Post your 2020 EC result prediction. Here's mine.

[Amused]

RealClearPolitics has flipped NC to Trump, for what it's worth.

That makes little sense.

North Carolina Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

 

[Wreckem]

That makes little sense.

North Carolina Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Well if you look with RCP they are including polling done by American Greatness/Center for American Greatness. They are even more partisan than Trafalgar. No one else listens to the Center For American Greatness polls as they are a far right fake media outfit that’s essentially an appendage of the Trump Campaign.

Just go to their website and look are their articles.

 

[woolfe9998]

They are even more partisan than Trafalgar.

Perhaps, but the chief pollster of Trafalgar was on TV claiming that if Trump loses PA it's because the dems stole the state and rigged the vote.

Tells you everything you need to know about Trafalgar and why to ignore their polls.

 

[zzyzxroad]

Quinnipiac Florida and Ohio poll.

Poll Results | Quinnipiac University Poll

Quinnipiac University Poll’s list of recent and past poll results for political races, state and national elections, and issues of public concern.

poll.qu.edu

 

[vi edit]

Quinnipiac Florida and Ohio poll.

Poll Results | Quinnipiac University Poll

Quinnipiac University Poll’s list of recent and past poll results for political races, state and national elections, and issues of public concern.

poll.qu.edu

This is like a 20 something posting a nude on reddit and a title of "Wish you were here". Like, you have my attention, but we both know it's not happening.

 

[skyking]

I have no map, but a prediction: AP will call Florida by midnight Eastern time.

 

[sportage]

If Trump plans on coming out at 10 to claim victory with no proof of victory then Biden needs to come out at 9 and beat Trump to the punch. Another possibility, a game of strip poker between McConnell and Pelosi, winning party takes all. Would that really be so weird, considering....?

 

[skyking]

I have no map, but a prediction: AP will call Florida by midnight Eastern time.

some 'shop wizard needs to 'shop the big baby's head onto that GIF.

 

[eelw]

Too much to hope for 538-0?

 

[Fanatical Meat]

Too much to hope for 538-0?

Yes because deplorables. I am still very suspicious Biden will pull a win. I am really afraid of a few thousand deplorable’s spread over a few deplorable States swinging the EC totals.

 

[ArizonaSteve]

Good weather across most of the country today. Should help with turnout, which usually favors Democrats. With everything going down in 2020, it's obvious that God hates Republicans.

 

[xgsound]

I'm a Trump guy and here's my expectation/ hope.
I hope that the unrest also brings Ca, NY, OR, and WA into play, but that's a big stretch.

 

[K1052]

I'm a Trump guy and here's my expectation/ hope.
I hope that the unrest also brings Ca, NY, OR, and WA into play, but that's a big stretch.

View attachment 32823

There is not a bong hit big enough to make me believe in red Virginia, to say the least of this map.

 

[darkswordsman17]

Well if you look with RCP they are including polling done by American Greatness/Center for American Greatness. They are even more partisan than Trafalgar. No one else listens to the Center For American Greatness polls as they are a far right fake media outfit that’s essentially an appendage of the Trump Campaign.

Just go to their website and look are their articles.

RCP is a shitty conservative site. You shouldn't be bothering with their garbage.

 

[K1052]

RCP is a shitty conservative site. You shouldn't be bothering with their garbage.

They used to be pretty ok but even the other modelers like Silver are calling them out lately.

 

[UNCjigga]

My final, slightly more optimistic but realistic prediction:


Note: If Biden wins back Michigan and takes Georgia and Arizona, then Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Florida essentially don’t matter. Trump could win them all and Biden still wins (but I think Biden will take PA.)

 

[darkswordsman17]

They used to be pretty ok but even the other modelers like Silver are calling them out lately.

Have they? I wasn't even aware of them til right wingers on here posted some of their complete trash articles. They were one of the sites that got caught having a writer on staff that was just a fake Twitter account run by Russia's disinformation agents.

They're with National Review as far as quality goes from what I've seen. Which is to say, if they weren't digital all they'd be good for is wiping your ass.

 

[xgsound]

There is not a bong hit big enough to make me believe in red Virginia, to say the least of this map.

I have a friend that drives through Northern Virginia once or twice a week (on the way to Harrisburg, PA) and they say the Trump signs outnumber Biden signs 3 to 1.
The vote is really all that counts, so we will both have to wait and see.

 

[IronWing]

I have a friend that drives through Northern Virginia once or twice a week (on the way to Harrisburg, PA) and they say the Trump signs outnumber Biden signs 3 to 1.
The vote is really all that counts, so we will both have to wait and see.

I was in the Outer Banks in North Carolina for the past couple weeks. The amount of signage is amazing with signs everywhere. When I first arrived, the Trump signs outnumbered the Biden signs by 3:1. By the time I left, the Biden folks had upped their numbers not quite to sign parity but maybe down by only 25%, an impressive feat. The hand-written signs were the best. In fact, I'd support a law requiring all yard signs to be hand-written.

"Steroid Stupidity"
"Trump Train 2020" followed by a little sign, "Off the Rails".
"Defeat Socialism!"
"Trump isn't a Liar" followed by a second sign, "The Mainstream Media are the Liars."
Someone had the weed vs dope meme blown up to a 6'x6' poster on their lawn.

 

[K1052]

I have a friend that drives through Northern Virginia once or twice a week (on the way to Harrisburg, PA) and they say the Trump signs outnumber Biden signs 3 to 1.
The vote is really all that counts, so we will both have to wait and see.

Lots of places in VA supported trump near that ratio. The problem was they were relatively low population and got swamped by the metros.

Clinton took the state by 5. Northam by almost 9. Kane was re-elected with a 16 point margin.

Then there is the polling:

 

[soundforbjt]

Haven’t seen many if any signs near me.

 

[brycejones]

Lots of places in VA supported trump near that ratio. The problem was they were relatively low population and got swamped by the metros.

Clinton took the state by 5. Northam by almost 9. Kane was re-elected with a 16 point margin.

Then there is the polling:

View attachment 32940

So Tossup?

 

[skyking]

rofl!
that map with the red Michigan Wisconsin and Minnesota. That's a pretty big bong hit too!
+9.1, 8.3, and 8

 

[Roger Wilco]

I'm a Trump guy and here's my expectation/ hope.
I hope that the unrest also brings Ca, NY, OR, and WA into play, but that's a big stretch.

That's not a stretch. That's an impossibility.

 

[ecogen]

I have a friend that drives through Northern Virginia once or twice a week (on the way to Harrisburg, PA) and they say the Trump signs outnumber Biden signs 3 to 1.
The vote is really all that counts, so we will both have to wait and see.

You should definitely put some money on that.