Ahh, but that's the beauty of it all. The republicans for some reason decide to attack the program that people contribute to and as I said earlier about pension raiding, caused a great many to be dependent upon it for retirement. Note that what is being threatened are things which will not give Dems headaches, but Reps. This is indeed a political game. The Reps have once again shot themselves in the foot assuming that Obama would not let the nation burn to the ground before giving in. Of course he will. For their part the Reps will do the same before Bill Gates has to pay one cent more in taxes, but will slice payments to retirees.
Obama cannot lose on this.
I think you are wrong on that.
Obama will have X dollars to spend and it will be his choice what does and doesn't get paid.
The Republicans already have their strategy worked out. Track every penny that Obama spends and make sure the public knows about it.
If he doesn't send out SS checks but spends money on something else the public will know about it. And if that money goes to unions or corporations the shit will hit the fan.
In the end it will Obama's choice not to send out the checks. He can blame Republicans all day, but they can just point out that he had enough money to send them out and chose to spend the money on something else.