Social Security is nothing more than a Government mandated pyramid scheme.

sao123

Lifer
May 27, 2002
12,653
205
106
Social Security has been a pyramid scheme from the beginning. Those who paid in first received money from those who paid in second ? and so on, generation after generation. The US's population cannot grow forever, the economy could not support it, and Eventually we will run out of people to pyramid and the whole thing will collapse.
 

Stunt

Diamond Member
Jul 17, 2002
9,717
2
0
What are your credentials?
I want to know what sort of expert opinion we are getting here.
You really seem to have an excellent grasp of social security...i mean you summed it up in 3 whole sentances...i'm impressed :confused:
 

DaveSimmons

Elite Member
Aug 12, 2001
40,730
670
126
No.

Some would call it a Ponzi scheme, but that isn't really accurate either.

You're also ignoring the fact that people don't stay on the SS rolls for an infinite amount of time, since they do die eventually.

Even making no changes, after 2041 SS will still be able to pay 71% of promised benefits. This is a temporary shortfall because of a spike in population from the baby boomers. Over time with no changes, the fund would have periods of surplus and shortfall but would never collapse the way a pyramid scheme must.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: sao123
Social Security has been a pyramid scheme from the beginning. Those who paid in first received money from those who paid in second ? and so on, generation after generation. The US's population cannot grow forever, the economy could not support it, and Eventually we will run out of people to pyramid and the whole thing will collapse.

Yep, we should just exile out of the Country those that turn 65 immediately.


 

HeaterCore

Senior member
Dec 22, 2004
442
0
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More properly, you agree with him, since I'm willing to bet he's thought about it more than you.

Incidentally, why do you consider it a valid debating technique to pointlessly link to a conservative website and say, "Look! He agrees with me!" How is that any different than a supporter of Social Security linking to MoveOn.org?

-HC-

 

DaveSimmons

Elite Member
Aug 12, 2001
40,730
670
126
Actually, from reading the opinion piece this Thomas Sowell doesn't understand the difference between a pyramid and Ponzi scheme either.

His argument boils down to SS being a bad idea and that people should be left to save for retirement entirely on their own, with no government involvement. Not partial privatization, just removing SS completely.

He offers no suggestion for how to make the transition though.
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
Even making no changes, after 2041 SS will still be able to pay 71% of promised benefits. This is a temporary shortfall because of a spike in population from the baby boomers. Over time with no changes, the fund would have periods of surplus and shortfall but would never collapse the way a pyramid scheme must.

Not really, according the trustee report it wont ever have a surplus after 2018.

And yes we know it is a ponzi scheme or pyramid scheme. But try telling the AARP sheeple this.

 

sandmanwake

Golden Member
Feb 29, 2000
1,494
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How is social security not a ponzi scheme? Money from new investors are used to pay off earlier investors. The first person who received money from social security paid less than $25 into the system and got back over $22k.

I guess if you look at it from the point of view that social security tax is just that--a tax, then it's not a ponzi scheme. However, most people think that they're entitled to social security money once they retire as they think it's a retirement plan they've paid into. However, the Supreme Court has ruled in Flemming vs. Nestor that no one entitled to any benefits from social security.

Personally, I'd rather see social security phased out slowly.

 

1EZduzit

Lifer
Feb 4, 2002
11,833
1
0
Originally posted by: sao123
Social Security has been a pyramid scheme from the beginning. Those who paid in first received money from those who paid in second ? and so on, generation after generation. The US's population cannot grow forever, the economy could not support it, and Eventually we will run out of people to pyramid and the whole thing will collapse.

I'm sorry you fell that way, maybe someday you will grow up and get over it.
 

Kibbo

Platinum Member
Jul 13, 2004
2,847
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If you try to call SS a ponzi scheme, how can you call any other government program, including the military, anything other than a ponzi scheme?

 

smc13

Senior member
Jan 5, 2005
606
0
0
Originally posted by: sao123
Or let them die, if they dont have their own retirement support.
I dont want my childrens salaries paying yours or anyone else's retirement.

Perhaps you should read up on the views of Thomas Sowell about Social Security, since he agrees with me.


I agree with Thomas Sowell on many issue, but his opinion piece is really poor.

