Originally posted by: eskimospy
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McCain needs Democrats to vote for him, or he loses.
I don't agree. My recollection has been that Dems win with enough shift in their direction by female voters.
Otherwise:
1. I still the Obama camp is gonna have a lot of problems attacking her PERIOD. Too many women like Geraldine Ferraro running around claiming that Obama and MSM are anti-female.
2. I see them having a lot of problems attacking her inexperience, every time they do so it underscores Obama's lack of experience. The VP can train on the job, the President can't (or shouldn't).
3. The arguments I've heard so far on the MSM about why Obama DOES have more experience than her come down to his speaking ability and his successsful campaign (his campaign was successful because he is a good speaker - *Hope & Change*). IMO, this all serves to reinforce the "Obama as an empty suit who just speaks really really well". His *experience* is speaking well?
4, Oil drilling. She's from a big oil state and can speak with authority. The polls show the Repubs have the upper hand here.
5. Biden is gonna beat her up in a debate? Maybe so, but we'll see how that works out them.
6. *Historic Ticket*? Yep, now we've got two - and one is gonna win, so it's now a forgone conclusion. For anybody inclined to vote for that, well the Repubs just stole some of that thunder.
7. The female vote? Hey, nobody is going after female policy nerds. I've heard the number of people who actually make up their minds while standing in the voting booth is quite high (obviously they care little about policy), how many of these who are female are now ghonna pull the lever because a woman is on the ticket? IDK, but I bet they've done a bunch of polling.
8. As I pointed out in a thread I started earlier - there are two schools of thought on a VP selection. (1) Get out your base (Rovian theory), and (2) Get the swing/indy vote (Morris). McCain might get both with this pick.
9. Interesting pick. Might end up taking away some attention from the Dem's convention. If that translates into a few less percentage points for the Dems, all the better for McCain. How many points do you expect to get from a VP choice?
10. She has 5 kids and one is Down's Syndrome? She might be very effective in talking about health care and other issues (education) mothers are concerned with.
IMO, she has a lot of potential. But we'll have to see how the McCain camp plays it, and how good she is at campaigning.
Fern