<< Things change and before long we'll all be plugged into Microsoft's network and owe them monthly to use their operating systems and programs. And we'll do it because it'll be the only stuff we know >>
This kind of ignorant commentary makes me lose hope in the coming generations of our nation. It seems like most of us have lost all of our thinking faculties. I will respond to the above in two bullet points.
* First, the burden is on Microsoft to show people why they should upgrade to Win XP. Since more than half the US households already have one or more computers, OS upgrades mean more (market-penetration-wise) than first time OS purchases accompanying first time computer purchases. Microsoft must convince this larger market segment (by definition, more-informed-than-average computer users, since they already have used computers for some time) that it is in their best interest to buy an OS that will cripple their music, disrespect their privacy, upgrade their OS as the Microsoft Thought Police sees fit, and cost them more money (on a recurring monthly basis) than they had ever spent before on software. This is not a value proposition, especially not for more-informed-than-average computer users.
* Today's graphical operating systems are more alike than different. Window managers, skinning utilities, etc, help users get rid of even inconsequential cosmetic details. Today, right this minute, I can skin a Win9x desktop and make it look and behave exactly like a MacOS 9.1 desktop using third party utilities. I can make a Linux desktop look and behave exactly like a Win 2000 desktop. I can probably make a FreeBSD desktop look and behave exactly like a OSX desktop, but Apple lawyers would sue me before I was done. You get the idea.
Once a computer user is competent enough to use one graphical operating system, he becomes fully qualified to learn the basics of another graphical operating system in a matter of days, and become fully proficient in it in a matter of weeks. As consumer electronics become more and more complicated (set top boxes, digital music streaming boxes, car-based computers) this fact will become more and more apparent. All graphical operating systems use a similar set of metaphors and behaviors. They all offer a similar set of services. There is very little to learn when one moves from one modern graphical operating system to another.
As the world becomes more and more netcentric, Microsoft's monopolistic practices become more and more desperate. They are indeed desperate - it is no longer a value proposition for consumers to stick with Microsoft software. I foresee a great number of Win 98 - Linux, Win ME - Linux, Win 2000 - Linux double boot installations in the near future, and I also foresee an enthusiastic adoption of Linux on the desktop as Microsoft continues crippling digital music with their DRM nonsense in Win XP. In 2029 A.D., people may love machines, but in 2001 A.D., people love their mp3's. Thank you.