David Frum - "If conservatives become convinced that they can not win democratically, they will not abandon conservatism. They will reject democracy.”
Look, I know every side throws a fit when they lose an election...but this notion of widespread and sweeping fraud against Trump is now deeply engrained in each and every one of his voters. In other words, half the country is not going to accept the election results. And I don't mean like in 2016 when you had the trendy #notmypresident or whatever, but a more visceral, deep-rooted feeling of having been cheated. Of course Trump planted these seeds several weeks ago with his rhetoric, and here we are. Even many Republican lawmakers are still hesitant to come out and acknowledge the election results.
Initially I was concerned that the barrage of lawsuits from the Trump campaign may find some traction if it got in front of a friendly, partisan judge...but it is clear they have no convincing evidence and are 0-10 in the courts so far. A rational person may say...ok, let them have their say in court, and when it is inevitably shot down, his supporters will (begrudgingly) see the results as valid and move on. Nope. They will likely double down on more conspiracy theories, deep state, etc.
Now you may say it doesn't matter if they don't accept the results, the rule of law and the machine of government marches on. That may be true, but having half your country believe an election was stolen is....not sustainable in terms of keeping a country from falling apart. Maybe their attention spans will be short and they'll just move on in short time - or maybe Trump and/or his surrogates will fan the flames long after the election and keep that part of the electorate simmering. What happens the next time they win the Presidency, or if they get total control as they did in 2016? The voters certainly aren't punishing them as we saw this election at least in congressional seats. 4 years is a long time but Biden is going to be in a tough spot. Back-to-back one term presidents? Is 2024 the year they finally abolish elections? And that's nothing to say of the potential for acts of violence in the short term.
I'm not trying to fearmonger or be overly pessimistic, but how does this trajectory have any happy ending of sorts? Half the country is going to hate the other half for "stealing" an election and doesn't even want to be governed by them in the first place. I'm sure somebody has a good quote about a post-truth world, and here we are.
Look, I know every side throws a fit when they lose an election...but this notion of widespread and sweeping fraud against Trump is now deeply engrained in each and every one of his voters. In other words, half the country is not going to accept the election results. And I don't mean like in 2016 when you had the trendy #notmypresident or whatever, but a more visceral, deep-rooted feeling of having been cheated. Of course Trump planted these seeds several weeks ago with his rhetoric, and here we are. Even many Republican lawmakers are still hesitant to come out and acknowledge the election results.
Initially I was concerned that the barrage of lawsuits from the Trump campaign may find some traction if it got in front of a friendly, partisan judge...but it is clear they have no convincing evidence and are 0-10 in the courts so far. A rational person may say...ok, let them have their say in court, and when it is inevitably shot down, his supporters will (begrudgingly) see the results as valid and move on. Nope. They will likely double down on more conspiracy theories, deep state, etc.
Now you may say it doesn't matter if they don't accept the results, the rule of law and the machine of government marches on. That may be true, but having half your country believe an election was stolen is....not sustainable in terms of keeping a country from falling apart. Maybe their attention spans will be short and they'll just move on in short time - or maybe Trump and/or his surrogates will fan the flames long after the election and keep that part of the electorate simmering. What happens the next time they win the Presidency, or if they get total control as they did in 2016? The voters certainly aren't punishing them as we saw this election at least in congressional seats. 4 years is a long time but Biden is going to be in a tough spot. Back-to-back one term presidents? Is 2024 the year they finally abolish elections? And that's nothing to say of the potential for acts of violence in the short term.
I'm not trying to fearmonger or be overly pessimistic, but how does this trajectory have any happy ending of sorts? Half the country is going to hate the other half for "stealing" an election and doesn't even want to be governed by them in the first place. I'm sure somebody has a good quote about a post-truth world, and here we are.
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