Rasmussen poll 5/2: Trump 41%, Clinton 39%

[buckshot24]

NEw poll out today has Clinton up 6 points over Drumpf.

CBS/NYT poll.

Yes, already posted it.

 

[buckshot24]

Two new polls out today.

NBC News/Wall St. Journal

Clinton 46
Trump 43

Sanders up 15 on Trump in the same poll.

ABC/Washington Post

Trump 46
Clinton 44

RCP has Trump up .2% in their average poll now. Mainly because that CNN poll where Clinton was up 13 has slipped off the rolling average page.

 

[echo4747]

Poll averages everyone.

Poll averages.

new poll average has Trump ahead (only .2% but ahead):

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...s/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

 

[Exophase]

RCP's poll history is interesting because you see this big dip during primary season which then completely reverses with Trump becoming the presumptive nominee.

This isn't the first time they were close so we'll have to wait and see what happens. But now that Trump isn't fighting his GOP opposition and is in unification mode he's in a stronger position. But he could possibly take a hit from the debates.

 

[PokerGuy]

At a time when Trump is no longer battling 50 other candidates so the gop rhetoric dies down, hildabeast is still battling the old loon and it's dragging down her polling. When she becomes the nominee, the idiots ....errr.... democrat party faithful will unite behind her and the polls will change again.

 

[Sheik Yerbouti]

At a time when Trump is no longer battling 50 other candidates so the gop rhetoric dies down, hildabeast is still battling the old loon and it's dragging down her polling. When she becomes the nominee, the idiots ....errr.... democrat party faithful will unite behind her and the polls will change again.

right, because intellectuals flock behind drumpf, he's the epitome of higher thought and detailed plans

 

[PokerGuy]

right, because intellectuals flock behind drumpf, he's the epitome of higher thought and detailed plans

Whoooooosh!

That's the sound of the point going over your head again.

Most party faithful will eventually fall in line and go with the lesser evil (their party candidate) over the other party candidate. That process has already begun for Trump, whereas for hildabeast that process has not really kicked in because she's still slogging it out with the old loon. I expect continued polling to reflect that over time, another reason polls at this point are not particularly useful.

Until things actually shake out and we know for certain who the two candidates are (and whether there will be a significant third party candidacy), polls are pretty much useless.

 

[Sheik Yerbouti]

Whoooooosh!

That's the sound of the point going over your head again.

Most party faithful will eventually fall in line and go with the lesser evil (their party candidate) over the other party candidate. That process has already begun for Trump, whereas for hildabeast that process has not really kicked in because she's still slogging it out with the old loon. I expect continued polling to reflect that over time, another reason polls at this point are not particularly useful.

Until things actually shake out and we know for certain who the two candidates are (and whether there will be a significant third party candidacy), polls are pretty much useless.

Nope the point wasn't lost on me in any way. You have a problem with hillary, got it, even partially understand it, and subsequently call people who vote for her idiots. But those willing to fall behind drumpf are loyal, faithful conservative voters.

 

[PokerGuy]

Nope the point wasn't lost on me in any way. You have a problem with hillary, got it, even partially understand it, and subsequently call people who vote for her idiots. But those willing to fall behind drumpf are loyal, faithful conservative voters.

Nope, you have it all wrong again. The education system really failed you, reading and comprehension appear to be a big challenge for you.

 

[Doc Savage Fan]

Nope, you have it all wrong again. The education system really failed you, reading and comprehension appear to be a big challenge for you.

I don't know why you even bother...that guy is about as dumb as they come.

 

[umbrella39]

Says Derp Savage Fan...

 

[Blackjack200]

I wonder if the Sanders/Trump polls are predictive of where the Clinton/Trump polls will end up.

 

[fskimospy]

I wonder if the Sanders/Trump polls are predictive of where the Clinton/Trump polls will end up.

Hmm, my guess is no. I imagine Sanders' numbers are inflated by Trump/non voters that say they would vote for Sanders but would not in the end.

I imagine that once Sanders drops out and (presumably) endorses Clinton her lead will re-emerge, but I guess we'll have to wait and see! Likely due to the different timings of wrapping up the nomination polls at this time of year are actually less well correlated with the final result than those of a few months ago. In fact, the same thing happened in 2008 where McCain was beating Obama at around this time of year.