I think I read somewhere that generally speaking the most predictive economic time is about 6 months before the election. (barring some huge shock I assume) If the economy is good then, Biden is probably looking good.Good thing we are getting good signals now. 11 months ahead of the election.
Wonder if that is enough time for the lag effect.
One thing people will feel immediately tho is the cheaper gas. If it stays under $3, Biden would have a far stronger chance.