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Predictions for the Final Year of Bush II

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Two major EU banks cut froze all Iranian Assets. I am watching the Undersecretary of State right now on PBS. He is one slick talking son of a gun. EU will do something I think Sanctions are coming.
 
Originally posted by: Arkaign
I will bookmark this thread, and come check it once the final calendar year comes for Bush's term.

What do you predict will happen? Personally, I think he'll be more dangerous than ever, and that this will cause a rift between him and the Republican candidates (aside from possibly Thompson/Giuiliani).

I think that he will try to expand the war in the ME so that the next President will have no choice other than to continue a wide theatre of operations just to maintain a semblance of stability. This will obviously make the parasites that profit so handsomely from this venture happy, but will be a hard sell to Americans in the midst of a shaky economy.

The expansion itself? Look no further than the usual suspects from PNAC desperately trying to make a case for expanding the war to Iran. And guess what? If US forces try to forcibly change regimes in that Islamic state, you can bet that Musharraf will lose Pakistan in a heartbeat. And that means hardliner Islamists with a working and deliverable nuclear arsenal. Whee!


I recall reading This a while back. It does fall in line with a lot of things we are doing now. I predict that our government in the next year, and for several more, will continue to cause as much instability in Iran and the ME as it can. Proxi wars consume massive amounts of money.
 
Our current war in Iraq only consumes massive amounts of money and ties up our military.
The death toll is low enough and the disruption at home is small enough to make an Iraq occupation somehow sustainable. But truth be told, even though many initial Iraq war supporters will not publically admit it, the Iraq war was a giant mistake. Maybe under better management Iraq would have had a better current results, but Iraq now looks to be a difficult to get out of quagmire for the foreseeable future. At the same time, the larger world watches the USA serve as the up paid policeman with little protest. And until GWB swallows his pride and asks for help, the international community has little incentive to either help or be any part in coming up with political solutions needed to stabilize Iraq.

So rumor has, Cheney is whispering in GWB's ear that he will be a failed President if he does not do something about Iran. For many of us in the anything but far right camp, GWB
is the worse President in US history and any idea that Iran will redeem his Presidency is the sequel to a bad horror movie. Because while Iraq has been a mere slow motion failure, Iran has all the hallmarks of a fast moving disaster.

Unlike Iraq, Iran is no paper tiger. It can be wounded from the air but any boots on the ground invasion would take an international coalition that would take at least six months or years to put together. Any aerial war would then present Iran would present Iran the international justification to do two things. (1) Shut down the Persian gulf. Without boots on the ground to control the entire Iranian coast line, that is an Iranian ability impossible to stop. Within minutes of any Iranian bombing oil speculators would push oil prices through the roof and every oil based economy in the world would instantly suffer. Any notion that the rest of the world would keep allowing an out of control USA to continue to blundering around like a bull in a china shop is absurd. (2) Right now the US is claiming limited amounts of Iranian military technology is leaking into Iraq and finding its way into the hands of the Shia insurgencies. But Iran has its own home grown ability to manufacture large quantities of fairly modern anti-tank missiles that certainly have not leaked into the Iraqi insurgencies. The Iranians would be absolute fools not to flood Iraq with the technology that would make the current US Iraqi occupation untenable within a few weeks.
Leaving 160,000 US troops caught between the Shia insurgencies and the Iranian army.
And worse yet with no way out and no supply line. (3) Who knows what the rest of the world and Saudi Arabia would do. Not to mention the Turks who might swoop in and grab the Kurdish regions of Iraq. Maybe Russia might rejoice that its oil is more valuable but China and India would not be happy.

As for me, I am peeing my pants that GWB&co. might see a different rosy scenario and just get froggie and do it. We all have seen that GWB&co are long on optimism and way way short on results. Only one thing really stops GWB&co. and that is public opinion. We already know reality does not deter them.
 
Originally posted by: ProfJohn
Originally posted by: Legend
Lame duck. He may try to push for Iran, but the public (hopefully) won't buy the neo-con liberal's bullshit again.

Democrats will continue to bitch about the war, but not get anything organized to resolve it. And they'll continue to fund it. Be their usual, spineless corporatist selves as usual.
I don?t think there will be a ?push.?

I think we will wake up one morning and hear about the attacks after they have happened.

That's exactly how it will go down. The forces are all in place already. The Iranian government can be taken down in a matter of hours.
 
Originally posted by: ProfJohn
Originally posted by: 1EZduzit
I predict that people will be so happy to be rid of him that our economy will take off!!
Dow just hit a new record high? guess people are celebrating early huh?

The trick will be if we can elect a president the people have the confidence in that they continue to invest in the economy without hemoraghing all our cash on the Iraqi war.
 
Bush was able to get away with Iraq because he was still riding high on the approval ratings from 9/11, and anyone who voted against the war would have been labeled as a terrorist supporter and voted out of office. likewise, any media organization reporting actual "facts" and questioning the administration would have been accused of supporting the terrorists.

with Iran, on the other hand, support for a new war is somewhere in the 30's.
 
Cheney will come up with a plan that will make us look like there is no other option but to invade Iran. He did it with Iraq and he will do it again. The war machine makes his coffers grow in a way we mere mortals can only imagine. His brethren are rubbing their hands together in anticipation. Oil won't last forever and they need all the control over the world's supply they can get.

These people care nothing about this country, their only motivation is their insatiable lust for money and power.

In order for their death grip on the US to continue, it's imperative we be in Iran before Cheney leaves office.

Notice I made no mention of Bush, he's never been the President.
 
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