“If the water becomes shallow, and you’re a whale, you’re gonna get grounded and you’ll die. If the water becomes shallow, and you’re a starfish, you don’t give a shit,” he said. “If the market goes down by 50 percent, it’s awfully dangerous if you’re a whale.”
That analogy is cute.
It is a cute analogy but it really has nothing to do with how the economics of business work out.
AMD, a starfish compared to Intel, is most certainly in a more precarious position financially than Intel, the whale. Profits versus losses, quarter after quarter and year after year, are proof of this reality.
Cute analogies are cute, but that doesn't make them valid or representative of the thing they are trying to be an analogy of.
TI is a whale, for example, and they once held 80% of the mobile phone market, now they hold basically zero. And yet they deftly negotiated and managed the reality of their shrinking mobile revenue with aplomb as they diversified into analog markets and kept making profits along the way.
Nokia is a whale that has not managed to do so well, not because it is a whale but because it is managed by an unimaginative idiot (of sorts).
Good people with good resources will do well. Dumb people will always do poorly, well resourced or not. Good people without resources will likewise not do so well IF they are competing against equally good people who are better resourced (space race).
This isn't about whales and starfish, its about people and we have all the necessary analogies at our disposal already.