Rasmussen poll 5/2: Trump 41%, Clinton 39%

[soundforbjt]

As the demographics are right now, Drumpf would need 7 of 10 white male votes to have a chance of winning.

 

[LegendKiller]

As the demographics are right now, Drumpf would need 7 of 10 white male votes to have a chance of winning.

And what about voter turnout adjusted?

 

[buckshot24]

These polls are pretty meaningless until Bernie drops out. Yes, Trump will get his 40%, and Hillary will get her 40%, the question is about the remaining 20%. The question is who are the remaining 15-20% who prefer "other candidate" are going to pick once that "other candidate" is not in the race. And it's most likely going to be Clinton or stay at home. I don't see Trump getting more than a small minority of Sanders supporters.

You're assuming that 20% are Bernie voters.

 

[buckshot24]

As the demographics are right now, Drumpf would need 7 of 10 white male votes to have a chance of winning.

Latest Fox poll has Trump up 55 to 31 with whites and up in that poll.

 

[SP33Demon]

So to be clear, the person who just called people 'shitty' and 'libtards' thinks that insulting people is the sign of someone being insecure.

lol. Nice self ownage.

I attempted to take the high road and you still don't get it. Keep owning yourself, just as your candidate Clinton does. Polls are going doooooooown. Get used to it, haha

 

[SP33Demon]

The fact that you lefties have perpetuated my thread is evidence of your concern. This thread was created 17 days ago, I love it

 

[soundforbjt]

And what about voter turnout adjusted?

Women turnout is higher in the general than men, I haven't looked into all the data yet, too early to make an accurate guess.

 

[thraashman]

The fact that you lefties have perpetuated my thread is evidence of your concern. This thread was created 17 days ago, I love it

I don't know about everyone else, but I just love seeing you and LK continually announce how fucked up of human beings you are.

 

[soundforbjt]

Latest Fox poll has Trump up 55 to 31 with whites and up in that poll.

Of course, it's a Fox poll. That's to be expected.

 

[buckshot24]

Of course, it's a Fox poll. That's to be expected.

That is hackery.

Silver has them at a +0.5% Republican lean.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

 

[soundforbjt]

That is hackery.

Silver has them at a +0.5% Republican lean.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

And as you love to boast, Hillary is still running a primary. There will be lots of poll shifting after the conventions.

 

[buckshot24]

And as you love to boast, Hillary is still running a primary. There will be lots of poll shifting after the conventions.

So you're moving from unreliable data to the data will change in the future. PROGRESS!

Point was Trump is up in this poll without a 70-30 split.

 

[soundforbjt]

So you're moving from unreliable data to the data will change in the future. PROGRESS!

Point was Trump is up in this poll without a 70-30 split.

Never mind, it's pointless to try to explain anything to you.

 

[Sheik Yerbouti]

Never mind, it's pointless to try to explain anything to you.

not even sure why you or anyone else bothers to respond or reply to that poster. a pure waste of time and energy.

 

[buckshot24]

Never mind, it's pointless to try to explain anything to you.

First you said he needs to win 70-30 white voters. I show a poll where he wins white voters 55-31 and still leads. You say it is because it is Fox. I show that Silver rates Fox a .5% Gop lean. You then say Hillary is still in the primary and will get a bump once she wins nomination. Which happens to make no difference to a poll where Trump leads and doesn't have a 70-30 white split and is still ahead.

Point, Trump doesn't need a 70-30 split, according to that poll. You're wrong.

 

[zinfamous]

Hey buckshot, weren't you supposed to pick "your girl up at school?" Is there someone actually waiting for you?

Oh, did the police show up and stop you, as I hoped?

 

[shady28]

Meanwhile...


Poll: Trump Up Five Points Over Clinton Nationally

 

[buckshot24]

CBS poll has Clinton up 6.

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsnyt-national-poll-hillary-clintons-lead-over-donald-trump-narrows/

 

[fskimospy]

Poll averages everyone.

Poll averages.

 

[buckshot24]

Poll averages everyone.

Poll averages.

Yes, we're just talking about polls. You're welcome to not do that.

 

[shady28]

CBS poll has Clinton up 6.

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsnyt-national-poll-hillary-clintons-lead-over-donald-trump-narrows/

Fox and Rasmussen use weighted cell / land line.

CBS uses land line.

 

[fskimospy]

Fox and Rasmussen use weighted cell / land line.

CBS uses land line.

Fox also had a sample of 41% self identified republicans. Let me guess, the ones you didn't like are wrong and the ones you did like are right.

Always read the crosstabs.

 

[buckshot24]

Fox and Rasmussen use weighted cell / land line.

CBS uses land line.

Seems like land lines might favor GOP.

 

[buckshot24]

Fox also had a sample of 41% self identified republicans. Let me guess, the ones you didn't like are wrong and the ones you did like are right.

Always read the crosstabs.

Don't unskew the polls.

I looked at 538 poll ratings and most of the polls are slightly biased toward the GOP. One wonders if that is because Romney performed so poorly vs the polls last time.

I bias adjusted the RCP average and it went to almost 4% lead for Clinton vs 3.1%.

 

[soundforbjt]

NEw poll out today has Clinton up 6 points over Drumpf.

CBS/NYT poll.