"With insurance, it does not matter how many old people and how many young people are involved, because the company is supposed to have enough assets to cover its liabilities -- that is, what it has promised to pay out. Social Security has never had enough assets to cover its liabilities. "

This is misleading. It certainly does matter how many people are involved in insurance, and in health insurance it certainly does matter how many young and old people there are. Older people have much more health costs then young people. Since we have more and more elderly, health costs are going up and the cost of insurance is following suit. Also, Social Security has always had enough assets to cover its liabilities. We have never had a social security deficit. Its assets have been used to pay down the budget deficits every year. Social Security won't reach break even for a few more decades and it might never.

Keeping social security solvent isn't difficult. All we need to do is increase immigration.
 

sandmanwake

Golden Member
Feb 29, 2000
1,494
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0
Originally posted by: 1EZduzit
Originally posted by: sao123
Social Security has been a pyramid scheme from the beginning. Those who paid in first received money from those who paid in second ? and so on, generation after generation. The US's population cannot grow forever, the economy could not support it, and Eventually we will run out of people to pyramid and the whole thing will collapse.

I'm sorry you fell that way, maybe someday you will grow up and get over it.


Get over what? Why shouldn't people get upset that they're paying into a retirement system from which they will probably never get any benfit? Sure like I said earlier, they're not entitled to any of the benefits, but if politicians keep spouting nonsense which makes it sound like they are, expect people to be upset. Lets call it what it is--it's a welfare tax. Sure how much you get out of it theoretically depends on what you put into it in the first place, but you're not guarenteed to any of it. Ultimately, you're still being paid using tax money the current working people are paying. If retirees are paid with tax money they put in, I wouldn't have a problem with it, but they're not. The problem goes back paying the first couple waves of retirees an obscene amount of return for what they put in, but the only way that it could have been done is by borrowing against future generations. Lets see paid $25, got back $66k--that's a return of 264000%. Is it any wonder the system will break eventually?

If you try to call SS a ponzi scheme, how can you call any other government program, including the military, anything other than a ponzi scheme?

With other government programs like the military, you're theoretically getting benefits your current tax money is paying for. You need a highway, the tax money you paid is paying for that highway. You need a military to defend the nation, your tax money is paying for that military. Not quite true with how we're running a deficit of course. Personally I don't think that any business or the government should borrow more than it has to or stay in debt longer than it has to, but social security to me seems like a system that's based on perpetual borrowing. "You pay into it now and we promise that we'll pay you back once you retire."

I've heard the argument that debt for the government is good for the economy, but I don't buy it. For me it makes sense with a business analogy. When a business is first starting out, it might be good to have debt or run a negative for a while if you have no choice and it'll ultimately help you grow to the point where you have a profit. However, if you stay in debt constantly and never make a profit, you'll go out of business eventually. Imagine all the things a business that is profitable can do in terms of investment and building infrastructure once it is profitable and don't have to borrow money to grow. I don't see the government being so different where the way of thinking doesn't apply. Imagine if the government doesn't need to borrow money to run all its program. People wouldn't have government bonds to invest in and that part of the economy would cease to exist, but there are other investments out there.

Instead of using money that is collected by the current generation to take care of a problem for the current generation, we're borrowing money to pay for our benefits. We're forcing a debt onto later generations for something that they had no say in and probably won't get any benefit from or if they do, it'll be less than what they paid in. It's not like with a highway where it's not as bad to borrow from future generations to pay for it as future generations will also likely use that same highway. Or the military where paying for the troops theoretically creates an environment that's safe so that future generation can prosper. Instead, we're borrowing from future generations with no guarentee they'll get anything out of it in return. Of course, the same was done to us by the previous generation, but at some point we've got to stop the cycle. I think the only viable solution in the long run is to phase out social security so that no one generation gets hit the hardest when it fails.

I was going to write something else, but I've forgotten what--and I haven't even reached social security retirement age yet. Not a good sign at all. Oh well, it's late and hopefully what I wrote makes some sense.

 

sandmanwake

Golden Member
Feb 29, 2000
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Keeping social security solvent isn't difficult. All we need to do is increase immigration.

And a ponzi scheme is a perfectly viable investment plan. All we need to do is keep increasing the amount of people who participate in it.
 

Riprorin

Banned
Apr 25, 2000
9,634
0
0
Originally posted by: sao123
Social Security has been a pyramid scheme from the beginning. Those who paid in first received money from those who paid in second ? and so on, generation after generation. The US's population cannot grow forever, the economy could not support it, and Eventually we will run out of people to pyramid and the whole thing will collapse.

Of course it is.

It's a Ponzi scheme.

