dullard
Elite Member
- May 21, 2001
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Even the best experts don't expect 10% in anything over the near future. Stocks have gone nowhere in the last 5 years and dividends are about half of what they were before when 10% was achievable.Originally posted by: iversonyin
Its really not that hard to get 10% out of the market. It depend on how much you are managing
Sure, I could show you many things that did well in the last 5 years, but those times are over. For example, I can cherry pick a fund that was started during the crash after 9/11. When the stocks returned to normal, those funds that started then gained quite a bit. But there is no reason to expect them to continue gaining now that we have returned to pre 9/11 days.
Sure, I could point you to REITs, but I don't think anyone would agree that they will continue their progress forward. Energy stocks are now on their way back down - or at least have halted their march up. Metal is at extreme highs, not like that is going up much more. There just isn't any bright spot with lots of potential.
Consistant 5% sure. 7% maybe. 10% no.
Plus, how many people really have $60k in cash at age 23? And after 60 years of inflation, will you still be able to live at $500 a month? Assuming 3% inflation, by the end of your life you have $84.87 worth of todays dollars to spend each month. At 4% inflation, you'd be at $47.53/month. And that is pre-tax.