Starbuck1975 said:
I have yet to hear a compelling argument as to why Bush, or anyone for that matter, would push for an unnecessary war...and don't give me the tired Halliburton/revenge for daddy/oil theories.
Heh, come on man, there is definitly "many" reasons Bushco. pushed for war. Not just "A" reason, many different mea culpa are valid, including the ones you disregard above.
Tenet's mea culpa makes me want to puke. Leading up to the war, there were a number of courageous State Department officials who resigned in protest rather than participate in this sham of a case for war that was being sold to the American people.
They gave up careers and pensions for what they believed, and got brief mention in some of the press. That took guts. Those actions were based on deeply held principles. I pray that no one will buy this self-serving book.
Tenet was one of the few people in a position to really wake up Americans to the realities of the day, and he chose not to.
The bigger issue with this war is the absence of any clear reason or rationale -- there is actually no straight reason that you can put your finger on and say, this is why the Bush Administration went to war. Let's look at some of the advanced reasons:
1) Oil: it is fair to say that if Iraq had no oil, and was not in the biggest oil producing region in the world, both Gulf wars would never have taken place. The world has tolerated numerous invasions and oppresive governments in other places that have no oil -- and still does, Samuel Doe, Robert Mugabe, et al. Oil and or money from contracts, particularly Halliburton/KBR. The Energy Task Force docs that did get released showed that they were intent on divvying up Iraq's oil fields. The "no bid" contracts are a no-brainer. Hell, Halliburton had been doing business with Iraq, Iran, and Libya through "foreign subsidiaries" for years.
Indeed, Iraq in the Neocon's fantasy world would have left OPEC and its production ceilings, a disaster for the major oil companies. Only the incompetence of the Bush adminstration has caused the opposite result, actually lowering Iraqi oil output.
2) Israel's interests. Yes the Neocons sent Netanyahu the infamous "clean break" paper, but it was full of holes. Iraq was not an imminent threat to Israel and the Israeli put Iraq years, even decades away from effective WMD. If this was done to serve Israel's interests, it was only in the perfervid imaginings of AIPAC, not the bulk of the US Jewish community or for that matter Jerusalem and Tel Aviv. AIPAC is a nasty, dangerous organisation, whose shills attack anyone who criticises Israel -- but I would add that no one is doing more damage to Israel's standing in the US.
3) Weapons of Mass Destruction. Well we know the story here, most of it. But the unmade point is that even assuming, arguendo, that Saddam had some WMD, the broad view was that the program had to be tiny and very unadvanced and years from effectiveness. in hindsight he had none, but even in foresight the WMD if they existed were not a real threat.
4) Spreading Democracy. First this was not a justification given a priori by the Bushies. Second, anyone who had seen the evidence of Algeria, etc. would be aware that democracy in the Middle East tend to lead to the election of Islamicists. We can criticise western support for authoritarian rulers in the middle East from Morrocco to Egypt, but on the evidence democratically elected governments are not that attractive either.
5) Ending Sunni oppression of Shiites/Kurds. This is a funny one -- Chirac is on the record as having warned Bush that he was just playing into the hands of the Iranians, and indeed Western tolerance of Saddam had been because he was a counterweight to Tehran. Meanwhile the US key regional ally, Turkey saw Kurdish seperatism as a real threat. Given the cynsicism of the Bushies, and they Islamophobic tendancies the whole argument is surprising -- moreover, the Saudi sponsors of Bush are very orthodox Sunnis.
6) military/industrial complex. But those are small potatoes compared to the money that would be made by the defense contractors and the rest of the war industry. Military hardware and munnitions have to be used before the expiration date expires and the industry needs to be making replacements in order to stay in business.
7) Al Quaeda link -- always was complete nonsense
8) Oedipal complex of GWB. Seems far fetched at first, but, Trying to bring the "rapture", that is beginning to loom like a "maybe". Bush and his Cabinet's desire to "finish the job" daddy supposedly "bungled"
The harder you look at this whole mess, the harder it is to find any sensible reason for the Iraq invasion. In fact I am pretty sure that no substantive reason was ever articulated for going into Iraq, if it had it would have been submitted to ruthless analysis and the Invasion could not have happened.
It is the very lack of any intelligible rationale or objective that lies at the heart of the fiasco and tragedy that is the Iraq war. Had there been one, then the war might not have taken place, or when it did take place the post-war plan would have been in place to achieve the stated objective.
The point I am trying to make is that there really seems to have been no hard rationale advanced, and the lack of a rationale drove the lack of hard analysis and the absence of any clear articulated objectives, which in turn drove three things:
(1) a failure to properly examine the case for war, since there was no articulated case to examine (and a lot of lies about a non-case); (2) the need to make the war seem cheap in terms of men and material, since articulating a rationale and objectives would have led to a cost benefit analysis that would have collapsed in the face of no clear benefit for a high-cost war; (3) no post war planning, since there were no objectives to plan to achieve.
Put bluntly, these guys are bozos.