You know what happened to Ponzi, right? He was thrown in jail.
 

DaveSimmons

Elite Member
Aug 12, 2001
40,730
670
126
Originally posted by: sandmanwake
Keeping social security solvent isn't difficult. All we need to do is increase immigration.
And a ponzi scheme is a perfectly viable investment plan. All we need to do is keep increasing the amount of people who participate in it.
Or have enough of the original investors die off and stop collecting a return on their investment.

Also, most people now are in a reverse ponzi scheme with regard to other government programs. With SS you pay now to support your elders, but you drive on roads, attend schools, are protected by military hardware paid for by those elders.

For big construction projects like dams and interstate highways, contributions from two or more generations were needed to fund them, your taxes only pay for upkeep and to pay a partial share of future construction.

Just pointing out that "my money just to benefit me" isn't always enlightened self-interest.

(And I'm not really a big fan of SS either, I just don't want us going trillions in debt to "fix" it.)
 

smc13

Senior member
Jan 5, 2005
606
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0
Originally posted by: sandmanwake
Keeping social security solvent isn't difficult. All we need to do is increase immigration.

And a ponzi scheme is a perfectly viable investment plan. All we need to do is keep increasing the amount of people who participate in it.

I agree with your point. On the other hand, some of the other things you have been saying just don't have any evidence. You are suggesting that you won't ever receive a benefit for social security. recent predictions say social security will break even till 2048. I'll be 80 in 2048 so I expect to get a benefit. Of course, predicting 43 years into the future is dificult. There can be all kinds of variance. If your generation has more kids then SS will be solvent longer. If you have less then it won't. You can't really talk as if you are certain you won't get a benefit.

You are making a mistake when you compare a government to a business. If Government makes a profit (runs a surplus), it is bad for the economy because Government is getting its revenue from your tax dollars and it doesn't do anything with the money. When a business makes a profit it invests the money so it stays in the economy. The Fed can't invest its surplus. Government profit takes money out of the economy which is harmful. Government surplus is bad.

 

daclayman

Golden Member
Sep 27, 2000
1,207
0
76
Originally posted by: mithrandir2001
Ditch the AMT and remove the income cap on SS taxes.

Winnar! AMT is a disease and the cap at 90K is a load of crap. The OP says SS is wrongish; blah, I like a spoonful of socialism in my cupful of capitalism.
 

Martin

Lifer
Jan 15, 2000
29,178
1
81
I always look forward to comming home, logging into AT and opening up P&N. Its full of refreshing, original, well thought-out and eloquent ideas that give me a new perspective on old matters and challenge my views of the world. As if that is not enough, the ensuing corteous and civil discussion goes even further in enlightening me and exposing me to new intellectual dimensions.

I don't know what I'do without P&N!!
 

Velk

Senior member
Jul 29, 2004
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Originally posted by: smc13
Originally posted by: sandmanwake
Keeping social security solvent isn't difficult. All we need to do is increase immigration.

And a ponzi scheme is a perfectly viable investment plan. All we need to do is keep increasing the amount of people who participate in it.

I agree with your point. On the other hand, some of the other things you have been saying just don't have any evidence. You are suggesting that you won't ever receive a benefit for social security. recent predictions say social security will break even till 2048. I'll be 80 in 2048 so I expect to get a benefit.

Well, if the trough will be full at least long enough for you to get some, then it's all good eh ? ;p Of course, some of the posters here will be 60 or less in 2048, perhaps the OP is one of them. Another point to consider - what do you do if you live til 2068 ?

Of course, predicting 43 years into the future is dificult. There can be all kinds of variance. If your generation has more kids then SS will be solvent longer. If you have less then it won't. You can't really talk as if you are certain you won't get a benefit.

What is a certainty is that it is not sustainable. Your benefit, your children's benefit, your grandchildren's benefit ? That much can remain in doubt - the eventual result is not in doubt at all, particularly with the ever increasing average lifespan.

In my opinion, it's better to do something about the problems *before* the system collapses, for a large number of reasons. Changes of that scale take time to implement, and the sooner you start, the better.
 

HeaterCore

Senior member
Dec 22, 2004
442
0
0
Originally posted by: sandmanwake
Keeping social security solvent isn't difficult. All we need to do is increase immigration.

And a ponzi scheme is a perfectly viable investment plan. All we need to do is keep increasing the amount of people who participate in it.

So that explains the opposition to Roe v. Wade!

-HC-