Discussion RDNA 5 / UDNA (CDNA Next) speculation

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gdansk

Diamond Member
Feb 8, 2011
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Talk is that Nvidia will not launch GPU this year and next gen may be delayed until 2028. And yet I have this suspicion that AMD will let this opportunity pass and will even manage to lose market share.
Am I wrong?
The same market realities causing Nvidia to delay consumer crap would also cause AMD to delay consumer crap.
So yes, it will go without Radeon trying anything aggressive.
 

Panino Manino

Golden Member
Jan 28, 2017
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The same market realities causing Nvidia to delay consumer crap would also cause AMD to delay consumer crap.
So yes, it will go without Radeon trying anything aggressive.

Isn't there any way put more cards on the shelves? Don't need to be something next gen, just "something".
 

gdansk

Diamond Member
Feb 8, 2011
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Isn't there any way put more cards on the shelves? Don't need to be something next gen, just "something".
No, they already ordered the amount of chips and even if they wanted to increase GPU production then from where would they acquire the GDDR6? That's rhetorical, it's all sold through for 2026. And possibly even beyond.

They are also likely to switch some N48/N44 allocation (any excess production they can't sell to partners with VRAM to pair them with) to Epyc based on reported market conditions (where there are shortages of the CPUs themselves).
 
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tajoh111

Senior member
Mar 28, 2005
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AS I mentioned numerous times, AMD doesn't have the manpower to keep up in all the markets it is involved in. Which sides are going to take a cut I propositioned and it appears to be all of them aside from data center.

To make instinct a year cadence product, would have taken alot of resources from everywhere. Especially considering these products are made on the newest node. And extra highers AMD has brought in likely has to focus on software which AMD has neglected over the years and support for business to business partners which AMD has neglected over the years compared to the competition. AMD doesn't have the resources to produce simultaneous chips on the newest process year after year. Their net profit just recently reached over a billion dollars.

The consumer market is stagnant in terms of revenue and with the cost of RAM as well as the supply, will actually shrink. Everyone complaining need to understand that releasing products in the consumer market during this time is going to result in way less return in investment. These decisions where to spend much and where to put resources was made years ago and likely based on the potential growth of the CPU market and GPU market. The GPU market would have made the most sense particularly the consumer side since the market has been stuck at 4 billion quarterly for a while now and fighting Nvidia is alot harder than fighting Intel in the consumer space. If I was AMD and wanted to make the most money and getting the most return on investment, i would spend as little as possible on consumer graphics as the dollar per mm2 of die is the worst and as the current marketshare shows, getting marketshare from Nvidia is brutally difficult.
 
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adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
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AS I mentioned numerous times, AMD doesn't have the manpower to keep up in all the markets it is involved in.
They do.
They just don't wanna focus on markets that are either miserable to penetrate (client dGFX) or are being margin squeezed from multiple directions (a solid chunk of PC).
 

basix

Senior member
Oct 4, 2024
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AMD has to do exactly two things regarding client graphics:
  1. Developing a good and scalable HW architecture (PPA, features)
  2. Pushing their software ecosystem, e.g. push FSR like Nvidia pushes DLSS
    • SW is not limited to gaming focused stuff, can be more than that (e.g. ML/AI, CAD, video rendering, ...)
The first will be done anyways because of APUs, consoles and a few breadcrumbs from datacenter GPU designs (some commonalities you can re-use for client GFX). The second part ist what is missing. FSR Redstone could have been exactly that but for the time being it is a miserable story, unfortunately...

With that, if AMD wants to build a GPU, they have all required building blocks.
From that point on, the rest are management and business decisions. And this is exactly the reason why the rumored RDNA5 ATx are looking like they do. Use each chip for multiple purposes.
 
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eek2121

Diamond Member
Aug 2, 2005
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AMD has to do exactly two things regarding client graphics:
  1. Developing a good and scalable HW architecture (PPA, features)
  2. Pushing their software ecosystem, e.g. FSR like Nvidia does DLSS.
    • SW is not only gaming focused stuff, can be more than that
The first will be done anyways because of APUs, consoles and a few breadcrumbs from datacenter GPU designs (some commonalities you can re-use for client GFX). The second part ist what is missing. FSR Redstone could have been exactly that but for the time being it is a miserable story, unfortunately...

