ghz.

Top of the line processor today: 3.5Ghz.

Yep. Everyone will be on their iPad 10 running iOS X.

Here's an actual screenshot of iOS X from the future:
IOS_6_Home_Screen.png

You must've resized that. I have also been to the future, and while the screen looks exactly like that (to scale), it is in 3240p resolution.
 

schneiderguy

Lifer
Jun 26, 2006
10,801
91
91
I would bet your 'average' PC across all segments of the US is still a single core Windows XP box. And that's, what, ten year old tech?

The non-techy people I know basically treat their computers as disposable. As soon as it "gets slow" or has a virus they throw it out and get a new one. So most of them have pretty up to date hardware (which is complete overkill for Facebook and email, but whatever).
 

Arkaign

Lifer
Oct 27, 2006
20,736
1,379
126
I'm actually seeing a decrease in computing power. Low power cheap garbage like amd e series is worse than a five year old dell c2d. Pcs are fading.
 

Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
70,719
13,851
126
www.anyf.ca
The non-techy people I know basically treat their computers as disposable. As soon as it "gets slow" or has a virus they throw it out and get a new one. So most of them have pretty up to date hardware (which is complete overkill for Facebook and email, but whatever).

It's actually really sad that it's turning out that way, but this is what I've been seeing too.

That's only going to encourage manufacturers to stop bothering with making consumer obtainable parts like motherboards and ram, and instead making non modular throw away computers.

More ewaste and less freedom.
 

Staples

Diamond Member
Oct 28, 2001
4,953
119
106
It wouldn't surprise me if we are still at 3GHz. But they will certainly have more cores to compensate for hitting that wall years ago.

At the rate software is going, my computer (high end) will be just fine for Windows 11 if they still have numbers.
 

LumbergTech

Diamond Member
Sep 15, 2005
3,622
1
0
That's probably overestimating the RAM/storage and underestimating the CPU. We might see 64 core consumer level CPUs by then.

I think its over-estimating for the average, but I wouldn't doubt that there will be a significant number of people with those numbers
 

Red Squirrel

No Lifer
May 24, 2003
70,719
13,851
126
www.anyf.ca
Yeah as long as MS stops making it more bloated every new release. They seem to have gotten better though. I have not ran them long enough to see for myself but based on what I've read I think 8 > 7 > Vista as far as speed/efficiency goes. But I could be wrong.
 

88keys

Golden Member
Aug 24, 2012
1,854
12
81
I'm beginning to have doubts that the PC will be in widespread use in 2020 and thus it won't be as profitable to develop new technology for it as it has been in the past and therefore I suspect we will reach in impasse in regards to progress in consumer grade computing.
 

OBLAMA2009

Diamond Member
Apr 17, 2008
6,574
3
0
i predict pc's will have backpack straps in their screens to make desktops portable
 

zanejohnson

Diamond Member
Nov 29, 2002
7,054
17
81
i saw something called "the scroll" it's basically a super flat display, with a small back, containing all hardware...

you scroll it out, and "pop it' to make it pop into a hard flat surface... something like this.. wil be handheld.
 

gorobei

Diamond Member
Jan 7, 2007
4,032
1,530
136
mini servers will be bought for a house or apartment the size of a mini tower and be treated like an appliance(fridge/waterheater/washer-dryer). you will only buy 1. they will have 1000s of heterogenous cores (probably equivalent to 20-36 cpu cores now) capable of integer and floating point and some low power background cores.(you buy a sku with more cores and storage if you need more power). it will be a file server and file streamer.

it will run your household: managing lights, hvac, fridge and pantry inventory, room audio, main tv-display, media server, and internet distribution. it will route data-movie-graphics to whatever tablet/phone/clamshell/vr-goggle/projector you are holding. all your settings and preferences will be on a keychain dongle/ring/pendant/watch that will carry a static memory chip with rfid or near field that will be your unique identifier. wherever you go will be your UI.

when you need horsepower for rendering/number-crunching it will power up more cores and send the display info to whatever terminal you are using. when you need to work you will sit down at a large display with mouse/keyboard/gesture sensor/eye tracker/powerglove and it will wi-di your application to the workstation area.

when you game it will power up the FP cores and route the frame buffer to your oculus rift goggles. when you visit a friend's house, the key dongle will connect to his server and link you your house server to play your new game on his giant tv.

when you arent sure of internet accessibility, your key/dongle will include larger storage for your apps and data. it will wirelessly connect to any dumb terminal wherever you go.

really lazy people will outsource these functions to some cloud provider. the more tech savvy and paranoid will stream from home.
 

Acanthus

Lifer
Aug 28, 2001
19,915
2
76
ostif.org
One machine with many cores will control most of the devices in your house. Wirelessly. Including video and audio feeds.

High end processing will have moved to the cloud for things like games. Latency is low enough and bandwidth high enough to stream everything including live interactive content for the low to mid range.

Because of the single core performance wall, each individual core will not significantly outperform a core of today (probably 50% or so more performance per core over haswell), however, the platform will support many devices by having 16 or 32 cores and the ability to virtualize many terminals into HTPCs, game consoles, internet devices, etc.

Graphics cards and I/O will likely see the largest gains. A 5nm graphics card would be able to cram a lot more parallel processing into a single GPU. This is great because those cards will be able to be virtualized as well and support feeding high quality gaming to multiple TVs in the household.

DDR4 will be an aging standard at this point, and be operating on typical densities of 16-64GB per module.

Flash memory will have come down in price even further, and densities and performance will have increased, driving hard drives out of the market entirely for home use.

4K displays will be standard. OLED / SED / and competing graphics technologies will have risen.