Originally posted by: irwincur
People seem to foget that Clinton left the economy in shambles, you know the worst economy since the Depression (according to Dean and Kerry). Well that was all because of Clinton front loading the federal treasury with tax hikes to pay down the debt. Classic reason as to why tax hikes are dangerous. The provide an initial boost (and may last through a presidents term) but they will always end in recession, convieniently usually just as the guy is leaving office.
Three cheers to the short term fix. Ask Europeans what happens after government continuously raise taxes over and over. You get backed into a corner with an economy that has not grown significantly in decades shouldered with an increasing debt load. In the end you are looking at technical government bankruptcy like many of the Northern European Welfare states are. Within 30 years they will have no money, zero economic growth, and more importantly nowhere to turn for more tax income. Effective tax rates today are above 90%. That leaves little fromm cash for economic development and consumer spending. It is simply the slow trek towards Socialism, or more accurately Communism.
Just wondering where you get the notion that tax hike boosts the economy initially and leaves it in recession. From my years of school, both undergrad and grad, I've never heard of tax hike being used as an instrument to boost the economy, most economist believes in the opposite where tax cut boost the economy. Clinton's tax cut was used to reduce deficit and manage the interest rate and USD exchange rate.
There is no one cause for the tech bubble. But from my years of experience in the technology sector, the reason most insiders believe had lots to do with the tech bubble had been the Y2k problem. Many companies rushed to buy new systems/hardware and hire technology consultant anticipating Y2k will bring down the old systems. The tech sector grew tremendously because of that and after Y2K the demand just evaporated and the tech companies, after years of expansion was not able to adjust to the sudden lost of demand.
This Y2K issue has nothing to do with Clinton or Bush in the White House. I don't think either President has anything do with the recession in 2001. What I do have problem with, are the policy President put forth to manage the fiscal health of a country.
Managing the finance of a country is not much different from managing personal finance. You get into trouble when you spend more than you earn. You can probably deal with temporally short fall, but no one can sustain long term deficit. Bottom line, Clinton recognized the need to balance the budget and manage the deficit. Bush spend and spend and spend. His tax cut may be necessary to boost the economy. But the dividend tax cut that accounted for almost half of the total package gives money to the wealthy when average Joe were the one suffering the most during this recession. His war with Iraq just put the country further into debt without any benefit. (unless you are Hilliburton)
There are many factors affecting the well being of national economy. A responsible President recognizes the importance of balanced spending that leads to low interest rate, stable currency and low inflation. Those indicators lead to a healthy environment for which the economy can sustain long term and healthy growth. Irresponsible President looks to spend and make special interest group happy so their party gets the vote during election. I think Bush belongs to the irresponsible side.