So I'll just go and say "buy s&p" and when I'm wrong I'm right and when I'm right I'm right. Sweet deal for Schiff.
Is the S&P more valuable than gold lately?
In the last 10 years gold outperformed stocks.
People just need to adapt to market and economic conditions.
Nope, sure aren't, just represent assets denominated in dollars. Just as most people who "own" gold don't actually have gold bullion in their possession.
And gold is also an asset denominated in dollars.
Both stocks and gold are rising, not because some speculative bubble (it is hard to be a bubble when you find so many people saying gold is a bubble so don't buy it, which generate fear. Look at the dotcom and house bubble - almost no one was saying it was a bubble until it burst) but because of the debasement of USD currency caused by monetary easing (or until 20 years ago what was called inflation).
I was illustrating to you that people make all sorts of claims at all sorts of times (in all sorts of bubbles). In that video I posted he claimed that gold would be at 2000 in 2009. Was he even remotely close?
And did gold went down since then? Did he buy gold at $1900 or something?
I would've been better off in all s&p than I would've been in gold.
Unless Schiff, around 2001, had told me to purchase platinum instead. Hell, he could've told me to buy it in 2008 after it crashed and he was making these bold proclamations. It would've provided me a 100% return (GOOG or AAPL would've been even wiser).
If I'm not mistaken Schiff advocates more commodities and not just gold.
But I understand the focus on gold. Platinum, silver, palladium are all commodities that have their value linked to industrial applications (gold also has but to much less extent) which mean they are potentially more volatile.
Not especially. Can you use the dividends you were paid from gold to calculate its cost basis for me instead of just relying on spot price?
It is a fact that stocks pay dividends - actually that is the real value of stocks and not its sell price.
But again narrow S&P to the last 10 years vs gold. Even with dividends.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=^GSPC&a=00&b=3&c=2000&d=09&e=9&f=2010&g=m&z=66&y=66
Jan 2000 - close 1,394.46 adjust for dividends and splits 1,394.46
Oct 2010 - close 1,165.15 adjusted for dividends and splits 1,165.15.
http://www.simplestockinvesting.com/SP500-historical-real-total-returns.htm
2000's Price Change -2.7% Total Return -1.0% Inflation 2.5% Real Price Change -5.1% Real Total Return -3.4%
Guess it went down in the last 10 years.
Remember me again, though, why did we change from the discussing if inflation is/will rise and gold is or isn't a bubble to discuss Schiff?
Because I though you were saying gold is a bubble.
In my view all seems to indicate gold is still undervalued (from an historical point of view as currency) and with monetary easing all around the world and expectations for even more monetary easing gold price will go up.
The only way I see for gold go down is if the monetary easing stops and interest rates go up. I just don't see how will that happen though.