From that point on the rest are management and business decisions. If AMD wants to build GPU, they have all required building blocks. And this is exactly the reason why the rumored RDNA5 ATx are looking like they do. Use each chip for multiple purposes.

Relevant:

😉
 

ElectricSand

Junior Member
Jan 10, 2026
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They do.
They just don't wanna focus on markets that are either miserable to penetrate (client dGFX) or are being margin squeezed from multiple directions (a solid chunk of PC).
Giving up on a multi-billion dollar market that is currently being vacated by the current market leader is just amazingly cowardly and short sighted. The opportunity to win goodwill in client GFX and is basically free right now. AMD can't even score an open goal now? Pathetic.

Intel are putting up a fight in client mobile solutions, so they really should try in that market instead of running the Vega playbook once again but with that trashcan architecture RDNA3, when they have better.

They are a distant second place in DCAI anyway, and if that market experiences an overdue slowdown, they'll find they'll have nothing to fall back on. Yeah compute hyperscalers will love the Italian Cities, but will that be sufficient?
 

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
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Giving up on a multi-billion dollar market that is currently being vacated by the current market leader is just amazingly cowardly and short sighted.
The current market leader ships a 750mm^2 die to win.
AMD cucks outta Navi4c. that's all you gotta know.
The opportunity to win goodwill in client GFX and is basically free right now
'goodwill' is worthless garbage.
Unless you think loss leader Polaris was a sound business strategy.
AMD can't even score an open goal now? Pathetic.
The 'goal' locked itself down 18 years ago on RV770 launch.
No way back.
Intel are putting up a fight in client mobile solutions
They don't, BMG PPA is atrocious.
so they really should try in that market instead of running the Vega playbook once again but with that trashcan architecture RDNA3, when they have better.
They do, hence why AT3/4.
They are a distant second place in DCAI anyway
Hell no.
and if that market experiences an overdue slowdown, they'll find they'll have nothing to fall back on.
GPU capex down == CPU capex back up. Pretty simple.
Yeah compute hyperscalers will love the Italian Cities, but will that be sufficient?
It's been sufficient for years, and SP8 Venice will also go for enteprise share en mass. Why not?
 

ElectricSand

Junior Member
Jan 10, 2026
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The current market leader ships a 750mm^2 die to win.
AMD cucks outta Navi4c. that's all you gotta know.
Lol, if it takes a big chip, make one. Not making one demonstrates a severe lack of cojones, which is what I've been saying this whole time. Bunch of butt-hurt pussies.

'goodwill' is worthless garbage.
Unless you think loss leader Polaris was a sound business strategy.
Doesn't take a Polaris. Just takes not taking the actual piss out of whatever customers you do have. Get FSR4 working on RDNA3 for starters. We know it can be done. Fucking do it.
You can say goodwill is worthless garbage, but its pretty much the exact reason Nvidia has been sharting all over AMD/ATi, even with objectively worse products on offer. If 'goodwill' doesn't float your boat as far as vocabulary is concerned, use 'mindshare'. Same shit at the end of the day.

The 'goal' locked itself down 18 years ago on RV770 launch.
No way back.
The thought process of the spineless.

They don't, BMG PPA is atrocious.
Customers don't care about PPA. They care about products. Can Intel sustain it? Fuck if I care, but in the mean time, its just stalling AMD out of a very profitable market.

They do, hence why AT3/4.
Not enough though is it. Where's the big lad? Why is RDNA3.5 still being used in APUs? Stop buying back stock and invest it in more engineers. There's an extra $6 billy there they could have used. I know you shareholders love a good stock pump, but its not actually that useful for the business.

Given Nvidia has about 4x AMD's revenue while being basically just a GPU vendor..... Yeah I dunno about that.

GPU capex down == CPU capex back up. Pretty simple.

It's been sufficient for years, and SP8 Venice will also go for enteprise share en mass. Why not?
Still leaving billions upon billions on the table. And why? Cause they're butthurt about not succeeding in GPU? They're not the cash-strapped underdog any more. $6 billion in share buybacks, and you're telling me that they can't invest in enough validation engineers to support a complete client gfx/apu product stack AND DCAI at the same time? Lol