Originally posted by: glen
Substantive Consequences of the U.S. Minimum Wage
Thus it should be no surprise that with the minimum wage so low it is hard to find evidence of destructive effects. Economists David Card and Alan Krueger have recently carried out seven studies of various changes in the minimum wage, focusing on teenagers, restaurant employees in general, and fast-food employees in particular. In all seven cases increases in the minimum wage have led to positive and statistically significant increases in the earnings of workers. In none of the seven cases have increases in the minimum wage led to estimated decreases in employment.
The Card/Krueger study is actually one of the most important disproved studies available. It's important because they are the only notible economists who did not believe that minimum wage affected employment. It's also important because they were working for the Clinton administration.
When researchers tried to duplicate Card & Krueger's findings, they could not. As it turns out, those working for Card & Krueger simply picked up the telephone and asked employers whether they intended to increase, decrease, or keep employment flat after the minimum wage hike. That's it.
Researchers seeking to duplicate the Card/Krueger studies went a step further and actually bothered requesting payroll cards in order to verify employment. The non-effect of hiking minimum wage on employment COMPLETELY DISAPPEARED. In fact, both Pensylvania and New Jersey both suffered a decrease in employment following their minimum wage hike.
Nobel Laureat economist Gary Becker, after reviewing the Card/Krueger study and others concluded "the Card-Krueger studies are flawed and cannot justify going against the accumulated evidence from many past and present studies that find sizable negative effects of higher minimums on employment."*
*Bruce Bartlett, "The Minimum Wage Trap," Wall Street Journal, 4/16/1996.